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Analysis Active Energy Group PLC (AEG)

6/2/2024

Analysis Active Energy Group PLC (AEG)

Analysis of Active Energy Group PLC (AEG)

Active Energy Group PLC (AEG) is showing some interesting indicators based on the provided data:

1. **Price Movement**: The closing price of AEG has been relatively stable around 5.8 to 6.5 over the past few days.

2. **RSI Indicator**: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) values are around 48 to 51, indicating that the stock is neither overbought nor oversold.

3. **MACD Indicator**: The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) values are positive, suggesting a bullish trend.

4. **Moving Averages**: The Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) are all showing an upward trend, indicating a positive momentum.

Overall, based on the indicators, AEG seems to be in a stable position with a potential bullish trend. However, it is always recommended to conduct further analysis and consider other factors before making any investment decisions.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.

In terms of financials, the company has a strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow. The balance sheet shows a positive current ratio, but a relatively high total debt to equity ratio. The profit margin and operating margin are both healthy, indicating efficient operations. The company's fiscal year ends in September 2023, with notable figures such as revenue, EBITDA, and net income.

Moving on to stock statistics, key metrics such as short ratio, float shares, and shares outstanding are provided. The percentage held by insiders and institutions, as well as short interest, give insights into market sentiment towards the stock.

Valuation metrics show metrics like P/E ratio, PEG ratio, and price to book ratio, providing an indication of the company's valuation. The enterprise value, market capitalization, and other ratios help in assessing the company's financial health.

The stock price summary includes information on beta, moving averages, and the stock's performance over the past year. The 52-week low and high, as well as the percentage change, give an overview of the stock's price movement.

Lastly, dividends and splits data show the company's dividend history, payout ratio, and upcoming dividend dates. Information on dividend yield and split history is also provided, giving investors insights into the company's dividend policy.

Income statement 💸

Here are the revenue figures for the company over the past four fiscal years:

1. Fiscal Year 2023: Sales of $383,285,000,000
2. Fiscal Year 2022: Sales of $394,328,000,000
3. Fiscal Year 2021: Sales of $365,817,000,000
4. Fiscal Year 2020: Sales of $274,515,000,000

From these figures, we can observe the following trends:
- The company experienced a significant increase in sales from 2020 to 2022, followed by a slight decrease in 2023.
- Overall, there has been a positive revenue growth trend over the past four years, indicating the company's ability to generate increasing sales.
- It is important to further analyze the reasons behind the fluctuations in revenue to make informed business decisions.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, reported results after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not supplied at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets include cash, inventory, and receivables, with cash and cash equivalents showing fluctuations.
3. Non-current assets consist mainly of investments and advances, with a significant portion in machinery, furniture, and equipment.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, with the highest value of $302,083,000,000 in 2022.
5. Current liabilities include short-term debt, accounts payable, and other current liabilities.
6. Non-current liabilities comprise long-term debt and other non-current liabilities.
7. Shareholders' equity has shown variations, with the highest value of $90,488,000,000 in 2019.
8. Common stock and retained earnings are the major components of shareholders' equity.
9. The company seems to be investing heavily in non-current assets, which might be driving the increase in total assets and liabilities.

Cash Flow 💶

This is a cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, issuance of long-term debt, and payment of dividends.
6. Investing activities include the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company seems to be managing its cash flow effectively, with a focus on operational efficiency and strategic investments.

Earnings estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share (EPS):

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This is also an increase from the EPS of $1.35 in the same quarter last year.

3. Looking at the estimates for the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $6.10, ranging from a low estimate of $5.95 to a high estimate of $6.41. This reflects growth from the EPS of $5.67 in the previous fiscal year.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, analysts project an average EPS of $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This indicates a potential increase from the EPS of $6.10 in the current fiscal year.

Overall, the estimates suggest a positive outlook for the company's earnings per share, showing growth potential in both the upcoming quarters and fiscal years.

Revenue estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25. This indicates a moderate growth trend in sales for the current quarter.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $85,501,800,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25. This suggests a further increase in sales growth in the upcoming quarter.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $357,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38. This indicates a steady but modest growth in annual sales for the current fiscal year.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $380,772,000,000, with a significant sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38. This suggests a more substantial growth in sales for the next fiscal year.

Overall, the estimates point towards a positive trend of increasing sales for both the upcoming quarters and the next fiscal year, indicating potential growth and performance improvement for the company in the near future.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided:
- The company is expected to experience a growth rate of 7.6% in the current year and 9.7% in the next year.
- For the current quarter and the next quarter, the growth rate is estimated to be around 5.1%.
- Over the next 5 years, the company is projected to have a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 9.7%.
- However, when looking at the past 5 years, the company had a higher growth rate of around 20.1% per annum.

Overall, it appears that the company is expected to maintain a solid growth trajectory, although at a slightly lower rate compared to the past 5 years.

Price target

Based on the analysts' forecast, the future price of the security is expected to range between $164 (low) and $250 (high), with a median estimate of $200 and an average estimate of $202.26. The current price of the security is $191.57.

MACD of AEG

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment Group S.A. at Al. Aleje Jerozolimskie 65 / 79, 00-697 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000335507, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204. Honey Payment Group is listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) under the ticker symbol HPG. Link