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Analysis ADF Foods Limited (ADFFOODS)

6/1/2024

Analysis ADF Foods Limited (ADFFOODS)

Analysis of ADF Foods Limited (ADFFOODS)

ADF Foods Limited is showing some mixed signals in its recent price movements and technical indicators.

- The stock price has been fluctuating between 212.55 and 234.95 in the past few days, indicating some volatility in the market.
- The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is hovering around 45 to 61, suggesting that the stock is neither oversold nor overbought.
- The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is showing a mixed picture with the MACD line crossing above and below the signal line, indicating indecision in the market momentum.
- The Moving Averages (SMA, EMA, WMA) are also showing some divergence, with the stock price deviating from these averages.

Overall, ADF Foods Limited seems to be in a consolidation phase with no clear trend direction. Traders and investors may need to exercise caution and wait for a clearer signal before making any trading decisions.

Income statement 💸

Here are the revenue figures for the company over the past four fiscal years:

1. Fiscal Year 2023 (as of September 30, 2023):
- Sales: $383,285,000,000

2. Fiscal Year 2022 (as of September 30, 2022):
- Sales: $394,328,000,000

3. Fiscal Year 2021 (as of September 30, 2021):
- Sales: $365,817,000,000

4. Fiscal Year 2020 (as of September 30, 2020):
- Sales: $274,515,000,000

Based on the revenue figures, we can see that the company experienced fluctuations in its sales over the past four years. The revenue increased from 2020 to 2022 but decreased in 2023 compared to the previous year. This trend indicates some variability in the company's sales performance.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions based on the data provided:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $352,583,000,000.
2. Current assets fluctuate slightly from year to year, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2023 at $209,017,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $290,437,000,000.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2020 at $65,339,000,000.
6. The company has been relying more on non-current assets to support its growth, as seen in the increasing trend of non-current assets compared to current assets.
7. The company has been financing its operations and growth through a combination of liabilities and shareholders' equity.
8. Accumulated depreciation has been increasing over the years, indicating the aging of the company's assets.
9. The company has been investing heavily in machinery, furniture, and equipment as seen in the significant values of these assets in the balance sheets.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, had an EPS estimate of 1.32.

Main Statystic 🧠

The company's financials show a strong cash flow, with operating cash flow at $110.56 billion and levered free cash flow at $84.73 billion. The balance sheet indicates a total cash of $67.15 billion and total debt of $104.59 billion, resulting in a current ratio of 1.037. The company's book value per share is $4.837, total cash per share is $4.379, and total debt to equity ratio is 140.968.

In terms of profitability, the company has a profit margin of 26.31% and an operating margin of 30.74%. The return on assets is 22.07% and the return on equity is 147.25%. The fiscal year ends on September 30, 2023, with the most recent quarter ending on March 31, 2024.

The income statement shows an EBITDA of $131.39 billion, revenue of $381.62 billion, and net income to common of $100.39 billion. The diluted EPS is $6.43, gross profit is $169.14 billion, revenue per share is $24.54, with a quarterly revenue growth of -4.3% and quarterly earnings growth year-over-year of -2.2%.

In terms of stock statistics, the company has a short ratio of 1.53, with 99.29 million shares shorted out of 15.31 billion float shares. The shares outstanding are 15.33 billion, with 5.22% held by insiders and 57.59% held by institutions. The short percent of shares outstanding is 0.65%.

Valuation metrics show a PEG ratio of 26.32, forward PE of 26.32, and trailing PE of 29.59. The enterprise value is $2.95 trillion, with a price to book ratio of 39.34, price to sales ratio of 7.65, enterprise to EBITDA of 22.76, and enterprise to revenue of 7.73. The market capitalization is $2.92 trillion.

The stock price summary includes a beta of 1.264, with a 50-day moving average of $176.26 and a 200-day moving average of $181.04. The fifty-two week low is $164.08, the high is $199.62, and the change is 6.85%.

Regarding dividends and splits, the company has a payout ratio of 14.93% and a forward annual dividend rate of $1, with a trailing annual dividend rate of $0.97. The 5-year average dividend yield is 0.73%, with a forward annual dividend yield of 0.53% and a trailing annual dividend yield of 0.51%. The dividend date is May 16, 2024, with an ex-dividend date of May 10, 2024, and the last split date was on August 31, 2020, with a 4-for-1 split.

Cash Flow 💶

This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase and issuance, as well as long-term debt issuance and payments.
5. Investing activities include significant amounts related to the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
6. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
7. Stock-based compensation is a significant factor in the company's operating activities.
8. Overall, the company's cash flow statement reflects a mix of operational, financing, and investing activities that impact its financial health and liquidity position.

Earnings estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This also indicates growth from the EPS of $1.35 in the same quarter last year.

3. Looking at the estimates for the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $6.10, ranging from a low estimate of $5.95 to a high estimate of $6.41. This reflects an increase from the EPS of $5.67 for the previous fiscal year.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, analysts project an average EPS of $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This forecast suggests a slight improvement from the EPS of $6.10 in the current fiscal year.

Overall, the analysts' estimates indicate a positive outlook for the company's earnings per share, with expected growth in both the quarterly and annual results over the coming quarters and years.

Revenue estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $85,501,800,000, showing a sales growth of 3% compared to the previous year's same quarter. The number of analysts providing estimates remains at 25.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $357,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates increases to 38.

4. Looking ahead to the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $380,772,000,000, indicating a significant sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates remains at 38.

Overall, the analysts are forecasting moderate to strong sales growth for both the upcoming quarters and the next fiscal year, with an increasing number of analysts providing estimates for the company's performance.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided by analysts, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:

1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.1%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 5.2%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.6%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 9.7%.

These estimates suggest that the company is expected to experience a moderate growth rate in the near term compared to the high growth rate observed in the past 5 years. However, the growth rate is expected to pick up slightly in the next year and remain steady over the next 5 years.

Price target

Based on the analysts' forecast, the future price of the security is expected to range between $164 (low) and $250 (high), with a median estimate of $200 and an average estimate of $202.26. The current price of the security is $191.57.

MACD of ADFFOODS

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment Group S.A. at Al. Aleje Jerozolimskie 65 / 79, 00-697 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000335507, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204. Honey Payment Group is listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) under the ticker symbol HPG. Link