Analysis Aferian Plc (AFRN)
6/3/2024
Analysis of Aferian Plc (AFRN)
Aferian Plc has been showing a downward trend in its stock price over the past few days. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) values have been consistently low, indicating an oversold condition. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator has been negative, suggesting a bearish momentum in the stock.The stock price has been fluctuating within a range, with the price closing below the moving averages (SMA, EMA, WMA). This indicates a lack of strong bullish momentum in the stock.
Overall, based on the RSI, MACD, and moving averages, Aferian Plc seems to be in a bearish phase. Traders and investors may want to exercise caution and wait for a more positive signal before considering any buying opportunities.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets include cash, inventory, and receivables, with a significant portion in cash equivalents and short-term investments.
3. Non-current assets consist mainly of investments and advances, along with machinery, furniture, and equipment.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, but at a slower pace compared to assets.
5. Shareholders' equity has shown a positive trend, indicating a healthy financial position.
6. The company has been managing its short-term and long-term debts effectively.
7. Accumulated depreciation has been significant, affecting the value of non-current assets.
8. The company has been investing in leases, land, and improvements over the years.
9. Retained earnings have fluctuated but have generally been positive.
10. The company has been maintaining a balance between current and non-current assets and liabilities.
Cash Flow 💶
This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase and issuance, as well as long-term debt issuance and payments.
5. Investing activities include the sale and purchase of investments, capital expenditures, and other investing activities.
6. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
7. Stock-based compensation has been a significant factor in the company's financial activities.
8. The company has been paying dividends to common shareholders, with varying amounts each year.
9. The company's net income has been relatively stable over the years.
10. The company has been managing its cash flow effectively to maintain a positive end cash position.
Earnings estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This also indicates growth from the EPS of $1.35 in the same quarter last year.
3. Looking at the estimates for the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $6.10, ranging from a low estimate of $5.95 to a high estimate of $6.41. This reflects an increase from the EPS of $5.67 for the previous fiscal year.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimated EPS is $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This suggests further growth compared to the EPS of $6.10 for the current fiscal year.
Overall, the analysts' estimates point towards a positive trend of increasing earnings per share for the company in both the short term and the long term.
Revenue estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $85,501,800,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $357,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $380,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.
These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company, with slightly higher growth expected in the next fiscal year compared to the current one.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided by analysts, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.1%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 5.2%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.6%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 9.7%.
These estimates suggest that the company is expected to experience a moderate growth rate in the near term, with a slightly higher growth rate projected for the next year. However, compared to the past 5 years, the growth rate is expected to slow down over the next 5 years.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $275
- Median: $201.43
- Average: $204.58
- Current price: $192.25
- Currency: USD
Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a wide range of opinions on the future price of the security, with the low end being $164, the high end being $275, and the average forecast at $204.58. The current price of the security is $192.25, which is below the median and average forecast, indicating that the analysts are generally bullish on the security's future performance.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released After Hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.In terms of financials, the company has strong cash flow with operating cash flow at $110.56 billion and levered free cash flow at $84.73 billion. The balance sheet shows total cash at $67.15 billion, total debt at $104.59 billion, and a current ratio of 1.037. The profit margin is 26.31%, with a return on assets of 22.07% and return on equity of 147.25%. The company's fiscal year ends on September 30, 2023.
Moving on to stock statistics, the company has a short ratio of 1.53, with 99.29 million shares shorted out of 15.31 billion float shares. The stock has a beta of 1.264, with a 52-week low of $164.08 and a high of $199.62.
Valuation metrics show a PEG ratio of 26.32, forward P/E of 26.32, and trailing P/E of 29.59. The company has an enterprise value of $2.95 trillion, market capitalization of $2.92 trillion, and a price to book ratio of 39.34.
The stock price summary includes a 50-day moving average of $176.26, a 200-day moving average of $181.04, and a 52-week change of 6.85%.
Lastly, dividends and splits information reveals a payout ratio of 14.93%, with a forward annual dividend rate of $1 and a trailing annual dividend rate of $0.97. The company's dividend yield is 0.53% and the 5-year average dividend yield is 0.73%. The last split date was on August 31, 2020, with a 4-for-1 split. The next dividend date is on May 16, 2024, with an ex-dividend date on May 10, 2024.
Income statement 💸
These are the revenue figures. Here are the conclusions:1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. Despite the increase in sales, the cost of goods sold has also been rising, indicating a potential need for cost management.
3. The gross profit margin has remained relatively stable over the years, indicating efficient cost control measures.
4. Operating income has shown a positive trend, reaching $114.3 billion in 2023 from $66.3 billion in 2020.
5. Net income has also been increasing consistently, from $57.4 billion in 2020 to $97 billion in 2023, showing a healthy growth trajectory.
6. Earnings per share (EPS) have shown a slight fluctuation but have generally increased over the years, indicating growth in profitability per share.
7. The company has been able to maintain a stable diluted shares outstanding figure, which is important for shareholders' equity.
8. Overall, the financial performance of the company in terms of revenue and profitability has been positive and shows a growth trend.
MACD of AFRN
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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