Analysis Alarum Technologies Ltd. (ALAR)
6/4/2024
Analysis of Alarum Technologies Ltd. (ALAR)
Alarum Technologies Ltd. is showing some interesting trends based on the provided data:1. Price Movement: The stock price has been fluctuating over the past few days, with the latest closing price at 4.54. There has been some volatility in the price, with highs and lows ranging from 4.44 to 4.60.
2. Technical Indicators:
- RSI Indicator: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently at 24.87, indicating that the stock may be oversold.
- MACD Indicator: The MACD line is at 0.38, below the signal line of 1.98, suggesting a bearish signal.
- Moving Averages: The Simple Moving Average (SMA) is at 29.40, the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is at 28.54, and the Weighted Moving Average (WMA) is at 29.77. These moving averages can help identify trends in the stock price.
3. Recent Performance:
- The stock price has shown an upward trend in the past few days, with the latest closing price at 36.47 on June 3rd.
- The RSI indicator on June 3rd was at 64.42, indicating a more neutral position compared to the oversold position on the previous days.
- The MACD indicator on June 3rd was at 2.93, above the signal line of 2.38, showing a bullish signal.
Overall, Alarum Technologies Ltd. has shown some volatility in its stock price, but recent trends indicate a potential upward movement. Traders and investors may want to keep an eye on the RSI, MACD, and moving averages for further insights into the stock's performance.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The results for the quarter ending on January 31, 2025, were released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.In terms of financials, the company has strong cash flow with operating cash flow at $110.56 billion and levered free cash flow at $84.73 billion. The balance sheet shows a total cash of $67.15 billion, total debt of $104.59 billion, and a current ratio of 1.037. The profit margin is 26.31% and the company's fiscal year ends on September 30, 2023. The income statement reveals an EBITDA of $131.39 billion, revenue of $381.62 billion, and a diluted EPS of 6.43.
Moving on to stock statistics, the company has a short ratio of 1.53, with 99.29 million shares shorted out of 15.31 billion float shares. The stock has an average 10-day volume of 46.86 million and an average 90-day volume of 57.50 million. The stock price summary includes a beta of 1.264, a 50-day moving average of $176.26, and a 200-day moving average of $181.04.
Valuation metrics show a PEG ratio of 26.32, forward PE of 26.32, and trailing PE of 29.59. The enterprise value is $2.95 trillion, with a price to book ratio of 39.34 and a price to sales ratio of 7.65. The company's market capitalization is $2.92 trillion.
Lastly, dividends and splits information indicates a payout ratio of 14.93%, with a forward annual dividend rate of $1 and a trailing annual dividend rate of $0.97. The company's dividend dates, split dates, and dividend yields are also provided.
Income statement 💸
These are the revenue figures. Here are the conclusions:1. The company's sales have been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. Despite the increase in sales, the cost of goods sold has also been rising, indicating a need for cost management.
3. The gross profit margin has remained relatively stable over the years, indicating efficient operations.
4. Operating income has shown a positive trend, reaching $114.3 billion in 2023 from $66.3 billion in 2020.
5. Net income has also been increasing, showing a healthy bottom line growth.
6. Earnings per share (EPS) have shown a slight fluctuation but have generally increased over the years.
7. The company has been able to manage its taxes efficiently, with a consistent income tax rate.
8. Overall, the financial performance of the company seems to be strong, with consistent growth in revenue and profitability.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets include cash, inventory, and receivables, with a significant portion in cash equivalents and short-term investments.
3. Non-current assets consist mainly of investments and advances, along with machinery, furniture, and equipment.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, but at a slower pace compared to assets.
5. Shareholders' equity has shown a positive trend, indicating a healthy financial position.
6. The company has been investing in leases, land, and improvements, reflecting a focus on long-term growth.
7. There is a consistent level of short-term debt and accounts payable, which the company manages effectively.
8. Retained earnings have fluctuated but overall show a positive trend, contributing to shareholders' equity.
9. The company has been prudent in managing non-current liabilities and provisions for risks and charges.
10. Overall, the financial stability and growth of the company seem well-maintained based on the balance sheet data.
Cash Flow 💶
This is a cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value recorded in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, issuance of long-term debt, and payment of dividends.
6. Investing activities include acquisitions, capital expenditures, and the sale/purchase of investments.
7. The company has been utilizing stock-based compensation as part of its operations.
8. Overall, the company's financial performance seems to be stable, with some fluctuations in key metrics over the years.
Earnings estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This also indicates growth from the EPS of $1.35 in the same quarter last year.
3. Looking at the estimates for the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $6.10, ranging from a low estimate of $5.95 to a high estimate of $6.41. This reflects an increase from the EPS of $5.67 for the previous fiscal year.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average EPS estimate is $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This suggests a slight improvement from the EPS of $6.10 in the current fiscal year.
Overall, the analysts' estimates point towards a positive trend of increasing earnings per share for both the upcoming quarters and fiscal years.
Revenue estimate
The analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company indicate a moderate growth trend.For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
Looking at the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate increases to $85,501,800,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the previous year's same quarter. The number of analysts remains at 25.
For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $357,772,000,000, showing a 1% growth compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates increases to 38.
In the following fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate further rises to $380,772,000,000, indicating a more significant growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts remains at 38.
Overall, the estimates suggest a steady growth trajectory for the company's sales in both the short term and the long term.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided:- The company is expected to experience a growth rate of 7.6% in the current year and 9.7% in the next year.
- For the current quarter and the next quarter, the growth rate is estimated to be around 5.1%.
- Over the next 5 years, the company is projected to have a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 9.7%.
- However, when looking at the past 5 years, the company had a higher growth rate of around 20.1% per annum.
Overall, it appears that the company's growth rate is expected to slow down compared to the past 5 years, but it is still projected to grow steadily in the upcoming periods.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $275
- Median: $201.43
- Average: $204.58
- Current price: $192.25
Based on these forecasts, it appears that the analysts are generally optimistic about the future price of the security, with a median and average price above the current price. However, there is a wide range between the low and high forecasts, indicating some uncertainty in the predictions. Investors should consider these factors when making decisions about buying or selling the security.
MACD of ALAR
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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