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Analysis Albany International Corp (AIN)

6/2/2024

Analysis Albany International Corp (AIN)

Analysis of Albany International Corp (AIN)

Albany International Corp (AIN) has been showing some volatility in its stock price recently. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) values have been fluctuating around the mid-range, indicating a lack of strong trend in the stock.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator has been hovering around the zero line, suggesting a balance between bullish and bearish momentum. The MACD histogram has been fluctuating around zero, indicating indecision in the market.

The stock has been trading around its Simple Moving Average (SMA) and Exponential Moving Average (EMA), with the EMA slightly higher than the SMA. This could suggest a potential bullish bias in the short term.

Overall, the stock seems to be consolidating with no clear trend at the moment. Traders and investors may want to wait for a clearer signal before making any significant trading decisions.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, had an EPS estimate of 1.32.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.

In terms of financials, the company has a strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow. The balance sheet shows a healthy current ratio, but a relatively high total debt to equity ratio. The profit margin and operating margin are both positive, indicating profitability. The company's fiscal year ends in September 2023, with notable figures such as EBITDA, revenue, and net income.

Moving on to stock statistics, key metrics include short ratio, float shares, shares outstanding, and insider and institutional ownership percentages. The company's stock valuation metrics show PEG ratio, PE ratios, enterprise value, price to book, price to sales, and market capitalization.

The stock price summary provides information on beta, moving averages, and the range of the stock price over the past year. Lastly, the dividends and splits data includes payout ratio, dividend dates, split history, and dividend yield information.

Overall, these data points offer a comprehensive overview of the company's financial health, stock performance, valuation, and dividend policy.

Income statement 💸

These are the revenue figures. Here are the conclusions:

1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. The gross profit margin has fluctuated slightly, with a peak in 2022 at $170.8 billion and a slight decrease in 2023 to $169.1 billion.
3. Operating income has shown an increasing trend, reaching $114.3 billion in 2023 from $66.3 billion in 2020.
4. Net income has also been on the rise, with a significant increase from $57.4 billion in 2020 to $97 billion in 2023.
5. Earnings per share (EPS) have shown a slight fluctuation but have generally increased over the years, indicating growth in profitability per share.
6. The company has been able to maintain a healthy EBITDA margin, with a slight increase from $81 billion in 2020 to $129.2 billion in 2023.
7. Despite fluctuations in income tax and other expenses, the company has managed to increase its net income consistently over the years.
8. The number of basic and diluted shares outstanding has remained relatively stable, indicating no significant dilution of shares.
9. Overall, the financial performance of the company in terms of revenue and profitability has shown positive growth trends over the years.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets include cash, inventory, and receivables, with a significant portion in cash equivalents and short-term investments.
3. Non-current assets consist mainly of investments and advances, along with machinery, furniture, and equipment.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, but at a slower pace compared to assets, indicating a healthy financial position.
5. Shareholders' equity has shown a positive trend, with a notable increase in retained earnings over the years.
6. The company has been managing its short-term and long-term debts effectively, as well as other current and non-current liabilities.
7. Overall, the financial health of the company seems stable and improving, with a strong asset base and increasing equity.

Cash Flow 💶

This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has been relatively stable over the years, indicating consistent operational performance.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show significant variability, with large amounts being spent on common stock repurchase and debt issuance and payments.
6. Investing activities also vary, with significant amounts being spent on the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. The company's net income has been relatively stable, with fluctuations in other non-cash items such as depreciation and stock-based compensation.
8. Overall, the company's cash flow statement reflects a mix of stable operational performance, significant financing activities, and varying investing activities over the years.

Earnings estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This also indicates growth from the EPS of $1.35 in the same quarter last year.

3. Looking at the estimates for the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $6.10, ranging from a low estimate of $5.95 to a high estimate of $6.41. This reflects an increase from the EPS of $5.67 for the previous fiscal year.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimated EPS is $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This suggests further growth compared to the EPS of $6.10 in the current fiscal year.

Overall, the analysts' estimates point towards a positive trend of increasing earnings per share for the company in both the short term and the long term.

Revenue estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $85,501,800,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $357,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $380,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.

These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company, with slightly higher growth expected in the next fiscal year compared to the current one.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided by analysts, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:

1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.1%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 5.2%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.6%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 9.7%.

These estimates suggest a positive growth trend for the company, with a slightly lower growth rate expected in the next 5 years compared to the past 5 years. It indicates a steady but slightly slower growth trajectory in the future.

Price target

Based on the analysts' forecast, the future price of the security is expected to range between $164 (low) and $250 (high), with a median estimate of $200 and an average estimate of $202.26. The current price of the security is $191.57. It appears that the analysts are generally optimistic about the future price of the security, with the average and median estimates both higher than the current price.

MACD of AIN

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment S.A. at ul. Nowy Swiat 33/13, 00-029 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000895826, share capital in the amount of 201.4 mln PLN, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204