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Analysis Albion Development VCT PLC (AADV)

5/27/2024

Analysis Albion Development VCT PLC (AADV)

Analysis of Albion Development VCT PLC (AADV)

Albion Development VCT PLC (AADV) has been trading at a consistent price of 85.00 for the past few days. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is around 47.24, indicating a neutral sentiment in the market. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is slightly negative, with the MACD line below the signal line.

The Moving Average (MA) indicator is around 86.48, suggesting a slightly bearish trend. The Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) are all above the current price, indicating a potential resistance level.

Overall, based on the current indicators, Albion Development VCT PLC seems to be in a consolidation phase with a neutral to slightly bearish bias. Traders and investors may want to wait for a clearer trend before making any significant trading decisions.

Income statement 💸

Here are the revenue figures for the past four fiscal years:

1. Fiscal Year 2023: Sales of $383,285,000,000
2. Fiscal Year 2022: Sales of $394,328,000,000
3. Fiscal Year 2021: Sales of $365,817,000,000
4. Fiscal Year 2020: Sales of $274,515,000,000

From these figures, we can observe the following trends:
- There was a decrease in sales from 2022 to 2023.
- Sales have been increasing over the past four years, with a significant jump from 2020 to 2021.
- The company's revenue has been generally on an upward trajectory, indicating growth in its core business operations.

These trends suggest that the company has been successful in generating increasing revenue over the years, with some fluctuations in between.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released After Hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.33.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits for a specific company.

In terms of financials, the company has strong cash flow with operating cash flow at $110.56 billion and levered free cash flow at $84.73 billion. The balance sheet shows a total cash of $67.15 billion, total debt of $104.59 billion, and a current ratio of 1.037. The profit margin is 26.31% and the company's fiscal year ends on September 30, 2023. The income statement reveals an EBITDA of $131.39 billion, revenue of $381.62 billion, and a diluted EPS of 6.44.

Moving on to stock statistics, the company has a short ratio of 1.66, with 94.31 million shares shorted out of 15.31 billion float shares. The average 10-day trading volume is 52.90 million shares, while the average 90-day trading volume is 62.82 million shares. The stock has a market capitalization of $2.91 trillion.

Valuation metrics show a PEG ratio of 26.21, forward P/E of 26.21, and trailing P/E of 29.43. The enterprise value is $2.95 trillion, with a price-to-book ratio of 39.18 and price-to-sales ratio of 7.62. The stock has an enterprise-to-EBITDA ratio of 22.75 and an enterprise-to-revenue ratio of 7.73.

The stock price summary includes a beta of 1.26, a 50-day moving average of $173.69, and a 200-day moving average of $180.79. The stock's 52-week low is $164.08, the high is $199.62, and the change over the past 52 weeks is 8.25%.

Lastly, in terms of dividends and splits, the company has a payout ratio of 14.93% and a forward annual dividend rate of $1. The stock's ex-dividend date is May 10, 2024, with a dividend date of May 16, 2024. The last split date was on August 31, 2020, with a 4-for-1 split. The 5-year average dividend yield is 0.73% and the trailing annual dividend yield is 0.51%.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets include cash, inventory, and receivables, with a significant portion in cash equivalents and short-term investments.
3. Non-current assets consist of leases, land, machinery, and investments.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, but at a slower pace compared to assets.
5. Shareholders' equity has shown fluctuations but generally follows an increasing trend.
6. The company has been managing its short-term and long-term debts while investing in assets for future growth.
7. Accumulated depreciation has been significant, affecting the value of non-current assets.
8. The company has been retaining earnings and managing its equity effectively over the years.

Cash Flow 💶

This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value recorded in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its peak in 2020.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, issuance of long-term debt, and payment of dividends.
6. Investing activities include the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company seems to be managing its cash flow effectively, with some fluctuations in different areas that may require further analysis.

Earnings estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.33, compared to $1.26 a year ago. The range of estimates is between $1.27 and $1.36, with 26 analysts providing forecasts.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.53, compared to $1.46 a year ago. The range of estimates is between $1.44 and $1.63, with 25 analysts providing forecasts.

3. For the current year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $6.59, compared to $6.13 a year ago. The range of estimates is between $6.43 and $6.92, with 39 analysts providing forecasts.

4. For the next year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimated EPS is $7.23, compared to $6.59 a year ago. The range of estimates is between $6.40 and $7.90, with 39 analysts providing forecasts.

Overall, it appears that analysts are generally forecasting an increase in earnings per share for both the upcoming quarters and the next two fiscal years.

Revenue estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company, with slightly higher growth expected in the next fiscal year compared to the current one.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided:
- The company is expected to experience a growth rate of 7.5% in the current year and 9.7% in the next year.
- For the current quarter, the growth rate is estimated to be 5.6%, while for the next quarter it is projected to be 4.8%.
- Over the next 5 years, the company is expected to achieve an average annual growth rate of 11%.
- However, when looking at the past 5 years, the company has experienced a higher average annual growth rate of approximately 20.1%.

Overall, it appears that the company is expected to maintain a solid growth trajectory, with a slightly lower growth rate in the short term compared to the long-term average.

Price target

Based on the analysts' forecast, the future price of the security is expected to range between $164 (low) and $250 (high), with a median estimate of $200 and an average estimate of $202.26. The current price of the security is $191.57.

MACD of AADV

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment Group S.A. at Al. Aleje Jerozolimskie 65 / 79, 00-697 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000335507, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204. Honey Payment Group is listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) under the ticker symbol HPG. Link