Analysis of Alpha Group Inc. (3322)
Alpha Group Inc. has been showing some interesting price movements recently. The stock price has been fluctuating around the $620-630 range, with some volatility in the past week.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator has been hovering around 50, indicating a neutral sentiment in the market. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator has been showing mixed signals, with the MACD line crossing above and below the signal line.
Overall, the stock seems to be consolidating in the current price range, with no clear trend in either direction. Traders and investors may want to wait for a clearer signal before making any significant trading decisions.
Revenue estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, the following conclusions can be drawn:
1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $85,501,800,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $357,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $380,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.
Overall, the analysts are generally optimistic about the company's future sales performance, with moderate growth expected in both the short term and the long term.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided:
- The company is expected to experience a growth rate of 7.6% in the current year and 9.7% in the next year.
- For the current quarter and the next quarter, the growth rate is estimated to be around 5.1%.
- Over the next 5 years, the company is projected to have a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 9.7%.
- However, when looking at the past 5 years, the company had a higher growth rate of around 20.1% per annum.
Overall, it seems that the company is expected to maintain a solid growth trajectory, with a slightly higher growth rate in the next 5 years compared to the current and previous periods.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:
- Low: $164
- High: $275
- Median: $201.43
- Average: $204.58
- Current price: $192.25
Based on these forecasts, it can be observed that the analysts have a range of opinions regarding the future price of the security, with a low estimate of $164, a high estimate of $275, and an average estimate of $204.58. The current price of the security is $192.25, which falls below the median and average forecasted prices.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The results for the quarter ending on January 31, 2025, were released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.
Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuations metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.
In terms of financials, the company has strong cash flow with operating cash flow at $110.56 billion and levered free cash flow at $84.73 billion. The balance sheet shows a total cash of $67.15 billion, total debt of $104.59 billion, and a current ratio of 1.037. The profit margin is 26.31% and the company's fiscal year ends on September 30, 2023. The income statement reveals an EBITDA of $131.39 billion, revenue of $381.62 billion, and a diluted EPS of 6.43.
Moving on to stock statistics, the company has a short ratio of 1.53, with 99.29 million shares shorted out of 15.31 billion float shares. The average trading volume is 46.86 million shares over 10 days and 57.50 million shares over 90 days. The stock outstanding is 15.33 billion shares, with 5.22% held by insiders and 57.59% held by institutions.
Valuations metrics show a PEG ratio of 26.32, forward PE of 26.32, and trailing PE of 29.59. The enterprise value is $2.95 trillion, with a price to book ratio of 39.34 and price to sales ratio of 7.65. The enterprise to EBITDA ratio is 22.76 and enterprise to revenue ratio is 7.73. The market capitalization stands at $2.92 trillion.
The stock price summary includes a beta of 1.26, 50-day moving average of $176.26, 200-day moving average of $181.04, a 52-week low of $164.08, high of $199.62, and a 52-week change of 6.85%.
Lastly, dividends and splits information shows a payout ratio of 14.93%, with a dividend date on May 16, 2024. The last split date was on August 31, 2020, with a 4-for-1 split factor. The forward annual dividend rate is $1, with a 5-year average dividend yield of 0.73% and a forward annual dividend yield of 0.53%. The trailing annual dividend rate is $0.97, with a trailing annual dividend yield of 0.51%.
Income statement 💸
Here are the revenue figures for the given fiscal years:
- 2023: $383,285,000,000
- 2022: $394,328,000,000
- 2021: $365,817,000,000
- 2020: $274,515,000,000
From the data provided, we can observe the following trends:
1. The revenue has been increasing over the years, with a significant jump from 2020 to 2021 and a slight decrease in 2023 compared to 2022.
2. The company experienced a substantial growth in revenue from 2020 to 2022, indicating positive performance and market expansion.
3. Despite a slight decrease in revenue in 2023, the overall trend shows a positive trajectory in terms of sales growth.
These trends suggest that the company has been successful in generating increasing revenue over the years, with some fluctuations but overall showing a positive growth pattern.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:
1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets have fluctuated, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have shown an increasing trend, with the highest value in 2019 at $175,697,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching $255,355,000,000 in 2018.
5. Shareholders' equity has shown an increasing trend, with the highest value in 2018 at $107,147,000,000.
6. The company has been relying more on non-current assets to support its operations.
7. There has been a consistent increase in shareholders' equity, indicating a positive trend in the company's financial health.
Cash Flow 💶
This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:
1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value recorded in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show significant cash outflows, mainly due to common stock repurchases and dividend payments.
6. Investing activities have also seen significant cash flows, with the company making investments and acquisitions while also divesting assets.
7. The company has been issuing and repaying long-term debt, with varying amounts each year.
8. Stock-based compensation has been a significant non-cash item impacting the company's cash flow.
9. Overall, the company's cash flow statement reflects a mix of operational, financing, and investing activities that have influenced its financial position over the years.
Earnings estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:
1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This is also an increase from the EPS of $1.35 in the same quarter last year.
3. Looking at the estimates for the current year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS is projected to be $6.10, ranging from a low estimate of $5.95 to a high estimate of $6.41. This indicates growth from the EPS of $5.67 for the previous year.
4. For the next year ending on September 30, 2025, analysts forecast an average EPS of $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This suggests a slight increase from the EPS of $6.10 in the previous year.
Overall, the analysts' estimates show a positive outlook for the company's earnings per share, with expected growth in both the quarterly and annual results over the specified periods.MACD of 3322