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Analysis Alpha Real Trust Limited (ARTL)

5/30/2024

Analysis Alpha Real Trust Limited (ARTL)

Analysis of Alpha Real Trust Limited (ARTL)

Alpha Real Trust Limited (ARTL) is showing some interesting indicators based on the provided data:

1. Price Action:
- The price has been fluctuating between $135.50 and $146.00 in recent days.
- On the most recent day, the price closed at $140.50, with an opening price of $140.50.

2. Technical Indicators:
- RSI (Relative Strength Index) is around 52.42, indicating a neutral position.
- MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) is positive at 6.49, with the MACD line above the signal line, suggesting a bullish trend.
- The Moving Averages (MA, SMA, EMA, WMA) are showing different values, with EMA being the highest at 69.59.

3. Recent Performance:
- On the most recent trading day, the price closed at $1.40, with an opening price of $1.35.
- The RSI is around 48.15, indicating a slightly bearish sentiment.
- The MACD is negative at -7.12, with the MACD line below the signal line, suggesting a bearish trend.

Overall, the stock seems to be experiencing some volatility in its price action, with mixed signals from the technical indicators. Traders and investors may need to closely monitor the stock for further developments before making any trading decisions.

Revenue estimate

Based on analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company, with slightly higher growth expected in the next fiscal year compared to the current one.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:

1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.6%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 4.8%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.5%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 11%.

These estimates suggest that the company has experienced significant growth in the past but is expected to see a more moderate growth rate in the coming years. The next year is expected to show a higher growth rate compared to the current year, and the next 5 years are projected to have a growth rate lower than the average of the past 5 years.

Price target

The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:
- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD

Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a range of opinions on the future price of the security, with the lowest estimate at $164, the highest at $250, and the average at $202.26. The current price is $191.57, which is below the average and median forecasted prices. Investors should consider these forecasts along with other factors when making investment decisions.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.

Financials:
- Cash flow: Operating cash flow TTM is $110,563,000,320 and levered free cash flow TTM is $84,726,874,112.
- Balance sheet: Total cash MRQ is $67,150,000,128, total debt MRQ is $104,590,000,128, current ratio MRQ is 1.037, book value per share MRQ is $4.837, total cash per share MRQ is $4.379, and total debt to equity MRQ is 140.968.
- Profit margin: 26.306%.
- Fiscal year ends: September 30, 2023.
- Income statement: EBITDA is $131,393,000,000, revenue TTM is $381,623,009,280, diluted EPS TTM is $6.43, gross profit TTM is $169,148,000,000, revenue per share TTM is $24.537, net income to common TTM is $100,389,003,264, quarterly revenue growth is -4.3%, and quarterly earnings growth YoY is -2.2%.
- Operating margin: 30.743%.
- Most recent quarter: March 31, 2024.
- Return on assets TTM: 22.073999%.
- Return on equity TTM: 147.25%.

Stock statistics:
- Short ratio: 1.53.
- Float shares: 15,308,320,742.
- Shares short: 99,287,450.
- Average 10-day volume: 46,860,048.
- Average 90-day volume: 57,498,254.
- Shares outstanding: 15,334,099,968.
- Percent held by insiders: 5.22%.
- Percent held by institutions: 57.589%.
- Short percent of shares outstanding: 0.65%.

Valuation metrics:
- PEG ratio: 26.319502.
- Forward PE: 26.319502.
- Trailing PE: 29.59409.
- Enterprise value: $2,950,762,332,160.
- Price to book MRQ: 39.3405.
- Price to sales TTM: 7.646095.
- Enterprise to EBITDA: 22.763.
- Enterprise to revenue: 7.732.
- Market capitalization: $2,917,925,650,432.

Stock price summary:
- Beta: 1.264.
- 50-day moving average: $176.2646.
- 200-day moving average: $181.0429.
- 52-week low: $164.08.
- 52-week high: $199.62.
- 52-week change: 6.853%.

Dividends and splits:
- Payout ratio: 14.93%.
- Dividend date: May 16, 2024.
- Last split date: August 31, 2020.
- Ex-dividend date: May 10, 2024.
- Last split factor: 4-for-1 split.
- Forward annual dividend rate: $1.
- 5-year average dividend yield: 0.73%.
- Forward annual dividend yield: 0.5255%.
- Trailing annual dividend rate: $0.97.
- Trailing annual dividend yield: 0.5097%.

Income statement 💸

These are the revenues. Here are the conclusions:

1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the past four fiscal years.
2. The gross profit margin seems to be consistent, indicating stable pricing and cost management.
3. Operating income has also shown a positive trend, reflecting efficient operational performance.
4. Net income has been growing, suggesting effective cost control and revenue generation.
5. Earnings per share (EPS) have generally increased, indicating improved profitability on a per-share basis.
6. The company has been able to maintain a healthy EBITDA margin, showing strong operational efficiency.
7. Despite fluctuations in non-operating interest income and expenses, the overall financial performance seems robust.
8. The number of basic and diluted shares outstanding has remained relatively stable over the years.
9. The company's continuous operations have been profitable, with consistent net income from core business activities.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets fluctuate, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2019 at $175,697,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching $255,355,000,000 in 2018.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2018 at $107,147,000,000.

Cash Flow 💶

This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show significant fluctuations, especially in common stock repurchases and long-term debt issuances.
6. Investing activities also vary, with notable amounts spent on the sale and purchase of investments.
7. Overall, the company's financial performance seems to be stable, with some fluctuations in key financial indicators.

Earnings estimate

Based on analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.33, with a range from $1.27 to $1.36. This shows growth compared to the EPS of $1.26 from a year ago.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.53, with a range from $1.44 to $1.63. This also indicates growth compared to the EPS of $1.46 from a year ago.

3. For the current year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $6.59, with a range from $6.43 to $6.92. This reflects an increase compared to the EPS of $6.13 from the previous year.

4. Looking ahead to the next year ending on September 30, 2025, the average EPS estimate is $7.23, with a range from $6.40 to $7.90. This forecast suggests further growth compared to the EPS of $6.59 from the previous year.

Overall, the analysts' estimates point towards a positive outlook for the company's earnings per share, showing consistent growth over the upcoming quarters and years.

MACD of ARTL

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment S.A. at ul. Nowy Swiat 33/13, 00-029 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000895826, share capital in the amount of 201.4 mln PLN, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204