Analysis Alumetal S.A. (AML)
5/31/2024
Analysis of Alumetal S.A. (AML)
Alumetal S.A. (AML) has shown a recent uptrend in its stock price, with the price closing at 218.00000 on the latest available date. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently at 83.94964, indicating that the stock may be overbought.The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is positive at 2.28450, with the MACD line above the signal line, suggesting bullish momentum. The MACD histogram is also positive at 5.74319, further supporting the bullish outlook.
In terms of moving averages, the Simple Moving Average (SMA) is at 143.42000, the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is at 148.28933, and the Weighted Moving Average (WMA) is at 144.47979. The stock price is currently trading above all these moving averages, indicating a strong bullish trend.
Overall, based on the technical indicators, Alumetal S.A. appears to be in a strong bullish phase. However, investors should be cautious of the high RSI value, which suggests a potential overbought condition.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company had an EPS estimate of 1.32.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.In terms of financials, the company has a strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow. The balance sheet shows a healthy current ratio, but a relatively high total debt to equity ratio. The profit margin and operating margin are both positive, indicating profitability. The company's fiscal year ends in September 2023, with notable figures such as EBITDA, revenue, and net income.
Moving on to stock statistics, key metrics include short ratio, float shares, shares outstanding, and percentages held by insiders and institutions. The company's stock price summary provides information on beta, moving averages, and the range of the stock price over the past year.
Valuation metrics show ratios such as PEG ratio, forward PE, trailing PE, price to book, price to sales, and various enterprise value ratios. The market capitalization is also provided.
Lastly, dividends and splits data include payout ratio, dividend dates, split dates, dividend rates, and yield information. The company has a history of dividends and splits, with both forward and trailing annual dividend rates and yields mentioned.
Income statement 💸
These are the revenue figures. Here are the conclusions:1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. Despite the increase in sales, the cost of goods sold has also been rising, indicating a potential need for cost management.
3. The gross profit margin has remained relatively stable over the years, indicating efficient cost control measures.
4. Operating income has shown a positive trend, reaching $114.3 billion in 2023 from $66.3 billion in 2020.
5. Net income has also been increasing consistently, from $57.4 billion in 2020 to $97 billion in 2023, showing a healthy growth trajectory.
6. Earnings per share (EPS) have shown a slight fluctuation but have generally increased over the years, indicating improved profitability.
7. The company has been able to maintain a stable number of outstanding shares, which is important for shareholders' equity.
8. Overall, the financial performance of the company in terms of revenue and profitability has been positive and shows a growth trend over the years.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets fluctuate, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2019 at $175,697,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching $255,355,000,000 in 2018.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2018 at $107,147,000,000.
6. The company has been relying more on non-current assets to finance its operations over the years.
7. There seems to be a trend of increasing debt, both short-term and long-term, which could indicate expansion or investment activities.
8. Retained earnings have been positive in all years except for 2023, where they are negative at -$214,000,000.
Cash Flow 💶
This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase and issuance, as well as long-term debt issuance and payments.
4. Investing activities reflect significant amounts related to the sale and purchase of investments, with fluctuations in capital expenditures.
5. The end cash position has varied over the years, reaching its highest value in 2020.
6. Interest paid has also fluctuated, with the highest amount in 2023.
7. Income tax paid has shown variations, with the highest amount in 2021.
8. Stock-based compensation has increased over the years, indicating a potential focus on employee incentives.
9. Other non-cash items and assets/liabilities adjustments have impacted the cash flow statement.
10. Overall, the company's cash flow statement reflects a mix of operational, financing, and investing activities that have influenced its financial position over the years.
Earnings estimate
The analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share are as follows:1. Current Quarter (as of June 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.33
- Low Estimate: $1.27
- High Estimate: $1.36
- Year Ago EPS: $1.26
- Number of Analysts: 26
2. Next Quarter (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.53
- Low Estimate: $1.44
- High Estimate: $1.63
- Year Ago EPS: $1.46
- Number of Analysts: 25
3. Current Year (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $6.59
- Low Estimate: $6.43
- High Estimate: $6.92
- Year Ago EPS: $6.13
- Number of Analysts: 39
4. Next Year (as of September 30, 2025):
- Average Estimate: $7.23
- Low Estimate: $6.40
- High Estimate: $7.90
- Year Ago EPS: $6.59
- Number of Analysts: 39
Based on these estimates, we can see a generally positive trend in expected earnings per share for both the upcoming quarters and the next year compared to the previous year. This indicates potential growth and improvement in the company's financial performance according to analysts' projections.
Revenue estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company, with slightly higher growth expected in the next fiscal year compared to the current one.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.6%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 4.8%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.5%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1% per annum.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated growth rate for the next 5 years is 11% per annum.
These estimates suggest a positive growth trend for the company, with a slight decrease in growth rate expected in the near term compared to the past 5 years. However, the company is still projected to maintain a double-digit growth rate over the next 5 years according to analyst consensus.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD
Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a range of opinions on the future price of the security, with the low end at $164, the high end at $250, and the average forecast at $202.26. The current price is below both the average and median forecast, indicating that there is potential for growth according to the analysts' predictions.
MACD of AML
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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