Analysis Ameren Corp (AEE)
5/29/2024
Analysis of Ameren Corp (AEE)
Ameren Corp (AEE) has been showing a slight downtrend in the past few days, with the price closing at $71.23 on May 28th, down from $75.33 on May 15th. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is around 34, indicating the stock is approaching oversold conditions.The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is negative, with the MACD line below the signal line, suggesting a bearish trend. The MACD histogram is also negative, indicating downward momentum.
The Simple Moving Average (SMA) is around $74.06, the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is around $73.49, and the Weighted Moving Average (WMA) is around $73.83. These moving averages suggest a downward trend in the stock price.
Overall, based on the indicators and moving averages, it seems that Ameren Corp may continue its downward trend in the near term. Investors should closely monitor the RSI and MACD indicators for potential reversal signals.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous results from February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The results from January 31, 2025, were released after hours. The results from October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. The results from August 1, 2024, showed an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The company's financials show a strong cash flow, with operating cash flow at $110.56 billion and levered free cash flow at $84.73 billion. The balance sheet indicates a total cash of $67.15 billion, total debt of $104.59 billion, and a current ratio of 1.037. The book value per share is $4.837, total cash per share is $4.379, and the total debt to equity ratio is 140.968.In terms of profitability, the profit margin is 26.31% and the operating margin is 30.74%. The company has a return on assets of 22.07% and a return on equity of 147.25%. The most recent quarter ended on March 31, 2024, and the fiscal year ends on September 30, 2023.
From the income statement, we see an EBITDA of $131.39 billion, revenue of $381.62 billion, diluted EPS of 6.44, gross profit of $169.14 billion, revenue per share of $24.54, and net income to common of $100.39 billion. The quarterly revenue growth is -4.3% and the quarterly earnings growth year-over-year is -2.2%.
In terms of stock statistics, the company has a short ratio of 1.66, with 94.31 million shares shorted out of 1.53 billion float shares. The average 10-day volume is 52.90 million and the average 90-day volume is 62.82 million. The stock has a market capitalization of $2.91 trillion.
Valuation metrics show a PEG ratio of 26.21, forward PE of 26.21, trailing PE of 29.43, price to book ratio of 39.18, price to sales ratio of 7.62, enterprise value of $2.95 trillion, enterprise to EBITDA of 22.75, and enterprise to revenue of 7.73.
The stock price summary includes a beta of 1.264, 50-day moving average of $173.69, 200-day moving average of $180.79, 52-week low of $164.08, 52-week high of $199.62, and a 52-week change of 8.25%.
Lastly, in terms of dividends and splits, the company has a payout ratio of 14.93%, with a forward annual dividend rate of $1 and a trailing annual dividend rate of $0.97. The forward annual dividend yield is 0.53% and the trailing annual dividend yield is 0.51%. The dividend date is May 16, 2024, and the ex-dividend date is May 10, 2024. The last split date was August 31, 2020, with a 4-for-1 split. The 5-year average dividend yield is 0.73%.
Earnings estimate
The analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share are as follows:1. Current Quarter (as of June 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.33
- Low Estimate: $1.27
- High Estimate: $1.36
- Year Ago EPS: $1.26
- Number of Analysts: 26
2. Next Quarter (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.53
- Low Estimate: $1.44
- High Estimate: $1.63
- Year Ago EPS: $1.46
- Number of Analysts: 25
3. Current Year (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $6.59
- Low Estimate: $6.43
- High Estimate: $6.92
- Year Ago EPS: $6.13
- Number of Analysts: 39
4. Next Year (as of September 30, 2025):
- Average Estimate: $7.23
- Low Estimate: $6.40
- High Estimate: $7.90
- Year Ago EPS: $6.59
- Number of Analysts: 39
Based on these estimates, we can see a generally positive trend in the expected earnings per share for both the upcoming quarters and the next two years. The average estimates are showing growth compared to the year-ago EPS figures, indicating optimism among analysts regarding the company's performance.
Revenue estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
These estimates indicate a generally positive outlook for the company, with expected growth in both quarterly and annual sales over the coming years.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.6%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 4.8%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.5%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated growth rate for the next 5 years is 11%.
These estimates suggest a positive growth trend for the company, with a slightly lower growth rate expected in the near term compared to the historical average. However, the company is still projected to experience double-digit growth over the next 5 years according to analyst consensus.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD
Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a range of opinions regarding the future price of the security, with the low end at $164, the high end at $250, and the average at $202.26. The current price of the security is $191.57, which is below the median and average forecasted prices. Investors should consider these forecasts along with other factors when making investment decisions.
Income statement 💸
These are the revenues. Here are the conclusions:1. The company's sales have been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. The gross profit margin has been relatively stable, with gross profit ranging from around $105 billion to $169 billion.
3. Operating income has also shown a consistent growth trend, reaching $114.3 billion in 2023 from $66.3 billion in 2020.
4. Net income has been increasing over the years, from $57.4 billion in 2020 to $97 billion in 2023.
5. Earnings per share (EPS) have shown a slight fluctuation but have generally been on an upward trajectory.
6. The company has been able to maintain a healthy EBITDA margin, with EBITDA reaching $129.2 billion in 2023.
7. Despite an increase in income tax expenses, the company has managed to grow its net income continuously.
8. The company has been able to control its operating expenses effectively, allowing for growth in operating income.
9. Non-operating interest expenses have been managed efficiently, contributing to the company's overall financial performance.
10. The number of basic and diluted shares outstanding has remained relatively stable over the years.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets include cash, inventory, and receivables, with a significant portion in cash equivalents and short-term investments.
3. Non-current assets consist mainly of investments and advances, along with machinery, furniture, and equipment.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, but at a slower pace compared to assets.
5. Shareholders' equity has shown a positive trend, indicating a healthy financial position.
6. The company has been utilizing short-term debt for its operations, while long-term debt forms a significant part of non-current liabilities.
7. The company has been investing in leases, land, and improvements over the years.
8. Accumulated depreciation has been increasing, reflecting the aging of assets.
9. The company has been retaining earnings, contributing to the growth in shareholders' equity.
10. Overall, the financial health of the company seems stable and improving over the years.
Cash Flow 💶
This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value recorded in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its peak in 2020.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, issuance of long-term debt, and payment of dividends.
6. Investing activities include the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company seems to be managing its cash flow effectively, with a focus on operational performance and strategic investments.
MACD of AEE
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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