Analysis Aravali Securities & Finance Limited (ARAVALIS)
5/28/2024
Analysis of Aravali Securities & Finance Limited (ARAVALIS)
Aravali Securities & Finance Limited has shown a downward trend in its stock price over the past few days. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has been decreasing, indicating a weakening momentum. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator has also been negative, with the MACD line below the signal line.The stock price has been below the Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA), suggesting a bearish sentiment in the market.
Overall, based on the technical indicators, Aravali Securities & Finance Limited may be experiencing a bearish trend in the short term. Investors should closely monitor the stock's performance and market conditions before making any investment decisions.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company had an EPS estimate of 1.32.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.In terms of financials, the company has strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow, with a positive current ratio and a high total debt to equity ratio. The profit margin and operating margin are also healthy, indicating good financial performance. The company's fiscal year ends in September 2023, and the most recent quarter reported is March 2024. The company shows a good return on assets and return on equity.
Looking at stock statistics, the company has a low short ratio and a significant percentage of shares held by institutions. The stock price has a beta of 1.264 and has shown a change between the fifty-two-week low and high.
Valuation metrics show a relatively high PEG ratio and forward PE ratio. The company's market capitalization and enterprise value are substantial, with high price to book and price to sales ratios. The enterprise value to EBITDA and enterprise value to revenue ratios are also notable.
The stock price summary includes moving averages, fifty-two-week low and high prices, and the beta of the stock.
Lastly, dividends and splits information shows the company's dividend dates, split dates, and dividend yields. The company has a consistent dividend payout ratio and a history of dividend payments.
Income statement 💸
Here are the revenue figures for the company over the past four fiscal years:1. Fiscal Year 2020: Sales of $274,515,000,000
2. Fiscal Year 2021: Sales of $365,817,000,000
3. Fiscal Year 2022: Sales of $394,328,000,000
4. Fiscal Year 2023: Sales of $383,285,000,000
From these figures, we can observe the following trends:
- There was a steady increase in sales from 2020 to 2022, with a significant jump between 2021 and 2022.
- However, in 2023, there was a slight decrease in sales compared to the previous year.
Overall, the company experienced growth in revenue over the past four years, with a notable spike in sales in 2022.
Revenue estimate
Based on analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company, with a more significant increase expected in the next fiscal year.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided, we can draw the following conclusions about the growth rate of the company for different periods:1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.6%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 4.8%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.5%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1% per annum.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated growth rate for the next 5 years is 11% per annum.
These estimates suggest a positive growth trend for the company, with a slightly lower growth rate expected in the near term compared to the past performance. However, the company is still projected to experience double-digit growth over the next 5 years according to analyst consensus.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD
Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a range of opinions regarding the future price of the security, with the low end at $164, the high end at $250, and the average at $202.26. The current price is below both the average and median forecast, indicating a potential upside according to the analysts' predictions.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions based on the data provided:1. Total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $352,583,000,000.
2. Current assets fluctuate from year to year, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have shown an increasing trend, with the highest value in 2023 at $209,017,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $290,437,000,000.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2019 at $90,488,000,000.
6. The company has been relying more on non-current liabilities to finance its operations, as seen in the increasing trend of non-current liabilities over the years.
7. The company has been investing more in non-current assets, such as investments and advances, machinery, furniture, and equipment, which indicates potential long-term growth strategies.
8. The company has been managing its current assets and liabilities to maintain liquidity, as seen in the fluctuations of current assets and liabilities over the years.
Cash Flow 💶
This is a cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, issuance of long-term debt, and payment of dividends.
6. Investing activities include the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company seems to be managing its cash flow effectively, with a focus on generating positive cash flows from operating activities and making strategic investments and financing decisions.
Earnings estimate
The analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share are as follows:1. Current Quarter (as of June 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.33
- Low Estimate: $1.27
- High Estimate: $1.36
- Year Ago EPS: $1.26
- Number of Analysts: 26
2. Next Quarter (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.53
- Low Estimate: $1.44
- High Estimate: $1.63
- Year Ago EPS: $1.46
- Number of Analysts: 25
3. Current Year (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $6.59
- Low Estimate: $6.43
- High Estimate: $6.92
- Year Ago EPS: $6.13
- Number of Analysts: 39
4. Next Year (as of September 30, 2025):
- Average Estimate: $7.23
- Low Estimate: $6.40
- High Estimate: $7.90
- Year Ago EPS: $6.59
- Number of Analysts: 39
Based on these estimates, we can see a generally positive outlook with an expected increase in earnings per share for both the upcoming quarters and the next year compared to the previous year's performance. It indicates growth and confidence from analysts in the company's future earnings potential.
MACD of ARAVALIS
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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