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Analysis Argosy Minerals Limited (ARYMF)

5/26/2024

Analysis Argosy Minerals Limited (ARYMF)

Analysis of Argosy Minerals Limited (ARYMF)

Argosy Minerals Limited (ARYMF) has been showing some volatility in its stock price over the past few days. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) values have been fluctuating around the mid-range, indicating a lack of strong momentum in either direction.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator has been hovering around the zero line, suggesting a balance between bullish and bearish signals. The MACD histogram has been showing small fluctuations, indicating some indecision in the market.

The Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) values have been relatively close to each other, indicating a stable trend in the stock price.

Overall, based on the technical indicators, it seems that Argosy Minerals Limited is currently experiencing a period of consolidation with no clear trend direction. Traders and investors may want to closely monitor the stock for any potential breakout or reversal signals in the coming days.

Cash Flow 💶

This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value recorded in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchases, long-term debt issuances and payments, and dividend payments.
5. Investing activities include acquisitions, investments, and capital expenditures, with significant variations in values each year.
6. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020 and its lowest in 2022.
7. Stock-based compensation has been a significant factor in the company's financial activities each year.
8. The company has been actively managing its cash flow through various financing and investing activities to support its operations and growth.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets have fluctuated but generally show an increasing trend.
3. Non-current assets have also been increasing steadily.
4. Total liabilities have been increasing, but at a slower pace compared to total assets.
5. Shareholders' equity has been increasing over the years, indicating a positive trend in the company's financial health.
6. The company has been managing its short-term and long-term debts effectively.
7. Investments and advances have been a significant part of the company's non-current assets.
8. Accumulated depreciation has been consistently high, indicating significant wear and tear on the company's assets.
9. The company has been maintaining a healthy cash position with varying amounts of cash, cash equivalents, and short-term investments.
10. Overall, the financial position of the company seems stable and improving over the years.

Earnings

The company's results for the latest quarter on April 30, 2025, were not provided at a specific time. The previous quarter's results on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The results for January 31, 2025, were released after hours. The results for October 31, 2024, were not provided at a specific time. On August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.33, but the time of the announcement was not specified.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provides a comprehensive overview of the financial and stock-related metrics for a specific company. Here are the key points:

1. **Financials**:
- **Cash Flow**: Operating cash flow for the trailing twelve months (TTM) is $110,563,000,320, and levered free cash flow TTM is $84,726,874,112.
- **Balance Sheet**: Total cash on a quarterly basis is $67,150,000,128, total debt on a quarterly basis is $104,590,000,128, current ratio is 1.037, book value per share is $4.837, total cash per share is $4.379, and total debt to equity ratio is 140.968.
- **Profit Margin**: The profit margin is 26.306%.
- **Income Statement**: EBITDA is $131,393,000,000, revenue TTM is $381,623,009,280, diluted EPS TTM is $6.44, gross profit TTM is $169,148,000,000, revenue per share TTM is $24.537, net income to common TTM is $100,389,003,264, quarterly revenue growth is -4.3%, and quarterly earnings growth year-over-year is -2.2%.
- **Operating Margin**: The operating margin is 30.743%.
- **Return on Assets and Equity**: Return on assets TTM is 22.073999% and return on equity TTM is 147.25%.
- **Fiscal Year**: Ends on September 30, 2023.
- **Most Recent Quarter**: Ended on March 31, 2024.

2. **Stock Statistics**:
- Various stock-related metrics such as short ratio, float shares, shares short, average volumes, shares outstanding, percentage held by insiders and institutions, and short percent of shares outstanding.

3. **Valuations Metrics**:
- Metrics like PEG ratio, forward and trailing P/E ratios, enterprise value, price to book ratio, price to sales ratio, enterprise to EBITDA ratio, enterprise to revenue ratio, and market capitalization.

4. **Stock Price Summary**:
- Includes beta, 50-day and 200-day moving averages, fifty-two-week low and high prices, and the change in the fifty-two-week range.

5. **Dividends and Splits**:
- Details on payout ratio, dividend dates, split dates, dividend rates, and yields.

Overall, these data points offer insights into the company's financial health, stock performance, valuations, and dividend policies.

Income statement 💸

Here are the revenue figures for the company over the past four fiscal years:

1. Fiscal Year 2023: Sales of $383,285,000,000
2. Fiscal Year 2022: Sales of $394,328,000,000
3. Fiscal Year 2021: Sales of $365,817,000,000
4. Fiscal Year 2020: Sales of $274,515,000,000

From these figures, we can observe the following trends:
- The company experienced a significant increase in sales from FY 2020 to FY 2022, followed by a slight decrease in FY 2023.
- Overall, there has been a positive growth trajectory in sales over the past four years, indicating a healthy revenue stream for the company.
- It would be beneficial to further analyze the factors contributing to the fluctuations in sales between the different fiscal years to make informed business decisions.

Earnings estimate

The analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share are as follows:

1. Current Quarter (as of June 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.33
- Low Estimate: $1.27
- High Estimate: $1.36
- Year Ago EPS: $1.26
- Number of Analysts: 26

2. Next Quarter (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.53
- Low Estimate: $1.44
- High Estimate: $1.63
- Year Ago EPS: $1.46
- Number of Analysts: 25

3. Current Year (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $6.59
- Low Estimate: $6.43
- High Estimate: $6.92
- Year Ago EPS: $6.13
- Number of Analysts: 39

4. Next Year (as of September 30, 2025):
- Average Estimate: $7.23
- Low Estimate: $6.40
- High Estimate: $7.90
- Year Ago EPS: $6.59
- Number of Analysts: 39

Based on these estimates, we can see a generally positive trend in the expected earnings per share for both the upcoming quarters and years, with an increase compared to the previous year's EPS in most cases. This indicates a positive outlook for the company's financial performance according to analysts.

Revenue estimate

Based on analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company, with slightly higher growth expected in the next fiscal year compared to the current one.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:

1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.6%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 4.8%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.5%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1% per annum.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated growth rate for the next 5 years is 11% per annum.

These estimates suggest a positive growth trend for the company, with a slightly lower growth rate expected in the next 5 years compared to the past 5 years. The company is projected to experience steady growth in the short term, with a higher growth rate expected in the next year compared to the current year.

Price target

The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:
- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD

Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a range of opinions on the future price of the security, with the low end at $164, the high end at $250, and the average forecast at $202.26. The current price of the security is $191.57, which is below the median and average forecast, indicating that there is potential for growth according to the analysts' predictions.

MACD of ARYMF

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment Group S.A. at Al. Aleje Jerozolimskie 65 / 79, 00-697 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000335507, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204. Honey Payment Group is listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) under the ticker symbol HPG. Link