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Analysis Arnoldo Mondadori Editore S.p.A. (0KAV)

5/30/2024

Analysis Arnoldo Mondadori Editore S.p.A. (0KAV)

Analysis of Arnoldo Mondadori Editore S.p.A. (0KAV)

Arnoldo Mondadori Editore S.p.A. is an Italian publishing company that operates in the publishing sector, with a focus on books, magazines, and digital media. The company has a long history and is one of the leading publishing houses in Italy.

Looking at the provided financial data for the stock symbol '0KAV', we can see that the stock has been exhibiting some volatility in its price movements. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator is showing values around 50-60, indicating a moderate level of momentum in the stock's price changes.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is hovering around the zero line, suggesting a balance between the short-term and long-term price trends. The MACD histogram shows fluctuations around zero, indicating some indecision in the market.

The Moving Average (MA) indicator, Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) are all showing values close to the current price, reflecting the recent price movements.

Overall, based on the provided data, Arnoldo Mondadori Editore S.p.A. seems to be experiencing some stability in its stock price, with moderate momentum and some indecision in the market. It would be important to consider additional factors and conduct a more in-depth analysis before making any investment decisions.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets fluctuate, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2019 at $175,697,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching $255,355,000,000 in 2018.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2018 at $107,147,000,000.

Cash Flow 💶

This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has been consistently higher than free cash flow, indicating that the company is generating sufficient cash from its core operations.
3. The company has been paying a significant amount in income taxes each year, with the highest amount paid in 2021.
4. The end cash position has also varied, with the highest value in 2020 and the lowest in 2022.
5. Financing activities have had a significant impact on the company's cash flow, with large amounts being used for common stock repurchase and debt issuance.
6. Investing activities have also been substantial, with the company making investments through acquisitions and the purchase of investments.
7. Overall, the company's cash flow statement reflects a mix of operational, financing, and investing activities that have influenced its cash position over the years.

Earnings estimate

The analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share are as follows:

1. Current Quarter (as of June 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.33
- Low Estimate: $1.27
- High Estimate: $1.36
- Year Ago EPS: $1.26
- Number of Analysts: 26

2. Next Quarter (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.53
- Low Estimate: $1.44
- High Estimate: $1.63
- Year Ago EPS: $1.46
- Number of Analysts: 25

3. Current Year (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $6.59
- Low Estimate: $6.43
- High Estimate: $6.92
- Year Ago EPS: $6.13
- Number of Analysts: 39

4. Next Year (as of September 30, 2025):
- Average Estimate: $7.23
- Low Estimate: $6.40
- High Estimate: $7.90
- Year Ago EPS: $6.59
- Number of Analysts: 39

Based on these estimates, we can see a generally positive trend in the expected earnings per share for both the upcoming quarters and years, with the numbers generally increasing compared to the previous year's earnings. This indicates potential growth and improvement in the company's financial performance according to analysts' projections.

Revenue estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company, with a slightly higher growth rate expected in the next fiscal year compared to the current one.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:

1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.6%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 4.8%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.5%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated growth rate for the next 5 years is 11%.

These estimates suggest a positive growth trend for the company, with a slightly lower growth rate expected in the near term compared to the historical average. However, the company is still projected to experience double-digit growth over the next 5 years according to analyst consensus.

Price target

The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security paper is as follows:
- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD

Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a range of opinions on the future price of the security paper, with the low end at $164, the high end at $250, and the average at $202.26. The current price is below both the average and median forecast, indicating a potential opportunity for growth according to the analysts' predictions.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided yet. The previous results from February 27, 2025, were handled by the transfer agent. The results from January 31, 2025, were released after hours. The results from October 31, 2024, were not provided at a specific time. The results from August 1, 2024, showed an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provides a comprehensive overview of the financial and stock-related metrics for a company. Here are the key points:

1. **Financials**:
- **Cash Flow**: Operating cash flow for the trailing twelve months (TTM) is $110,563,000,320. Levered free cash flow TTM is $84,726,874,112.
- **Balance Sheet**: Total cash on a most recent quarter (MRQ) basis is $67,150,000,128. Total debt MRQ is $104,590,000,128. Current ratio MRQ is 1.037. Book value per share MRQ is $4.837. Total cash per share MRQ is $4.379. Total debt to equity MRQ is 140.968.
- **Profit Margin**: The profit margin is 26.306%.
- **Income Statement**: EBITDA is $131,393,000,000. Revenue TTM is $381,623,009,280. Diluted EPS TTM is $6.43. Gross profit TTM is $169,148,000,000. Revenue per share TTM is $24.537. Net income to common TTM is $100,389,003,264. Quarterly revenue growth is -4.3%. Quarterly earnings growth year-over-year is -2.2%.
- **Operating Margin**: The operating margin is 30.743%.
- **Return on Assets (ROA)**: ROA TTM is 22.073999%.
- **Return on Equity (ROE)**: ROE TTM is 147.25%.
- **Fiscal Year Ends**: The fiscal year ends on September 30, 2023.
- **Most Recent Quarter**: The most recent quarter is March 31, 2024.

2. **Stock Statistics**:
- **Short Ratio**: 1.53.
- **Float Shares**: 15,308,320,742.
- **Shares Short**: 99,287,450.
- **Average Volume (10-day)**: 46,860,048.
- **Average Volume (90-day)**: 57,498,254.
- **Shares Outstanding**: 15,334,099,968.
- **Percent Held by Insiders**: 5.22%.
- **Percent Held by Institutions**: 57.589%.
- **Short Percent of Shares Outstanding**: 0.65%.

3. **Valuations Metrics**:
- **PEG Ratio**: 26.319502.
- **Forward PE**: 26.319502.
- **Trailing PE**: 29.59409.
- **Enterprise Value**: $2,950,762,332,160.
- **Price to Book MRQ**: 39.3405.
- **Price to Sales TTM**: 7.646095.
- **Enterprise to EBITDA**: 22.763.
- **Enterprise to Revenue**: 7.732.
- **Market Capitalization**: $2,917,925,650,432.

4. **Stock Price Summary**:
- **Beta**: 1.264.
- **50-day Moving Average**: $176.2646.
- **200-day Moving Average**: $181.0429.
- **52-week Low**: $164.08.
- **52-week High**: $199.62.
- **52-week Change**: 6.853%.

5. **Dividends and Splits**:
- **Payout Ratio**: 14.93%.
- **Dividend Date**: May 16, 2024.
- **Last Split Date**: August 31, 2020.
- **Ex-Dividend Date**: May 10, 2024.
- **Last Split Factor**: 4-for-1 split.
- **Forward Annual Dividend Rate**: $1.
- **5-Year Average Dividend Yield**: 0.73%.
- **Forward Annual Dividend Yield**: 0.5255%.
- **Trailing Annual Dividend Rate**: $0.97.
- **Trailing Annual Dividend Yield**: 0.5097%.

Income statement 💸

Here are the revenue figures for the company over the past four fiscal years:

- 2020: $274,515,000,000
- 2021: $365,817,000,000
- 2022: $394,328,000,000
- 2023: $383,285,000,000

From these numbers, we can observe that the company has experienced a steady increase in revenue from 2020 to 2022, with a slight decrease in 2023. This indicates a positive growth trend in the company's top line.

MACD of 0KAV

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment Group S.A. at Al. Aleje Jerozolimskie 65 / 79, 00-697 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000335507, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204. Honey Payment Group is listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) under the ticker symbol HPG. Link