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Analysis ASM International N.V. (ASMXF)

5/28/2024

Analysis ASM International N.V. (ASMXF)

Analysis of ASM International N.V. (ASMXF)

ASM International N.V. (ASMXF) is showing some interesting trends based on the provided data:

1. Price Movement: The closing price has been relatively stable around 689.26 for the past few days, indicating a possible consolidation phase in the stock.

2. Technical Indicators:
- RSI Indicator: The RSI value of 68.68 suggests that the stock is currently in overbought territory, which could potentially lead to a reversal in the short term.
- MACD Indicator: The MACD line is above the signal line, but the MACD histogram has been decreasing, indicating a potential weakening of the bullish momentum.

3. Moving Averages:
- The Simple Moving Average (SMA) and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) are both above the current price, suggesting a bullish trend.
- The Weighted Moving Average (WMA) is also above the current price, further supporting the bullish outlook.

Overall, based on the technical indicators and moving averages, ASM International N.V. seems to be in a short-term consolidation phase with a potential for a reversal in the near future. Traders and investors should closely monitor the RSI levels and MACD indicators for any signs of a trend change.

Cash Flow 💶

This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. Financing activities show significant fluctuations, with large amounts being spent on common stock repurchase and debt issuance/payment.
4. Investing activities also vary, with notable amounts spent on the sale and purchase of investments.
5. The end cash position has been relatively stable, with some fluctuations due to the company's financial activities.
6. Interest paid has increased over the years, which could indicate higher debt levels or interest rates.
7. Income tax paid has also fluctuated, possibly due to changes in profitability or tax regulations.
8. Stock-based compensation has been a significant expense for the company, impacting its cash flow.
9. The company has been managing its cash flow well, but there are areas, such as debt management and investment decisions, that may require further attention.

Earnings estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.33, which is higher than the EPS of $1.26 from the same quarter a year ago. The range of estimates is between $1.27 and $1.36, as provided by 26 analysts.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.53, compared to $1.46 from the previous year. The estimates range from $1.44 to $1.63, based on 25 analysts.

3. Looking at the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $6.59, an increase from the previous year's EPS of $6.13. The analysts' estimates range from $6.43 to $6.92, with insights from 39 analysts.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimated EPS is $7.23, with a range of estimates between $6.40 and $7.90. This forecast is based on inputs from 39 analysts.

Overall, the analysts are projecting growth in earnings per share both for the upcoming quarters and the full fiscal years, indicating positive expectations for the company's performance.

Revenue estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year.

Overall, the analysts are predicting a moderate growth in sales for both the upcoming quarters and the next fiscal year. It indicates a positive outlook for the company's revenue performance in the near future.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:

1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.6%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 4.8%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.5%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 11%.

These estimates suggest a positive growth trend for the company, with a slightly lower growth rate expected in the next 5 years compared to the past 5 years. It indicates a healthy growth trajectory for the company in the near term and beyond.

Price target

The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:
- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD

Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a range of opinions regarding the future price of the security, with the low end at $164, the high end at $250, and the average at $202.26. The current price is below both the average and median forecast, indicating that there is potential for growth according to the analysts' predictions.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets include cash, inventory, and receivables, with a significant portion in cash equivalents and short-term investments.
3. Non-current assets consist mainly of investments, machinery, and land improvements.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, but at a slower pace compared to assets.
5. Shareholders' equity has shown a positive trend, indicating a healthy financial position.
6. The company has been managing its short-term and long-term debts effectively.
7. Accumulated depreciation has been significant, affecting the value of non-current assets.
8. Provision for risks and charges has been relatively stable over the years.
9. The company has been investing in leases and other non-current assets to support its operations.
10. Overall, the financial health of the company seems stable and improving over the years.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided yet. The previous results from February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The results from January 31, 2025, were released after hours. The results from October 31, 2024, were not provided at a specific time. The results from August 1, 2024, showed an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits for a specific company.

In terms of financials, the company has strong cash flow with operating cash flow at $110.56 billion and levered free cash flow at $84.73 billion. The balance sheet shows a total cash of $67.15 billion, total debt of $104.59 billion, and a current ratio of 1.037. The profit margin is 26.31% and the company's fiscal year ends on September 30, 2023. The income statement reveals an EBITDA of $131.39 billion, revenue of $381.62 billion, and a diluted EPS of 6.44.

Moving on to stock statistics, the company has a short ratio of 1.66, with 94.31 million shares shorted out of 15.31 billion float shares. The average 10-day trading volume is 52.90 million shares, while the average 90-day trading volume is 62.82 million shares. The company has a market capitalization of $2.91 trillion.

Valuation metrics show a PEG ratio of 26.21, forward P/E of 26.21, and trailing P/E of 29.43. The enterprise value is $2.95 trillion, with a price-to-book ratio of 39.18 and price-to-sales ratio of 7.62. The company's enterprise to EBITDA ratio is 22.75 and enterprise to revenue ratio is 7.73.

In terms of stock price summary, the company has a beta of 1.26, with a 50-day moving average of $173.69 and a 200-day moving average of $180.79. The stock's 52-week low is $164.08, high is $199.62, and the change over the past 52 weeks is 8.25%.

Lastly, dividends and splits information show a payout ratio of 14.93%, with a forward annual dividend rate of $1 and a trailing annual dividend rate of $0.97. The company's ex-dividend date is May 10, 2024, with a dividend date of May 16, 2024. The last split date was on August 31, 2020, with a 4-for-1 split. The 5-year average dividend yield is 0.73% and the forward annual dividend yield is 0.53%.

Income statement 💸

These are the revenues. Here are the conclusions:

1. The company's sales have been increasing steadily over the past four fiscal years.
2. The EBITDA has also shown a positive trend, indicating strong operational performance.
3. Net income has been growing consistently, reflecting the company's profitability.
4. Despite fluctuations in other income and expenses, the company has managed to maintain a healthy bottom line.
5. The basic and diluted earnings per share (EPS) have shown a slight variation but have generally been on an upward trajectory.
6. The company has effectively managed its operating expenses in relation to its gross profit and sales.
7. Overall, the financial performance of the company seems to be robust and improving over the years.

MACD of ASMXF

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment Group S.A. at Al. Aleje Jerozolimskie 65 / 79, 00-697 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000335507, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204. Honey Payment Group is listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) under the ticker symbol HPG. Link