Analysis AT&T Inc (T)

6/5/2024

Analysis of AT&T Inc (T)

AT&T Inc. (T) has been showing a bullish trend recently based on the provided data. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) values have been consistently above 50, indicating strength in the stock's price movement. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is also positive, with the MACD line consistently above the signal line, suggesting a bullish momentum.

The stock's price has been generally increasing, with the closing price higher than the opening price in most of the recent days. The Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) have been trending upwards, indicating a positive price trend.

Overall, based on the RSI, MACD, and moving averages, AT&T Inc. seems to be in a bullish phase, with potential for further price appreciation. However, it's important to consider other factors and conduct a more comprehensive analysis before making any investment decisions.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.

In terms of financials, the company has strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow, with a positive profit margin and healthy return on assets and equity. The balance sheet shows a current ratio slightly above 1, indicating good liquidity, but a high total debt to equity ratio. The income statement highlights significant revenue and EBITDA, with a positive diluted EPS and net income to common shareholders. However, there has been a decline in quarterly revenue and earnings growth year over year.

Moving on to stock statistics, the company has a low short ratio and short percent of shares outstanding, with a significant percentage held by institutions. The stock price summary shows volatility with a beta above 1, and the stock price has fluctuated between a fifty-two-week low and high.

Valuation metrics indicate a high PEG ratio and price to book ratio, with the stock trading at a relatively high forward and trailing PE. The enterprise value is substantial compared to revenue and EBITDA, with a market capitalization reflecting the company's size.

Lastly, dividends and splits information reveal a moderate payout ratio and dividend yield, with regular dividend payments and historical splits. The company's dividend dates and rates are also provided for investors to consider.

Income statement 💸

These are the revenue figures. Here are the conclusions:

1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the past four fiscal years.
2. The EBITDA (Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization) has also shown a positive trend, indicating operational efficiency.
3. Net income has been growing consistently, reflecting the company's profitability.
4. Despite fluctuations in other income and expenses, the company has managed to maintain a strong operating income.
5. The company has been able to effectively manage its cost of goods sold, leading to healthy gross profits.
6. Diluted EPS (Earnings Per Share) has remained relatively stable over the years, indicating a consistent performance in generating earnings for shareholders.
7. The company's tax expenses have also increased in line with the growth in revenue and income.
8. Overall, the financial performance of the company seems robust and on an upward trajectory.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets have fluctuated, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have shown an increasing trend, peaking at $234,386,000,000 in 2018.
4. Total liabilities have also been on the rise, with the highest value in 2018 at $255,355,000,000.
5. Shareholders' equity has generally increased, with the highest value in 2018 at $107,147,000,000.
6. The company has been investing more in non-current assets over the years, indicating potential long-term growth strategies.
7. There is a consistent increase in retained earnings, reflecting the company's profitability and reinvestment of profits.
8. The company has been managing its debt levels, with fluctuations in short-term and long-term debts over the years.
9. Overall, the financial health of the company seems stable, with a focus on long-term growth and maintaining a strong equity position.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous results were reported on February 27, 2025, through the Transfer Agent. Before that, on January 31, 2025, the results were released after hours. The results for October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. On August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.

Cash Flow 💶

This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value recorded in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its peak in 2020.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, issuance of long-term debt, and payment of dividends.
6. Investing activities include the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company's financial performance seems to be stable, with some fluctuations in key financial metrics.

Earnings estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share (EPS):

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This is also an increase from the EPS of $1.35 in the same quarter last year.

3. Looking at the estimates for the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $6.10, ranging from a low estimate of $5.95 to a high estimate of $6.41. This indicates growth compared to the EPS of $5.67 from the previous fiscal year.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average EPS estimate is $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This suggests further growth from the EPS of $6.10 in the current fiscal year.

Overall, the analysts are forecasting a positive trend of increasing earnings per share for both the upcoming quarters and the next fiscal years.

Revenue estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $85,501,800,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $357,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $380,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.

Overall, the analysts are generally optimistic about the company's future sales performance, with moderate growth expected in both the quarterly and annual sales figures.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided:
- The current year growth rate is 7.6%
- The next quarter growth rate is 5.1%
- The current quarter growth rate is 5.1%
- The next year growth rate is 9.7%
- The average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 9.7%
- The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%

It can be observed that the company is expected to experience a significant increase in growth rate from the past 5 years to the next 5 years. The growth rates for the current and next quarter are the same, indicating a steady growth pattern in the short term. The highest growth rate is projected for the next year.

Price target

The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:
- Low: $164
- High: $275
- Median: $201.43
- Average: $204.58
- Current price: $192.25

Based on these forecasts, it appears that the analysts are generally optimistic about the future price of the security, with a median forecast above the current price. However, there is a wide range of estimates, from a low of $164 to a high of $275, indicating some uncertainty in the predictions.