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Analysis Aterian, Inc. (ATER)

5/29/2024

Analysis Aterian, Inc. (ATER)

Analysis of Aterian, Inc. (ATER)

Aterian, Inc. is showing some interesting price movements and technical indicators based on the provided data:

1. **Price Movement**: The stock price has been fluctuating between $2.59 and $3.12 over the past 10 days, with some volatility in between.

2. **Relative Strength Index (RSI)**: The RSI values have been hovering around 50-70, indicating a neutral to slightly overbought market sentiment.

3. **Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD)**: The MACD line has been fluctuating around the signal line, showing some indecision in the short-term trend.

4. **Moving Averages (MA)**: The Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) are all showing a slight downward trend, indicating a possible bearish sentiment.

Overall, Aterian, Inc. seems to be experiencing some consolidation and uncertainty in its price movement. Traders and investors may want to closely monitor the technical indicators for potential trend reversals or breakouts in the near future.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released After Hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.

In terms of financials, key figures such as cash flow, balance sheet details, profit margins, income statement metrics, and return on assets and equity are provided. The fiscal year ends in September 2023, with the most recent quarter ending in March 2024.

Stock statistics cover details such as short ratio, shares outstanding, insider and institutional holdings, and short percentage of shares outstanding.

Valuation metrics include figures like PEG ratio, PE ratios, enterprise value, price to book, price to sales, and market capitalization.

Stock price summary provides information on beta, moving averages, fifty-two week high and low, and the change in the fifty-two week range.

Lastly, dividends and splits data includes payout ratio, dividend dates, split dates, dividend rates, and yield information.

Income statement 💸

These are the revenue figures. Here are the conclusions:

1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. Despite the increase in sales, the cost of goods sold has also been rising, indicating a potential need for cost management.
3. The gross profit margin has remained relatively stable over the years, suggesting efficient cost control measures.
4. Earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) have shown an upward trend, reaching $117.7 billion in 2023 from $69.96 billion in 2020.
5. Net income has also been increasing consistently, from $57.41 billion in 2020 to $96.99 billion in 2023.
6. The company has been able to maintain a healthy EBITDA margin, indicating strong operational performance.
7. Diluted earnings per share (EPS) have shown a slight fluctuation but have generally increased over the years.
8. The company's continuous focus on research and development is evident from the increasing expenditure in this area.
9. Overall, the financial performance of the company seems to be on a positive trajectory, with growth in revenue and profitability metrics.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets fluctuate, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2019 at $175,697,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching $255,355,000,000 in 2018.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2018 at $107,147,000,000.

Cash Flow 💶

This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has been relatively stable over the years, indicating consistent operational performance.
3. The company has been paying a significant amount in income taxes each year, with a slight decrease in 2020.
4. Interest paid has also varied, with a notable increase in 2023 compared to previous years.
5. The company has been actively involved in financing activities, including common stock repurchases, debt issuances, and dividends.
6. Investing activities have seen fluctuations, particularly in the sale and purchase of investments.
7. The end cash position has been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
8. Stock-based compensation has been a significant factor in the company's financial activities.
9. The company's net income has been relatively stable over the years.
10. The company has been managing its accounts payable and accounts receivable effectively.

Earnings estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.33, with a low estimate of $1.27 and a high estimate of $1.36. This shows growth compared to the EPS of $1.26 from a year ago.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.53, with a low estimate of $1.44 and a high estimate of $1.63. This indicates an increase from the EPS of $1.46 from a year ago.

3. For the current year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $6.59, with a low estimate of $6.43 and a high estimate of $6.92. This reflects growth compared to the EPS of $6.13 from the previous year.

4. For the next year ending on September 30, 2025, the average EPS estimate is $7.23, with a low estimate of $6.40 and a high estimate of $7.90. This suggests an increase from the EPS of $6.59 from the previous year.

Overall, the analysts are forecasting growth in earnings per share for both the upcoming quarters and the next two fiscal years.

Revenue estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company, with slightly higher growth expected in the next fiscal year compared to the current one.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:

1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.6%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 4.8%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.5%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1% per annum.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated growth rate for the next 5 years is 11% per annum.

These estimates suggest that the company has been experiencing strong growth in the past, but analysts expect the growth rate to moderate slightly in the coming years, although it is still projected to be positive.

Price target

Based on the analysts' forecast, the future price of the security is expected to range between $164 (low) and $250 (high), with a median estimate of $200 and an average estimate of $202.26. The current price of the security is $191.57.

MACD of ATER

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment Group S.A. at Al. Aleje Jerozolimskie 65 / 79, 00-697 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000335507, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204. Honey Payment Group is listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) under the ticker symbol HPG. Link