Analysis Avis Budget Group Inc (CAR)
5/31/2024
Analysis of Avis Budget Group Inc (CAR)
Avis Budget Group Inc (CAR) has been showing some volatility in its stock price recently. The RSI indicator is hovering around the mid-range, indicating a neutral sentiment in the market. The MACD indicator is positive, suggesting a bullish trend, but the MACD histogram shows some weakening momentum.The moving averages (SMA, EMA, WMA) are relatively close to each other, indicating a lack of clear trend direction. The stock price has been fluctuating between highs and lows, with no clear trend emerging.
Overall, Avis Budget Group Inc seems to be in a consolidation phase, with mixed signals from technical indicators. Traders and investors may want to wait for a clearer trend to develop before making any significant trading decisions.
Earnings estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share (EPS):1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This is also an increase from the EPS of $1.35 in the same quarter last year.
3. Looking at the estimates for the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $6.10, ranging from a low estimate of $5.95 to a high estimate of $6.41. This indicates growth from the EPS of $5.67 for the previous fiscal year.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average EPS estimate is $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This forecast suggests further growth compared to the EPS of $6.10 in the current fiscal year.
Overall, the analysts are predicting a positive trend of increasing earnings per share for the company in both the short term and the long term.
Revenue estimate
The analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company indicate a moderate growth trend.For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same period last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
Looking at the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimate is $85,501,800,000, showing a sales growth of 3% year-over-year. The number of analysts remains at 25.
For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimate is $357,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous year. The number of analysts providing estimates has increased to 38.
In the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimate is $380,772,000,000, indicating a more significant sales growth of 6% year-over-year. The number of analysts remains at 38.
Overall, the estimates suggest a steady growth trajectory for the company's sales in both the short term and the long term, with a slightly more optimistic outlook for the next fiscal year.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided:- The company is expected to experience a growth rate of 7.5% in the current year and 9.7% in the next year.
- For the current quarter, the growth rate is estimated to be 5.6%, while for the next quarter it is projected to be 4.8%.
- Over the next 5 years, the company is expected to achieve an average annual growth rate of 11%.
- However, when looking at the past 5 years, the company has actually achieved a higher average annual growth rate of approximately 20.1%.
Overall, the company is expected to maintain a positive growth trajectory, with a slightly lower growth rate in the short term compared to the long-term average.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD
Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a range of opinions on the future price of the security, with the low end at $164, the high end at $250, and the average at $202.26. The current price is below both the average and median forecast, indicating that there is potential for growth according to the analysts' predictions.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The results for the quarter ending on January 31, 2025, were released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provides a comprehensive overview of the financial and stock-related metrics for a specific company. Here are the key points:1. **Financials**:
- **Cash Flow**: Operating cash flow for the trailing twelve months (TTM) is $110,563,000,320. Levered free cash flow TTM is $84,726,874,112.
- **Balance Sheet**: Total cash on a quarterly basis is $67,150,000,128. Total debt on a quarterly basis is $104,590,000,128. Current ratio is 1.037. Book value per share is $4.837. Total cash per share is $4.379. Total debt to equity ratio is 140.968.
- **Profit Margin**: The profit margin is 26.306%.
- **Income Statement**: EBITDA is $131,393,000,000. Revenue TTM is $381,623,009,280. Diluted EPS TTM is $6.43. Gross profit TTM is $169,148,000,000. Revenue per share TTM is $24.537. Net income to common TTM is $100,389,003,264. Quarterly revenue growth is -4.3%. Quarterly earnings growth year-over-year is -2.2%.
- **Operating Margin**: The operating margin is 30.743%.
- **Return on Assets**: Return on assets TTM is 22.073999%.
- **Return on Equity**: Return on equity TTM is 147.25%.
2. **Stock Statistics**:
- **Short Interest**: Short ratio is 1.53. Float shares are 15,308,320,742. Shares short are 99,287,450. Average 10-day volume is 46,860,048. Average 90-day volume is 57,498,254. Shares outstanding are 15,334,099,968. Percentage held by insiders is 5.22%. Percentage held by institutions is 57.589%. Short percent of shares outstanding is 0.65%.
3. **Valuations Metrics**:
- **P/E Ratios**: PEG ratio is 26.319502. Forward P/E is 26.319502. Trailing P/E is 29.59409.
- **Enterprise Value**: Enterprise value is $2,950,762,332,160.
- **Price Metrics**: Price to book ratio is 39.3405. Price to sales TTM is 7.646095.
- **Enterprise Multiples**: Enterprise to EBITDA is 22.763. Enterprise to revenue is 7.732.
- **Market Capitalization**: Market capitalization is $2,917,925,650,432.
4. **Stock Price Summary**:
- **Market Performance**: Beta is 1.264. 50-day moving average is $176.2646. 200-day moving average is $181.0429. 52-week low is $164.08. 52-week high is $199.62. 52-week change is 6.853%.
5. **Dividends and Splits**:
- **Dividend Information**: Payout ratio is 14.93%. Dividend date is May 16, 2024. Last split date is August 31, 2020. Ex-dividend date is May 10, 2024. Last split factor is a 4-for-1 split. Forward annual dividend rate is $1. 5-year average dividend yield is 0.73%. Forward annual dividend yield is 0.5255%. Trailing annual dividend rate is $0.97. Trailing annual dividend yield is 0.5097%.
Income statement 💸
These are the revenue figures. Here are the conclusions:1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. The gross profit margin has been relatively stable, with gross profit ranging from around $105 billion to $169 billion.
3. Operating income has also shown a consistent growth trend, reaching $114.3 billion in 2023 from $66.3 billion in 2020.
4. Net income has been increasing over the years, from $57.4 billion in 2020 to $97 billion in 2023.
5. Earnings per share (EPS) have shown a slight fluctuation but have generally been on an upward trajectory.
6. The company has been able to maintain a healthy EBITDA margin, with EBITDA reaching $129.2 billion in 2023.
7. Despite an increase in income tax expenses, the company has managed to grow its net income continuously.
8. The company has been able to control its operating expenses effectively, allowing for growth in operating income.
9. Non-operating interest expenses have been relatively stable, indicating a consistent financial management approach.
10. The number of basic and diluted shares outstanding has remained stable over the years.
Overall, the financial performance of the company has been positive, with consistent revenue growth, effective cost management, and increasing profitability.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets fluctuate, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2019 at $175,697,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching $255,355,000,000 in 2018.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2018 at $107,147,000,000.
Cash Flow 💶
This is a cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, long-term debt issuance, and payments, with significant fluctuations in values.
6. Investing activities indicate a mix of acquisitions, investments, and capital expenditures, with varying levels of cash flow.
7. Overall, the company's financial performance seems to be stable, with some fluctuations in key financial metrics over the years.
MACD of CAR
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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