Analysis Aviva Plc (AIVAF)
5/29/2024
Analysis of Aviva Plc (AIVAF)
Aviva Plc (AIVAF) has shown consistent stability in its stock price, with the closing price remaining at 6.38 for several consecutive days. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator is high at around 68.99, indicating that the stock may be overbought.Looking at the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator, we see a positive value of 0.09, with the MACD line above the signal line, suggesting a bullish trend. The MACD histogram is also positive, indicating upward momentum.
In terms of moving averages, the Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) are all showing an increasing trend, further supporting the bullish outlook.
Overall, based on the technical indicators, Aviva Plc seems to be in a strong position with potential for further price appreciation. However, investors should keep an eye on the high RSI value, which could signal a possible correction in the near future.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.In terms of financials, the company has strong cash flow with operating cash flow at $110.56 billion and levered free cash flow at $84.73 billion. The balance sheet shows a total cash of $67.15 billion, total debt of $104.59 billion, and a current ratio of 1.037. The profit margin is 26.31% and the company's fiscal year ends on September 30, 2023. The income statement reveals an EBITDA of $131.39 billion, revenue of $381.62 billion, and a diluted EPS of 6.44.
Moving on to stock statistics, the company has a short ratio of 1.66, with 94.31 million shares shorted out of 15.31 billion float shares. The average 10-day volume is 52.90 million shares, while the average 90-day volume is 62.82 million shares. The company has a market capitalization of $2.91 trillion.
Valuation metrics show a PEG ratio of 26.21, forward P/E of 26.21, and trailing P/E of 29.43. The enterprise value is $2.95 trillion, with a price-to-book ratio of 39.18 and price-to-sales ratio of 7.62. The company's stock price summary includes a beta of 1.26, 50-day moving average of $173.69, and 200-day moving average of $180.79.
Lastly, dividends and splits information indicates a payout ratio of 14.93%, with a forward annual dividend rate of $1 and a trailing annual dividend rate of $0.97. The company's dividend dates, split dates, and dividend yields are also provided.
Income statement 💸
These are the revenues. Here are the conclusions:1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the past four fiscal years.
2. The company's EBIT (Earnings Before Interest and Taxes) and EBITDA (Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization) have also shown a positive trend.
3. Net income has been growing consistently, indicating good profitability.
4. The company has been able to maintain a stable number of basic and diluted shares outstanding.
5. Operating income has been increasing, showing efficient management of operating expenses.
6. The company has been able to generate a healthy gross profit margin.
7. Despite fluctuations in other income and expenses, the company has managed to sustain its profitability.
8. The company's tax expenses have also been in line with its increasing revenue, indicating effective tax management strategies.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, from $323.9 billion in 2018 to $352.8 billion in 2023.
2. Current assets have fluctuated but generally increased, indicating improved liquidity.
3. Non-current assets have also shown an increasing trend, suggesting long-term investment and growth.
4. Total liabilities have increased from $255.4 billion in 2018 to $290.4 billion in 2023.
5. Shareholders' equity has shown a positive trend, increasing from $107.1 billion in 2018 to $62.1 billion in 2023.
6. The company has been relying more on non-current liabilities over the years.
7. The company has been investing more in non-current assets, such as investments and advances, machinery, furniture, and equipment.
8. The company has been managing its current assets well, with a good mix of cash, inventory, and receivables.
9. The accumulated depreciation has been increasing, indicating aging assets in the company's portfolio.
Cash Flow 💶
This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase and issuance, as well as long-term debt issuance and payments.
6. Investing activities include significant amounts related to the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company seems to be managing its cash flow effectively, with a focus on operational performance and strategic investments.
Earnings estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.33, which is higher than the EPS of $1.26 from the same quarter a year ago. The range of estimates is between $1.27 and $1.36, as provided by 26 analysts.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.53, compared to $1.46 from the previous year's quarter. The estimates range from $1.44 to $1.63, based on projections from 25 analysts.
3. Looking at the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $6.59, showing an increase from the EPS of $6.13 in the previous fiscal year. The analysts' estimates range from $6.43 to $6.92, with insights provided by 39 analysts.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimated EPS is $7.23, with a range of estimates between $6.40 and $7.90. This compares to the EPS of $6.59 in the previous fiscal year, as projected by 39 analysts.
Overall, the analysts are forecasting growth in earnings per share for both the upcoming quarters and the full fiscal years, indicating positive expectations for the company's performance.
Revenue estimate
Based on analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year.
These estimates indicate a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company over the specified periods, as projected by the analysts.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided:- The company is expected to experience a growth rate of 7.5% in the current year and 9.7% in the next year.
- For the current quarter, the growth rate is estimated to be 5.6%, while for the next quarter it is projected to be 4.8%.
- Over the next 5 years, the company is expected to achieve an average annual growth rate of 11%.
- In the past 5 years, the company has achieved an average annual growth rate of 20.15%.
Overall, the company is expected to maintain a positive growth trajectory, with a slightly lower growth rate in the short term compared to the long-term average.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD
Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a range of opinions on the future price of the security, with the low end at $164, the high end at $250, and the average at $202.26. The current price is $191.57, which is below the average and median forecast. Investors should consider these forecasts along with other factors when making investment decisions.
MACD of AIVAF
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
Get access to the full analysis
- Over 35 000 indexes
- CFD, Forex, Crypto and Stocks Exchange
- Over 150 Indicators
- Pattern and candle analysis
- Support and resistance levels
- Fundamental, technical and sentimental analysis
- Power from AI
