Analysis Baillie Gifford China Growth Trust PLC (BGCG)
6/4/2024
Analysis of Baillie Gifford China Growth Trust PLC (BGCG)
Baillie Gifford China Growth Trust PLC (BGCG) has shown some volatility in its recent price movements. The stock closed at 207.00 on June 3rd, after reaching a high of 215.00 and a low of 205.44.The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 41.26, indicating that the stock is neither overbought nor oversold. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is at 1.37, with the MACD line below the signal line, suggesting a bearish trend.
The Simple Moving Average (SMA) is at 215.60, the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is at 211.79, and the Weighted Moving Average (WMA) is at 215.79. These moving averages indicate a downward trend in the stock price.
Overall, based on the indicators and moving averages, Baillie Gifford China Growth Trust PLC may be experiencing a short-term bearish trend. Investors should closely monitor the stock for any potential reversal or further downward movement.
Earnings estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share (EPS), we can draw the following conclusions:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This represents an increase from the EPS of $1.17 reported a year ago.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This is higher than the EPS of $1.35 reported in the same quarter last year.
3. Looking at the estimates for the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $6.10, ranging from a low estimate of $5.95 to a high estimate of $6.41. This shows growth compared to the EPS of $5.67 in the previous fiscal year.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average EPS estimate is $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This indicates a potential increase from the EPS of $6.10 in the current fiscal year.
Overall, the analysts' estimates suggest a positive outlook for the company's earnings per share, with expected growth in both the short term and the long term.
Revenue estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25. The high estimate is $79,035,500,000, and the low estimate is $75,869,000,000.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $85,501,800,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25. The high estimate is $91,144,800,000, and the low estimate is $81,634,900,000.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $357,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38. The high estimate is $364,505,000,000, and the low estimate is $350,189,000,000.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $380,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38. The high estimate is $403,636,000,000, and the low estimate is $353,721,000,000.
These estimates indicate a generally positive outlook for the company's sales performance, with expected growth in both the short term and the long term.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided:- The company is expected to experience a growth rate of 7.6% in the current year and 9.7% in the next year.
- For the current quarter and the next quarter, the growth rate is estimated to be around 5.1%.
- Over the next 5 years, the company is projected to have a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 9.7%.
- However, when looking at the past 5 years, the company had a higher growth rate of around 20.1% per annum.
Overall, it seems that the company is expected to maintain a solid growth trajectory, although at a slightly lower rate compared to the past 5 years.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $275
- Median: $201.43
- Average: $204.58
- Current price: $192.25
Based on these forecasts, it appears that the analysts are generally optimistic about the future price of the security, with a median and average above the current price. However, there is a wide range between the low and high forecasts, indicating some uncertainty or differing opinions among analysts.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The results from January 31, 2025, were released after hours. The results from October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. The results from August 1, 2024, showed an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provides a comprehensive overview of the financials, stock statistics, valuations metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits for a particular company.1. **Financials**:
- **Cash Flow**: Operating cash flow for the trailing twelve months (TTM) is $110,563,000,320, and levered free cash flow TTM is $84,726,874,112.
- **Balance Sheet**: Total cash on a most recent quarter (MRQ) basis is $67,150,000,128, total debt MRQ is $104,590,000,128, current ratio MRQ is 1.037, book value per share MRQ is $4.837, total cash per share MRQ is $4.379, and total debt to equity MRQ is 140.968.
- **Profit Margin**: The profit margin is 26.306%.
- **Income Statement**: EBITDA is $131,393,000,000, revenue TTM is $381,623,009,280, diluted EPS TTM is $6.43, gross profit TTM is $169,148,000,000, revenue per share TTM is $24.537, net income to common TTM is $100,389,003,264, quarterly revenue growth is -4.3%, and quarterly earnings growth year-over-year is -2.2%.
- **Operating Margin**: The operating margin is 30.743%.
- **Return on Assets (TTM)**: 22.073999%
- **Return on Equity (TTM)**: 147.25%
2. **Stock Statistics**:
- **Short Ratio**: 1.53
- **Float Shares**: 15,308,320,742
- **Shares Short**: 99,287,450
- **Average 10-Day Volume**: 46,860,048
- **Average 90-Day Volume**: 57,498,254
- **Shares Outstanding**: 15,334,099,968
- **Percent Held by Insiders**: 5.22%
- **Percent Held by Institutions**: 57.589%
- **Short Percent of Shares Outstanding**: 0.65%
3. **Valuations Metrics**:
- **PEG Ratio**: 26.319502
- **Forward PE**: 26.319502
- **Trailing PE**: 29.59409
- **Enterprise Value**: $2,950,762,332,160
- **Price to Book MRQ**: 39.3405
- **Price to Sales TTM**: 7.646095
- **Enterprise to EBITDA**: 22.763
- **Enterprise to Revenue**: 7.732
- **Market Capitalization**: $2,917,925,650,432
4. **Stock Price Summary**:
- **Beta**: 1.264
- **50-Day Moving Average**: $176.2646
- **200-Day Moving Average**: $181.0429
- **52-Week Low**: $164.08
- **52-Week High**: $199.62
- **52-Week Change**: 6.853%
5. **Dividends and Splits**:
- **Payout Ratio**: 14.93%
- **Dividend Date**: May 16, 2024
- **Last Split Date**: August 31, 2020
- **Ex-Dividend Date**: May 10, 2024
- **Last Split Factor**: 4-for-1 split
- **Forward Annual Dividend Rate**: $1
- **5-Year Average Dividend Yield**: 0.73%
- **Forward Annual Dividend Yield**: 0.5255%
- **Trailing Annual Dividend Rate**: $0.97
- **Trailing Annual Dividend Yield**: 0.5097%
Income statement 💸
Here are the revenue figures for the company over the past four fiscal years:1. Fiscal Year 2023: Sales of $383,285,000,000
2. Fiscal Year 2022: Sales of $394,328,000,000
3. Fiscal Year 2021: Sales of $365,817,000,000
4. Fiscal Year 2020: Sales of $274,515,000,000
From the data provided, we can observe the following trends:
- The company experienced a decrease in sales from FY 2022 to FY 2023.
- There was a significant increase in sales from FY 2020 to FY 2021, followed by a slight decrease in FY 2022.
- Overall, there has been a general upward trend in sales over the past four fiscal years, with some fluctuations.
These revenue figures provide insights into the company's performance and can be further analyzed in conjunction with other financial metrics to assess its overall financial health and growth trajectory.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets fluctuate, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2019 at $175,697,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching $255,355,000,000 in 2018.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2018 at $107,147,000,000.
Cash Flow 💶
This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show significant variations, with large amounts being spent on common stock repurchase and debt issuance.
6. Investing activities also vary, with significant amounts being spent on the sale and purchase of investments.
7. Overall, the company's financial activities seem to be dynamic, with fluctuations in cash flow and cash position over the years.
MACD of BGCG
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
Get access to the full analysis
- Over 35 000 indexes
- CFD, Forex, Crypto and Stocks Exchange
- Over 150 Indicators
- Pattern and candle analysis
- Support and resistance levels
- Fundamental, technical and sentimental analysis
- Power from AI
