Analysis Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena S.p.A. (0RK6)
6/2/2024
Analysis of Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena S.p.A. (0RK6)
Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena S.p.A., commonly known as Monte dei Paschi, is the oldest surviving bank in the world and is based in Siena, Italy. The bank has faced significant challenges in recent years, including financial difficulties and governance issues.Looking at the financial indicators provided, we can see that the RSI (Relative Strength Index) values have been fluctuating around the mid-range, indicating a balanced market sentiment. The MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) values have been relatively low, suggesting a lack of strong momentum in either direction.
The moving averages (SMA, EMA, WMA) have been showing a downward trend, indicating a bearish sentiment in the market. The recent price movements have been volatile, with prices fluctuating between highs and lows.
Overall, the analysis suggests that Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena S.p.A. is currently facing challenges in terms of market sentiment and price stability. It would be important for investors to closely monitor the developments in the bank and the broader economic environment before making any investment decisions.
Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.In terms of financials, the company has strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow, with a positive current ratio and a high total debt to equity ratio. The profit margin and operating margin are also healthy, indicating efficient operations. The company's fiscal year ends in September 2023, and the most recent quarter reported is March 2024. The company shows good returns on assets and equity.
Looking at stock statistics, the company has a low short ratio and a significant percentage of shares held by institutions. The stock price summary shows volatility with a beta of 1.264 and a change in the fifty-two week range.
Valuation metrics indicate a high PEG ratio and price-to-earnings ratios, along with other valuation multiples. The market capitalization and enterprise value are also provided.
Lastly, dividends and splits information show details about dividend payments, dividend yields, and historical split factors for the company's stock.
Income statement 💸
These are the revenue figures. Here are the conclusions:1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. The gross profit margin has been relatively stable, with gross profit ranging from around $105 billion to $169 billion.
3. Operating income has also shown an increasing trend, reaching $114.3 billion in 2023 from $66.3 billion in 2020.
4. Net income has been growing consistently, with the company reporting a net income of $57.4 billion in 2020 and $97 billion in 2023.
5. Earnings per share (EPS) have shown a slight fluctuation but have generally increased over the years, with diluted EPS ranging from 3.28 to 6.16.
6. The company has been able to maintain a healthy EBITDA margin, with EBITDA ranging from $81 billion to $129 billion.
7. Despite an increase in income tax expenses, the company has managed to improve its profitability over the years.
8. Overall, the financial performance of the company in terms of revenue and profitability has been positive and shows a growth trajectory.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets have fluctuated, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have shown an increasing trend, peaking at $234,386,000,000 in 2018.
4. Total liabilities have also been on the rise, with the highest value in 2018 at $255,355,000,000.
5. Shareholders' equity has generally increased, with the highest value in 2018 at $107,147,000,000.
6. The company has been investing more in non-current assets and retaining earnings over the years.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The results from January 31, 2025, were released after hours. The results from October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. The results from August 1, 2024, showed an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.Cash Flow 💶
This is a cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing over the years, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, long-term debt issuance, and payments, with significant fluctuations in values.
6. Investing activities indicate a mix of acquisitions, investments, and capital expenditures, with varying levels of cash flow each year.
7. Overall, the company's financial performance seems to be stable, with some fluctuations in key financial indicators over the years.
Earnings estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This also indicates growth from the EPS of $1.35 in the same quarter last year.
3. Looking at the estimates for the current year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $6.10, with a low estimate of $5.95 and a high estimate of $6.41. This reflects an increase from the EPS of $5.67 from the previous year.
4. For the next year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimated EPS is $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This suggests a slight improvement from the EPS of $6.10 in the previous year.
Overall, the analysts' estimates show a positive outlook for the company's earnings per share, with expected growth in both the quarterly and annual results over the specified periods.
Revenue estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $85,501,800,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $357,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $380,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.
These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company, with slightly higher growth expected in the next fiscal year compared to the current one.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided:- The current year growth rate is 7.6%
- The next quarter growth rate is 5.1%
- The current quarter growth rate is 5.1%
- The next year growth rate is 9.7%
- The average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 9.7%
- The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%
From these estimates, we can see that the company is expected to experience a significant increase in growth compared to the past 5 years, with a particularly strong growth rate projected for the next year and the next 5 years. It indicates a positive outlook for the company's future performance according to analyst consensus.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $275
- Median: $201.43
- Average: $204.58
- Current price: $192.25
Based on these forecasts, it can be observed that the analysts have a range of opinions regarding the future price of the security, with a median value of $201.43 and an average of $204.58. The current price of the security is $192.25. It is important to consider these forecasts along with other factors when making investment decisions.
MACD of 0RK6
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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