Analysis Bank of Japan (8301)
6/2/2024
Analysis of Bank of Japan (8301)
Based on the provided data for the stock symbol 8301 (which represents Bank of Japan), here is a short analysis:1. **Price Movement**: The closing prices for Bank of Japan stock have been fluctuating between 30,500 and 31,600 over the past few days, indicating some volatility in the stock.
2. **Technical Indicators**:
- **RSI Indicator**: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) values have been around 50, suggesting a neutral stance in terms of momentum.
- **MACD Indicator**: The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) values have shown some fluctuations, with the MACD line crossing above the signal line on some days and below on others, indicating potential shifts in momentum.
3. **Moving Averages**:
- **SMA, EMA, WMA**: The Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) values have been relatively close to each other, indicating a stable trend in the stock price.
4. **Overall Assessment**:
- The stock seems to be trading in a range-bound pattern with some volatility.
- The technical indicators suggest a neutral stance in terms of momentum.
- Moving averages show a stable trend in the stock price.
Please note that this analysis is based on the provided data and should be considered as a general overview. Additional factors and in-depth analysis would be needed for a comprehensive evaluation of Bank of Japan's stock.
Earnings estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share (EPS):1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This also indicates growth from the EPS of $1.35 in the same quarter last year.
3. Looking at the estimates for the current year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $6.10, ranging from a low estimate of $5.95 to a high estimate of $6.41. This reflects an increase from the EPS of $5.67 for the previous year.
4. For the next year ending on September 30, 2025, the average EPS estimate is $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This suggests a further growth trajectory from the EPS of $6.10 in the current year.
Overall, the analysts' estimates point towards a positive outlook for the company's earnings per share, showing a trend of improvement and growth in the upcoming quarters and years.
Revenue estimate
The analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company indicate a moderate growth trend.For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same period last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
Looking at the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimate increases to $85,501,800,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the previous year. The number of analysts remains at 25.
For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimate for total revenue is $357,772,000,000, showing a 1% growth from the previous year. The number of analysts providing estimates for the annual sales is 38.
In the following fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimate for total revenue is projected to be $380,772,000,000, indicating a significant growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts remains at 38.
Overall, the estimates suggest a steady growth trajectory for the company's sales in both the short term and the long term.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided by analysts, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.1%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 5.2%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.6%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 9.7%.
These estimates suggest that the company has been experiencing significant growth in the past but is expected to see a slightly lower but still healthy growth rate in the coming years. It indicates a positive outlook for the company's future performance, albeit at a slightly slower pace compared to the past.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $275
- Median: $201.43
- Average: $204.58
- Current price: $192.25
- Currency: USD
Based on these forecasts, it appears that the analysts are generally optimistic about the future price of the security, with a median forecast above the current price. The range between the low and high forecasts is quite wide, indicating some uncertainty or differing opinions among analysts. Investors may want to consider these forecasts along with other factors when making investment decisions.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company had an EPS estimate of 1.32.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuations metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.In terms of financials, the company has strong cash flow with operating cash flow TTM of $110.56 billion and levered free cash flow TTM of $84.73 billion. The balance sheet shows a total cash MRQ of $67.15 billion, total debt MRQ of $104.59 billion, and a current ratio MRQ of 1.037. The profit margin is 26.31%, and the company's fiscal year ends on September 30, 2023. The income statement reveals EBITDA of $131.39 billion, revenue TTM of $381.62 billion, and a diluted EPS TTM of 6.43.
Moving on to stock statistics, the company has a short ratio of 1.53, with 15.31 billion float shares and 99.29 million shares short. The average 10-day volume is 46.86 million, and the average 90-day volume is 57.50 million. The company has 15.33 billion shares outstanding, with 5.22% held by insiders and 57.59% held by institutions.
Valuation metrics show a PEG ratio of 26.32, forward PE of 26.32, and trailing PE of 29.59. The enterprise value is $2.95 trillion, with a price to book MRQ of 39.34 and price to sales TTM of 7.65. The enterprise to EBITDA ratio is 22.76, and the enterprise to revenue ratio is 7.73. The market capitalization is $2.92 trillion.
The stock price summary includes a beta of 1.26, a 50-day moving average of $176.26, a 200-day moving average of $181.04, a 52-week low of $164.08, a 52-week high of $199.62, and a 52-week change of 6.85%.
Lastly, dividends and splits information shows a payout ratio of 14.93%, with a dividend date of May 16, 2024. The last split date was August 31, 2020, with a 4-for-1 split factor. The forward annual dividend rate is $1, with a 5-year average dividend yield of 0.73% and a forward annual dividend yield of 0.53%. The trailing annual dividend rate is $0.97, with a trailing annual dividend yield of 0.51%.
Income statement 💸
Here are the revenue figures for the company over the past four fiscal years:1. Fiscal Year 2023: Sales of $383,285,000,000
2. Fiscal Year 2022: Sales of $394,328,000,000
3. Fiscal Year 2021: Sales of $365,817,000,000
4. Fiscal Year 2020: Sales of $274,515,000,000
From these figures, we can observe the following trends:
- The company experienced a decrease in sales from 2022 to 2023.
- There was a significant increase in sales from 2020 to 2021.
- Overall, there has been fluctuation in the company's revenue over the past four years.
These trends in revenue can provide insights into the company's performance and market conditions during these fiscal years.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions based on the provided data:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $352,583,000,000.
2. The current assets have also been increasing, with a peak in 2023 at $143,566,000,000.
3. Cash and cash equivalents have fluctuated over the years but show an overall increasing trend.
4. Non-current assets have shown a steady increase, with investments and advances being a significant portion of these assets.
5. Total liabilities have been increasing, with a peak in 2023 at $290,437,000,000.
6. Current liabilities have also been on the rise, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $145,308,000,000.
7. Non-current liabilities have shown an increasing trend, with long-term debt being a significant component.
8. Shareholders' equity has shown fluctuations but has been relatively stable over the years, with the highest value in 2023 at $62,146,000,000.
Cash Flow 💶
This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value recorded in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, issuance of long-term debt, and payment of dividends.
6. Investing activities include the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company seems to be managing its cash flow effectively, with a focus on operational performance and strategic investments.
MACD of 8301
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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