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Analysis Barnes & Noble Education Inc (BNED)

6/5/2024

Analysis Barnes & Noble Education Inc (BNED)

Analysis of Barnes & Noble Education Inc (BNED)

Barnes & Noble Education Inc (BNED) has shown some volatility in its stock price recently. The RSI indicator has been fluctuating around the 50 level, indicating a balanced market sentiment.

The MACD indicator has been positive, with the MACD line consistently above the signal line, suggesting a bullish trend. The MACD histogram has also been positive, indicating increasing bullish momentum.

The moving averages (SMA, EMA, WMA) have been showing an upward trend, with the stock price generally above these averages. This indicates a positive outlook for the stock in the short to medium term.

Overall, based on the technical indicators, BNED seems to be in a bullish phase with potential for further price appreciation. However, investors should keep an eye on the RSI for any signs of overbought conditions and monitor the MACD for any potential trend reversals.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided yet. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the scheduled time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provides a comprehensive overview of the financial and stock-related metrics for a specific company. Here are the key points:

1. **Financials**:
- **Cash Flow**: Operating cash flow for the trailing twelve months (TTM) is $110,563,000,320. Levered free cash flow TTM is $84,726,874,112.
- **Balance Sheet**: Total cash on a most recent quarter (MRQ) basis is $67,150,000,128. Total debt MRQ is $104,590,000,128. Current ratio MRQ is 1.037. Book value per share MRQ is $4.837. Total cash per share MRQ is $4.379. Total debt to equity MRQ is 140.968.
- **Profit Margin**: The profit margin is 26.306%.
- **Income Statement**: EBITDA is $131,393,000,000. Revenue TTM is $381,623,009,280. Diluted EPS TTM is $6.43. Gross profit TTM is $169,148,000,000. Revenue per share TTM is $24.537. Net income to common TTM is $100,389,003,264. Quarterly revenue growth is -4.3%. Quarterly earnings growth year-over-year is -2.2%.
- **Operating Margin**: The operating margin is 30.743%.
- **Return on Assets (ROA)**: ROA TTM is 22.073999%.
- **Return on Equity (ROE)**: ROE TTM is 147.25%.

2. **Stock Statistics**:
- **Short Interest**: Short ratio is 1.53. Float shares are 15,308,320,742. Shares short are 99,287,450. Short percent of shares outstanding is 0.65%.
- **Volume**: Average 10-day volume is 46,860,048. Average 90-day volume is 57,498,254.
- **Ownership**: Shares outstanding are 15,334,099,968. Percent held by insiders is 5.22%. Percent held by institutions is 57.589%.

3. **Valuations Metrics**:
- PEG ratio is 26.319502. Forward PE ratio is 26.319502. Trailing PE ratio is 29.59409. Enterprise value is $2,950,762,332,160. Price to book MRQ is 39.3405. Price to sales TTM is 7.646095. Enterprise to EBITDA is 22.763. Enterprise to revenue is 7.732. Market capitalization is $2,917,925,650,432.

4. **Stock Price Summary**:
- Beta is 1.264. 50-day moving average is $176.2646. 200-day moving average is $181.0429. 52-week low is $164.08. 52-week high is $199.62. 52-week change is 6.853%.

5. **Dividends and Splits**:
- Payout ratio is 14.93%. Dividend date is May 16, 2024. Last split date is August 31, 2020. Ex-dividend date is May 10, 2024. Last split factor is a 4-for-1 split. Forward annual dividend rate is $1. 5-year average dividend yield is 0.73%. Forward annual dividend yield is 0.5255%. Trailing annual dividend rate is $0.97. Trailing annual dividend yield is 0.5097%.

Revenue estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $85,501,800,000, showing a sales growth of 3% compared to the previous year's same quarter. The number of analysts providing estimates remains at 25.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $357,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates increases to 38.

4. Looking ahead to the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $380,772,000,000, indicating a significant sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates remains at 38.

Overall, the analysts are forecasting moderate to strong sales growth for both the upcoming quarters and the next fiscal year, with an increasing number of analysts providing estimates for the company's performance.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided by analysts, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:

1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.1%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 5.2%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.6%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 9.7%.

These estimates suggest that the company has been experiencing strong growth in the past, but analysts expect the growth rate to moderate slightly in the coming years, although it is still projected to be healthy.

Price target

The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:
- Low: $164
- High: $275
- Median: $201.43
- Average: $204.58
- Current price: $192.25
- Currency: USD

Based on these forecasts, we can see that the current price of $192.25 is below both the median and average forecasted prices. The analysts' predictions suggest a potential increase in the price of the security, with a high estimate of $275. Investors may interpret this information as a signal that the security could experience growth in the future, but it's important to consider other factors and do thorough research before making any investment decisions.

Income statement 💸

These are the revenue figures. Here are the conclusions:

1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. Despite the increase in sales, the cost of goods sold has also been rising, indicating a need for cost management.
3. The gross profit margin has remained relatively stable over the years, indicating efficient cost control measures.
4. Earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) have shown an increasing trend, reaching $117.7 billion in 2023.
5. Net income has also been increasing, reaching $97 billion in 2023.
6. The company has been able to maintain a consistent number of outstanding shares over the years.
7. Overall, the financial performance of the company seems to be improving, with increasing revenues and profitability.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets fluctuate, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2019 at $175,697,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching $255,355,000,000 in 2018.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2018 at $107,147,000,000.

Cash Flow 💶

This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value recorded in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its peak in 2020.
5. Financing activities show significant variability, with large amounts being spent on common stock repurchase and debt issuance and payments.
6. Investing activities also vary, with notable amounts spent on the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company seems to be managing its cash flow effectively, but there are fluctuations that may require further analysis to understand the underlying reasons.

Earnings estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This also indicates growth from the EPS of $1.35 in the same quarter last year.

3. Looking at the estimates for the current year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $6.10, ranging from a low estimate of $5.95 to a high estimate of $6.41. This reflects an increase from the EPS of $5.67 for the previous year.

4. For the next year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimated EPS is $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This suggests a slight improvement from the EPS of $6.10 in the current year.

Overall, the analysts' estimates point towards a positive trend of increasing earnings per share for the company in both the short term and the long term.

MACD of BNED

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment Group S.A. at Al. Aleje Jerozolimskie 65 / 79, 00-697 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000335507, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204. Honey Payment Group is listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) under the ticker symbol HPG. Link