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Analysis Botswana Telecommunications Corporation Ltd (BTCL)

6/1/2024

Analysis Botswana Telecommunications Corporation Ltd (BTCL)

Analysis of Botswana Telecommunications Corporation Ltd (BTCL)

Based on the provided data for Botswana Telecommunications Corporation Ltd (BTCL) on May 30, 2024, we can observe the following:

1. **Price Action**:
- The closing price, opening price, highest price, and lowest price were all at 0.82000 Pula.

2. **Technical Indicators**:
- **RSI (Relative Strength Index)**: The RSI indicator value is 50.49164, indicating a neutral position.
- **MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence)**: The MACD line is slightly below the signal line, with a value of -0.00011. The MACD histogram is positive at 0.00029, suggesting a potential bullish signal.

3. **Moving Averages**:
- **SMA (Simple Moving Average)**: The SMA value is 0.81920.
- **EMA (Exponential Moving Average)**: The EMA value is 0.81997, slightly higher than the SMA.
- **WMA (Weighted Moving Average)**: The WMA value is 0.81933.

4. **Overall Analysis**:
- The stock price has remained stable at 0.82000 Pula over the past few days.
- The RSI indicates a neutral position, suggesting a balance between buying and selling pressure.
- The MACD histogram shows a slight bullish signal.
- The moving averages (SMA, EMA, WMA) are close to each other, indicating a stable trend.

Please note that this analysis is based on the provided data for May 30, 2024, and it is always recommended to conduct further analysis and consider other factors before making any investment decisions.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.

In terms of financials, the company has strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow, with a positive current ratio and a high total debt to equity ratio. The profit margin and operating margin are also healthy, indicating efficient operations. The company's fiscal year ends in September 2023, and the most recent quarter reported is March 31, 2024. The company shows good returns on assets and equity.

Looking at stock statistics, the company has a low short ratio and a significant percentage of shares held by institutions. The stock price summary shows volatility with a beta of 1.264 and a change in the fifty-two week range.

Valuation metrics indicate a high PEG ratio and price to book ratio, with the company's market capitalization and enterprise value also provided.

Lastly, dividends and splits information includes details on dividend rates, payout ratios, dividend dates, and historical splits.

Income statement 💸

These are the revenues. Draw conclusions.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $352,755,000,000.
2. Current assets fluctuate, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2023 at $217,350,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $302,083,000,000.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2019 at $90,488,000,000.
6. The company seems to be investing more in non-current assets over the years, which might indicate long-term growth strategies.

Cash Flow 💶

This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, issuance of long-term debt, and payment of dividends.
6. Investing activities include the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company seems to be managing its cash flow effectively, with a focus on operational efficiency and strategic investments.

Earnings estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.23, with a range from $1.18 to $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is higher at $1.42, with a range from $1.33 to $1.51. This is also an increase from the EPS of $1.35 in the same quarter last year.

3. Looking at the estimates for the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS is projected to be $6.10, ranging from $5.95 to $6.41. This indicates growth from the EPS of $5.67 in the previous fiscal year.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimated EPS is $6.69, with a range from $5.92 to $7.31. This forecast suggests a slight improvement from the EPS of $6.10 in the current fiscal year.

Overall, the analysts' estimates show a positive outlook for the company's earnings per share, with expected growth in both the short term and the long term.

Revenue estimate

The analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company indicate a moderate growth trend.

For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimate is $77,545,400,000, representing a 2% increase from the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.

Looking at the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimate is $85,501,800,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the previous year. Again, 25 analysts have contributed to these estimates.

For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimate is $357,772,000,000, showing a 1% growth from the previous year. The number of analysts providing estimates for the annual sales is 38.

In the following fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimate is $380,772,000,000, indicating a more significant growth of 6% from the current fiscal year. The number of analysts remains at 38.

Overall, the estimates suggest a steady growth trajectory for the company's sales in both the short term and the long term.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:

1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.6%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 4.8%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.5%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 11%.

These estimates suggest a positive growth trend for the company, with a slightly lower growth rate expected in the next 5 years compared to the past 5 years. It is important to note that these are analyst estimates and actual performance may vary.

Price target

The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:
- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57

Based on these forecasts, it appears that the analysts are generally optimistic about the future price of the security, with a median forecast of $200. However, it's important to note that there is a wide range of predictions, from a low of $164 to a high of $250. The current price of the security is $191.57.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The results for January 31, 2025, were released after hours. The results for October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. The results for August 1, 2024, showed an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.

MACD of BTCL

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment Group S.A. at Al. Aleje Jerozolimskie 65 / 79, 00-697 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000335507, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204. Honey Payment Group is listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) under the ticker symbol HPG. Link