Analysis Caltex Australia, Ltd. (CTXAF)
5/27/2024
Analysis of Caltex Australia, Ltd. (CTXAF)
Caltex Australia, Ltd. (CTXAF) has been showing a consistent closing price of 24.75 over the past few days. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator is high at 74.66, indicating that the stock may be overbought.Looking at the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator, the MACD line is consistently above the signal line, but the histogram is showing a slight decrease, which could indicate a potential reversal in the short term.
In terms of moving averages, the Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) are all around 24.75, reflecting the stable price trend.
Overall, the stock seems to be in a stable phase with some signs of potential reversal in the short term due to the high RSI and slight decrease in the MACD histogram. It would be advisable to keep an eye on these indicators for any changes in the stock's direction.
Cash Flow 💶
This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value recorded in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, issuance of long-term debt, and payment of dividends.
6. Investing activities include the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company seems to be managing its cash flow effectively, with a focus on operational efficiency and strategic investments.
Earnings estimate
The analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share are as follows:1. Current Quarter (as of June 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.33
- Low Estimate: $1.27
- High Estimate: $1.36
- Year Ago EPS: $1.26
- Number of Analysts: 26
2. Next Quarter (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.53
- Low Estimate: $1.44
- High Estimate: $1.63
- Year Ago EPS: $1.46
- Number of Analysts: 25
3. Current Year (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $6.59
- Low Estimate: $6.43
- High Estimate: $6.92
- Year Ago EPS: $6.13
- Number of Analysts: 39
4. Next Year (as of September 30, 2025):
- Average Estimate: $7.23
- Low Estimate: $6.40
- High Estimate: $7.90
- Year Ago EPS: $6.59
- Number of Analysts: 39
Based on these estimates, we can see a generally positive trend in the expected earnings per share for both the upcoming quarters and the next two years. The average estimates are showing an increase compared to the year-ago EPS figures, indicating potential growth in earnings for the company.
Revenue estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
These estimates indicate a generally positive outlook for the company, with expected growth in both quarterly and annual sales over the coming periods.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.6%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 4.8%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.5%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 11%.
These estimates suggest a positive growth trend for the company, with a slightly lower growth rate expected in the next 5 years compared to the past 5 years. The company is projected to experience steady growth in the upcoming quarters and years, indicating a positive outlook for its performance.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD
Based on these forecasts, it appears that the analysts are generally optimistic about the future price of the security, with a median forecast of $200. However, there is a wide range of estimates, from a low of $164 to a high of $250. The current price of the security is below both the average and median forecast, suggesting that there may be potential for growth according to analysts.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided yet. The previous results from February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The results from January 31, 2025, were released after hours. The results from October 31, 2024, were not provided at a specific time. The results from August 1, 2024, showed an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.33.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.In terms of financials, the company has strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow, with a positive profit margin and healthy return on assets and equity. The balance sheet shows a decent current ratio, but a relatively high total debt to equity ratio. The income statement indicates significant revenue and EBITDA, with a good operating margin and diluted EPS.
Stock statistics reveal details about the stock's trading volume, short interest, shares outstanding, and insider and institutional ownership percentages. Valuation metrics show the company's P/E ratios, enterprise value, price to book, price to sales, and market capitalization.
The stock price summary includes information on beta, moving averages, and the stock's 52-week low and high prices. Lastly, the dividends and splits data highlights the company's dividend history, payout ratio, and upcoming dividend dates.
Income statement 💸
These are the revenue figures. Here are the conclusions:1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. Despite the increase in sales, the cost of goods sold has also been rising, indicating a potential decrease in profit margins.
3. The company's gross profit has fluctuated but generally increased from $105 billion in 2020 to $169.1 billion in 2023.
4. Operating income has shown a similar increasing trend, reaching $114.3 billion in 2023 from $66.3 billion in 2020.
5. Net income has also been on the rise, growing from $57.4 billion in 2020 to $97 billion in 2023.
6. Earnings per share (EPS) have shown a slight fluctuation but have generally increased over the years.
7. The company has been able to maintain a consistent number of outstanding shares, which is important for investors.
8. Overall, the financial performance of the company in terms of revenue and income has been positive and improving over the years.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $352,755,000,000.
2. Current assets have fluctuated but generally increased over the years, with the highest value in 2023 at $143,566,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have also shown an increasing trend, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $209,017,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2023 at $290,437,000,000.
5. Shareholders' equity has shown fluctuations but has been increasing overall, with the highest value in 2023 at $62,146,000,000.
MACD of CTXAF
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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