Analysis Cepton, Inc. (CPTN)
6/1/2024
Analysis of Cepton, Inc. (CPTN)
Cepton, Inc. is showing some volatility in its stock price based on the recent data. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) values are fluctuating around the 40-50 range, indicating a neutral to slightly bearish sentiment in the market. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is also showing negative values, suggesting a potential bearish trend.The stock price has been moving within a range, with some fluctuations in both directions. The Simple Moving Average (SMA) and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) are close to each other, indicating a lack of clear trend direction.
Overall, based on the current indicators, Cepton, Inc. appears to be in a consolidation phase with a slightly bearish bias. Traders and investors may want to closely monitor the stock for any potential breakout or trend reversal.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets fluctuate, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2019 at $175,697,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching $255,355,000,000 in 2018.
5. Shareholders' equity has been increasing over the years, with the highest value in 2018 at $107,147,000,000.
Cash Flow 💶
This is a cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has been consistently positive, indicating that the company's core business operations are generating cash.
3. The company has been paying a significant amount in income taxes each year, with the highest amount paid in 2021.
4. The company has been consistently paying interest on its debts, with varying amounts each year.
5. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2020 and the lowest in 2022.
6. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase and issuance, as well as long-term debt issuance and payments.
7. Investing activities indicate significant investments in the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
8. Overall, the company's cash flow statement reflects a mix of operational, financing, and investing activities that impact its financial health and liquidity.
Earnings estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This also indicates growth from the EPS of $1.35 in the same quarter last year.
3. Looking at the estimates for the current year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $6.10, with a low estimate of $5.95 and a high estimate of $6.41. This reflects an increase from the EPS of $5.67 from the previous year.
4. For the next year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimated EPS is $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This suggests a further growth trajectory from the EPS of $6.10 in the previous year.
Overall, the analysts' estimates point towards a positive outlook for the company's earnings per share, showing a trend of improvement and growth in the upcoming quarters and years.
Revenue estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $85,501,800,000, showing a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $357,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $380,772,000,000, showing a significant sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.
Overall, the analysts are forecasting moderate to strong sales growth for both the upcoming quarters and the next fiscal year, indicating positive expectations for the company's performance in the near future.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided:- The company is expected to experience a growth rate of 7.6% in the current year and 9.7% in the next year.
- For the current quarter and the next quarter, the growth rate is estimated to be around 5.1%.
- Over the next 5 years, the company is projected to have a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 9.7%.
- However, when looking at the past 5 years, the company had a higher growth rate of about 20.1% per annum.
Overall, it seems that the company is expected to maintain a steady growth rate in the upcoming periods, although at a slightly lower pace compared to the past 5 years.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD
Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a wide range of opinions on the future price of the security, with the low end at $164, the high end at $250, and the average at $202.26. The current price of the security is $191.57, which is below the average and median forecasted prices. Investors should consider these forecasts along with other factors when making investment decisions.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuations metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.In terms of financials, the company has strong cash flow with operating cash flow at $110.56 billion and levered free cash flow at $84.73 billion. The balance sheet shows a total cash of $67.15 billion, total debt of $104.59 billion, and a current ratio of 1.037. The profit margin is 26.31% and the company's fiscal year ends on September 30, 2023. The income statement reveals an EBITDA of $131.39 billion, revenue of $381.62 billion, and a diluted EPS of 6.43.
Moving on to stock statistics, the company has a short ratio of 1.53, with 99.29 million shares shorted out of 15.31 billion float shares. The stock has a market capitalization of $2.92 trillion and a beta of 1.264.
Valuations metrics show a PEG ratio of 26.32, forward P/E of 26.32, and trailing P/E of 29.59. The enterprise value is $2.95 trillion, with a price to book ratio of 39.34 and price to sales ratio of 7.65.
The stock price summary includes a 50-day moving average of $176.26, a 200-day moving average of $181.04, and a 52-week range of $164.08 to $199.62.
Lastly, dividends and splits information indicates a payout ratio of 14.93%, with a forward annual dividend rate of $1 and a trailing annual dividend rate of $0.97. The company's dividend yield is 0.53% and the last split date was on August 31, 2020, with a 4-for-1 split.
Income statement 💸
These are the revenue figures. Here are the conclusions:1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. Despite the increase in sales, the cost of goods sold has also been rising, indicating a potential need for cost management.
3. The gross profit margin has remained relatively stable over the years, indicating efficient cost control measures.
4. The EBITDA and EBIT figures have shown an increasing trend, reflecting improved operational efficiency.
5. The net income has also been increasing, showing that the company is effectively translating its revenue into profits.
6. The basic and diluted earnings per share (EPS) have been relatively stable over the years, indicating consistent profitability.
7. The company has been able to manage its operating expenses effectively, as seen in the stable operating income figures.
8. Overall, the financial performance of the company seems to be on a positive trajectory, with increasing revenues and profits over the years.
MACD of CPTN
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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