Analysis CF Industries Holdings Inc (CF)
6/4/2024
Analysis of CF Industries Holdings Inc (CF)
CF Industries Holdings Inc (CF) has shown a consistent uptrend in the stock price over the past few days. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is indicating a bullish sentiment, with values above 50, suggesting that the stock may be slightly overbought but still has room for further growth.The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is positive, with the MACD line above the signal line and a positive MACD histogram, indicating a potential bullish momentum in the stock.
The Moving Average (MA) indicator, Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) are all showing an upward trend, further supporting the bullish outlook for CF Industries Holdings Inc.
Overall, based on the technical indicators, CF Industries Holdings Inc appears to be in a strong position for potential further growth in the near future.
Revenue estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $85,501,800,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $357,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $380,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.
These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company, with slightly higher growth expected in the next fiscal year compared to the current one.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.1%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 5.2%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.6%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 9.7%.
These estimates suggest a positive growth trend for the company, with a slightly lower growth rate expected in the next 5 years compared to the past 5 years. It indicates a consistent performance with a gradual growth trajectory in the near future.
Earnings estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This is also an increase from the EPS of $1.35 from the same quarter last year.
3. Looking at the estimates for the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $6.10, with a low estimate of $5.95 and a high estimate of $6.41. This reflects growth compared to the EPS of $5.67 from the previous fiscal year.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimated EPS is $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This indicates a potential increase from the EPS of $6.10 in the current fiscal year.
Overall, the analysts' estimates suggest a positive outlook for the company's earnings per share, showing growth in both the quarterly and annual periods.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security paper is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $275
- Median: $201.43
- Average: $204.58
- Current price: $192.25
Based on these forecasts, it appears that the analysts are generally optimistic about the future price of the security paper, with a median forecast above the current price. However, there is a wide range of estimates, from a low of $164 to a high of $275, indicating some uncertainty in the market.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided yet. The previous results from February 27, 2025, were handled by the transfer agent. The results from January 31, 2025, were released after hours. The results from October 31, 2024, were not provided at a specific time. The results from August 1, 2024, showed an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.In terms of financials, the company has strong cash flow with operating cash flow at $110.56 billion and levered free cash flow at $84.73 billion. The balance sheet shows a total cash of $67.15 billion, total debt of $104.59 billion, and a current ratio of 1.037. The profit margin is 26.31%, with a fiscal year ending on September 30, 2023. The income statement reveals an EBITDA of $131.39 billion, revenue of $381.62 billion, and a diluted EPS of 6.43.
Moving on to stock statistics, the company has a short ratio of 1.53, with 15.31 billion float shares and 99.29 million shares shorted. The stock outstanding is 15.33 billion, with 5.22% held by insiders and 57.59% held by institutions.
Valuation metrics show a PEG ratio of 26.32, forward PE of 26.32, and trailing PE of 29.59. The enterprise value is $2.95 trillion, with a price to book ratio of 39.34 and price to sales ratio of 7.65.
The stock price summary includes a beta of 1.264, 50-day moving average of $176.26, 200-day moving average of $181.04, and a 52-week range from $164.08 to $199.62.
Lastly, dividends and splits information indicates a payout ratio of 14.93%, with a dividend date on May 16, 2024. The last split date was on August 31, 2020, with a 4-for-1 split factor. The forward annual dividend rate is $1, with a trailing annual dividend yield of 0.51% and a 5-year average dividend yield of 0.73%.
Income statement 💸
These are the revenues. Here are the conclusions:1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the past four fiscal years.
2. The gross profit margin seems to be consistent, indicating stable pricing and cost management.
3. Operating income has also shown a positive trend, reflecting efficient operational management.
4. Net income has been growing over the years, suggesting improved profitability.
5. Earnings per share (EPS) have generally increased, indicating potential value creation for shareholders.
6. The company has been able to maintain a healthy EBITDA margin, showing strong operational performance.
7. Despite fluctuations in certain expenses and taxes, the overall financial performance appears to be positive and improving.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets include cash, inventory, and receivables, with cash and cash equivalents showing fluctuations.
3. Non-current assets consist of investments, machinery, and other assets, with investments and advances being a significant portion.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, with the highest value recorded at $302,083,000,000 in 2022.
5. Current liabilities include short-term debt, accounts payable, and other current liabilities.
6. Non-current liabilities comprise long-term debt and other non-current liabilities.
7. Shareholders' equity has shown variations, with the highest value of $90,488,000,000 in 2019.
8. Common stock and retained earnings are major components of shareholders' equity.
9. The company has been investing in leases, land, and improvements over the years.
10. The provision for risks and charges has been relatively stable across the years.
Cash Flow 💶
This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase and issuance, as well as long-term debt issuance and payments.
6. Investing activities include significant amounts related to the sale and purchase of investments, with varying levels each year.
7. Overall, the company seems to be managing its cash flow effectively, but there are fluctuations in certain areas that may require further analysis.
MACD of CF
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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