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Analysis City Pub Group PLC-The (CPC)

6/2/2024

Analysis City Pub Group PLC-The (CPC)

Analysis of City Pub Group PLC-The (CPC)

City Pub Group PLC (CPC) is showing some interesting trends based on the recent data:

1. **Price Movement**: The stock price has been fluctuating between 137.00 and 141.00. The recent closing price was 139.00, which is slightly lower than the opening price of 139.50.

2. **Technical Indicators**:
- **RSI**: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is around 50.56, indicating a neutral sentiment in the market.
- **MACD**: The MACD line is below the signal line, with a negative value of -0.06, suggesting a bearish signal.
- **Moving Averages**: The stock price is below the Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) of around 138.93, 138.78, and 138.95 respectively.

3. **Overall Analysis**:
- The stock seems to be consolidating with a neutral RSI, but the MACD indicator shows a bearish signal.
- The stock price is below the moving averages, indicating a possible downward trend.
- Investors should closely monitor the stock for any breakout or reversal signals before making any trading decisions.

Please note that this analysis is based on the provided data and should be supplemented with further research before making any investment decisions.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets include cash, inventory, and receivables, with a significant portion in cash equivalents and short-term investments.
3. Non-current assets consist mainly of investments and advances, along with machinery, furniture, and equipment.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, but at a slower pace compared to assets.
5. Shareholders' equity has shown a positive trend, indicating a healthy financial position.
6. The company has been investing in leases, land, and improvements, reflecting a focus on long-term growth.
7. There is a consistent level of short-term debt and accounts payable, with variations in other current liabilities.
8. Retained earnings have fluctuated over the years, impacting shareholders' equity.
9. The company has been managing risks through provisions for risks and charges.
10. Overall, the financial stability and growth of the company seem to be well-maintained based on the balance sheet data.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The results for the quarter ending on January 31, 2025, were released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.

In terms of financials, the company has a strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow. The balance sheet shows a healthy current ratio, but a relatively high total debt to equity ratio. The profit margin and operating margin are both positive, indicating profitability. The company's fiscal year ends in September 2023, and the most recent quarter reported is March 2024. The company has a good return on assets and return on equity.

Looking at stock statistics, the short ratio is relatively low, and the percentage held by insiders and institutions is significant. The stock price summary shows the beta, moving averages, and the range of the stock price over the past year.

Valuation metrics indicate the company's price relative to its earnings, book value, and sales. The market capitalization and enterprise value provide insights into the company's overall value.

Lastly, dividends and splits information show the company's dividend history, payout ratio, and dividend yield. The company has a regular dividend payment schedule and has had a recent stock split.

Income statement 💸

Here are the revenue figures for the company over the past four fiscal years:

1. Fiscal Year 2023: Sales of $383,285,000,000
2. Fiscal Year 2022: Sales of $394,328,000,000
3. Fiscal Year 2021: Sales of $365,817,000,000
4. Fiscal Year 2020: Sales of $274,515,000,000

From these figures, we can observe the following trends:
- The company experienced a decrease in revenue from FY 2022 to FY 2023.
- Prior to the decrease, there was a consistent increase in revenue from FY 2020 to FY 2022.
- Overall, there has been significant growth in revenue over the four-year period, despite the recent decrease.

These trends in revenue can provide insights into the company's performance and market conditions over the specified fiscal years.

Cash Flow 💶

This is a cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has been relatively stable over the years, indicating consistent operational performance.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020 and its lowest in 2022.
5. Financing activities show significant variations, with large amounts being spent on common stock repurchase and debt issuance and payments.
6. Investing activities also vary, with significant amounts being spent on the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company's financial activities show a mix of stability in operations and fluctuations in financing and investing decisions.

Earnings estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows growth compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This also indicates growth compared to the EPS of $1.35 from the same quarter a year ago.

3. For the current year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $6.10, with a low estimate of $5.95 and a high estimate of $6.41. This reflects an increase from the EPS of $5.67 from the previous year.

4. Looking ahead to the next year ending on September 30, 2025, the average EPS estimate is $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This suggests further growth compared to the EPS of $6.10 from the current year.

Overall, the analysts' estimates indicate a positive outlook for the company's earnings per share, with expected growth in both the quarterly and annual results over the specified periods.

Revenue estimate

Based on analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $85,501,800,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $357,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $380,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided by analysts, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:

1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.1%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 5.2%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.6%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 9.7%.

These estimates suggest that the company has been experiencing strong growth in the past, but analysts expect the growth rate to moderate slightly in the coming years, although it is still expected to be healthy.

Price target

The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:
- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD

Based on these forecasts, it appears that the analysts are generally optimistic about the future price of the security, with a median and average price above the current price. However, there is a wide range between the low and high forecasts, indicating some uncertainty in the predictions.

MACD of CPC

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment Group S.A. at Al. Aleje Jerozolimskie 65 / 79, 00-697 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000335507, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204. Honey Payment Group is listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) under the ticker symbol HPG. Link