Analysis CMC Corporation (2185)
6/3/2024
Analysis of CMC Corporation (2185)
Based on the provided data for CMC Corporation, we can see the following key points:1. **Price Movement**: The closing prices for CMC Corporation have been fluctuating between 1223 and 1257 over the past few days, with some volatility in the price range.
2. **Technical Indicators**:
- **RSI Indicator**: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) values have been hovering around 33 to 48, indicating a moderate level of momentum in the stock.
- **MACD Indicator**: The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) values have been negative, suggesting a bearish trend in the stock price.
- **Moving Averages**: The Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) values have been slightly decreasing, indicating a downward trend in the stock price.
3. **Overall Analysis**:
- The stock seems to be in a short-term bearish phase based on the MACD indicator and moving averages.
- The RSI values suggest that the stock is not oversold or overbought, indicating a balanced momentum.
- Investors may want to monitor the stock closely for any potential reversal or continuation of the current trend.
Please note that this analysis is based on the provided data and should be supplemented with additional research before making any investment decisions.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided yet. The previous results were reported on February 27, 2025, through the Transfer Agent. Before that, on January 31, 2025, the results were released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, on August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.In terms of financials, the company has strong cash flow with operating cash flow at $110.56 billion and levered free cash flow at $84.73 billion. The balance sheet shows a total cash of $67.15 billion, total debt of $104.59 billion, and a current ratio of 1.037. The profit margin is 26.31%, with a fiscal year ending on September 30, 2023. The company has an EBITDA of $131.39 billion, revenue of $381.62 billion, and a diluted EPS of 6.43. The operating margin is 30.74%, with a return on assets of 22.07% and return on equity of 147.25%.
In terms of stock statistics, the company has a short ratio of 1.53, with 15.31 billion float shares and 99.29 million shares shorted. The average 10-day trading volume is 46.86 million shares, while the average 90-day trading volume is 57.50 million shares. The company has 15.33 billion shares outstanding, with 5.22% held by insiders and 57.59% held by institutions.
Valuation metrics show a PEG ratio of 26.32, forward PE of 26.32, and trailing PE of 29.59. The enterprise value is $2.95 trillion, with a price to book ratio of 39.34, price to sales ratio of 7.65, enterprise to EBITDA ratio of 22.76, and enterprise to revenue ratio of 7.73. The market capitalization is $2.92 trillion.
The stock price summary includes a beta of 1.26, 50-day moving average of $176.26, 200-day moving average of $181.04, a 52-week low of $164.08, a 52-week high of $199.62, and a 52-week change of 6.85%.
Lastly, dividends and splits information shows a payout ratio of 14.93%, with a dividend date on May 16, 2024. The last split date was on August 31, 2020, with a 4-for-1 split factor. The forward annual dividend rate is $1, with a 5-year average dividend yield of 0.73% and a forward annual dividend yield of 0.53%. The trailing annual dividend rate is $0.97, with a trailing annual dividend yield of 0.51%.
Income statement 💸
These are the revenue figures. Here are the conclusions:1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. Despite the increase in sales, the cost of goods sold has also been rising, indicating a potential challenge in managing production or procurement costs.
3. The gross profit margin seems to be relatively stable, with gross profit ranging from around $105 billion to $169 billion.
4. Operating income has shown an upward trend, reaching $114.3 billion in 2023 from $66.3 billion in 2020.
5. Net income has also been increasing over the years, from $57.4 billion in 2020 to $97 billion in 2023, indicating improved profitability.
6. Earnings per share (EPS) have shown a slight fluctuation but have generally increased, with diluted EPS ranging from 3.28 to 6.16 over the years.
7. The company has been able to maintain a stable number of outstanding shares, which is important for investors to assess the dilution of their ownership.
8. Overall, the financial performance of the company in terms of revenue and profitability has been positive and improving over the years.
Earnings estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This also indicates growth from the EPS of $1.35 in the same quarter last year.
3. Looking at the estimates for the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $6.10, ranging from a low estimate of $5.95 to a high estimate of $6.41. This reflects an increase from the EPS of $5.67 for the previous fiscal year.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimated EPS is $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This suggests a slight improvement from the EPS of $6.10 in the current fiscal year.
Overall, the analysts' estimates point towards a positive trend of increasing earnings per share for the company in both the short term and the long term.
Revenue estimate
The analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company are as follows:1. **Current Quarter (as of June 30, 2024):**
- Average Estimate: $77,545,400,000
- Low Estimate: $75,869,000,000
- High Estimate: $79,035,500,000
- Sales Growth: 2%
- Year Ago Sales: $75,725,200,000
- Number of Analysts: 25
2. **Next Quarter (as of September 30, 2024):**
- Average Estimate: $85,501,800,000
- Low Estimate: $81,634,900,000
- High Estimate: $91,144,800,000
- Sales Growth: 3%
- Year Ago Sales: $82,854,600,000
- Number of Analysts: 25
3. **Current Year (as of September 30, 2024):**
- Average Estimate: $357,772,000,000
- Low Estimate: $350,189,000,000
- High Estimate: $364,505,000,000
- Sales Growth: 1%
- Year Ago Sales: $354,834,000,000
- Number of Analysts: 38
4. **Next Year (as of September 30, 2025):**
- Average Estimate: $380,772,000,000
- Low Estimate: $353,721,000,000
- High Estimate: $403,636,000,000
- Sales Growth: 6%
- Year Ago Sales: $357,772,000,000
- Number of Analysts: 38
**Key Takeaways:**
- The analysts are generally forecasting a moderate growth in sales for both the current and next quarters, with higher growth expected in the next year.
- The number of analysts providing estimates increases for the annual projections, indicating more interest in the long-term performance of the company.
- The highest sales growth is expected in the next year, showing optimism about the company's future performance.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided by analysts, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.1%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 5.2%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.6%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 9.7%.
These estimates suggest a positive growth trend for the company, with a slight increase in growth rate expected in the coming years compared to the current period. However, the growth rate is projected to be lower than the average growth rate observed in the past 5 years.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $275
- Median: $201.43
- Average: $204.58
- Current price: $192.25
- Currency: USD
Based on these forecasts, it appears that the analysts are generally optimistic about the future price of the security, with a median forecast above the current price. However, there is a wide range of predictions, from $164 to $275, indicating some uncertainty in the market.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets include cash, inventory, and receivables, with a significant portion in cash equivalents and short-term investments.
3. Non-current assets consist mainly of investments and advances, along with machinery, furniture, and equipment.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, but at a slower pace compared to assets, resulting in a growth in shareholders' equity.
5. Shareholders' equity includes common stock, retained earnings, and other equity components.
6. The company has been managing its short-term and long-term debts while investing in non-current assets for future growth.
7. Accumulated depreciation has been significant, affecting the value of non-current assets.
8. The company has been maintaining a healthy balance between assets and liabilities, ensuring a positive shareholders' equity.
Cash Flow 💶
This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value recorded in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchases and debt issuances/payments, with significant amounts involved.
6. Investing activities reflect acquisitions, investments, and capital expenditures, with notable changes in the amounts spent each year.
7. The company's net income has been relatively stable, with fluctuations in other non-cash items and stock-based compensation.
8. Overall, the company's cash flow statement reflects a mix of operational, financing, and investing activities that have contributed to its financial position over the years.
MACD of 2185
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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