Analysis of Comforia Residential REIT, Inc (3282)
Comforia Residential REIT, Inc. (symbol: 3282) has been showing some interesting price movements and technical indicators in the past few days:
1. Price Movement:
- The closing prices have been fluctuating between 333,500 and 340,000.
- The stock has been trading in a relatively narrow range, indicating some stability in the price.
2. Technical Indicators:
- RSI Indicator: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) values have been around 42 to 55, suggesting that the stock is neither overbought nor oversold.
- MACD Indicator: The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) values have been fluctuating, indicating some changes in momentum.
- Moving Averages: The Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) have been relatively close to each other, showing a convergence of these indicators.
3. Overall Analysis:
- The stock seems to be consolidating within a range, with no clear trend in either direction.
- The technical indicators suggest a mixed outlook, with no strong signals of a trend reversal or continuation.
- Traders and investors may need to wait for clearer signals or a breakout from the current range before making trading decisions.
Please note that this analysis is based on the provided data and should be supplemented with additional research before making any investment decisions.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter, as of April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous results as of February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The results from January 31, 2025, were released after hours. The results from October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. The results from August 1, 2024, showed an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.33.
Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits for a specific company.
In terms of financials, the company has strong cash flow with operating cash flow at $110.56 billion and levered free cash flow at $84.73 billion. The balance sheet shows a total cash of $67.15 billion, total debt of $104.59 billion, and a current ratio of 1.037. The profit margin is 26.31% and the company's fiscal year ends on September 30, 2023. The income statement reveals an EBITDA of $131.39 billion, revenue of $381.62 billion, and a diluted EPS of 6.44.
Moving on to stock statistics, the company has a short ratio of 1.66, with 94.31 million shares shorted out of 15.31 billion float shares. The average 10-day volume is 52.90 million shares, while the average 90-day volume is 62.82 million shares. The stock price summary includes a beta of 1.264, a 50-day moving average of $173.69, and a 200-day moving average of $180.79.
Valuation metrics show a PEG ratio of 26.21, forward PE ratio of 26.21, and trailing PE ratio of 29.43. The enterprise value is $2.95 trillion, with a price to book ratio of 39.18 and price to sales ratio of 7.62. The market capitalization stands at $2.91 trillion.
Lastly, dividends and splits information indicate a payout ratio of 14.93%, with a forward annual dividend rate of $1 and a trailing annual dividend rate of $0.97. The company's dividend dates, split dates, and dividend yields are also provided.
Revenue estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:
1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company, with slightly higher growth expected in the next fiscal year.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided:
- The current year growth rate is 7.5%
- The next quarter growth rate is 4.8%
- The current quarter growth rate is 5.6%
- The next year growth rate is 9.7%
- The next 5 years compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is 11%
- The past 5 years compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is 20.15%
From these estimates, we can see that the company is expected to experience a significant increase in growth compared to the past 5 years, with a particularly strong growth rate projected for the next 5 years. However, there is a slight dip in growth expected in the next quarter compared to the current quarter.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:
- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD
Based on these forecasts, it appears that the analysts are generally optimistic about the future price of the security, with a median forecast of $200. However, it's important to note that there is a wide range of forecasts, from a low of $164 to a high of $250. The current price of the security is $191.57, which is below both the average and median forecasted prices.
Income statement 💸
These are the revenue figures. Here are the conclusions:
1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. Despite the increase in sales, the cost of goods sold has also been rising, indicating a potential need for cost management.
3. The gross profit margin has remained relatively stable over the years, indicating efficient cost control measures.
4. Operating income has shown a positive trend, reaching $114.3 billion in 2023 from $66.3 billion in 2020.
5. Net income has also been increasing consistently, from $57.4 billion in 2020 to $97 billion in 2023, showing a healthy growth in profitability.
6. Earnings per share (EPS) have shown a slight fluctuation but have generally been on an upward trajectory.
7. The company has been able to maintain a stable diluted shares outstanding count over the years.
8. Overall, the financial performance of the company in terms of revenue and profitability has been positive and improving.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions based on the provided data:
1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $352,583,000,000.
2. Current assets fluctuate from year to year, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2023 at $209,017,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $290,437,000,000.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2019 at $90,488,000,000.
6. The company has been relying more on non-current assets to support its operations and growth.
7. There is a significant amount of debt in the company's capital structure, both short-term and long-term.
8. The company has been investing in leases, land, machinery, and equipment to support its operations.
9. Retained earnings have been negative in some years, indicating losses or dividend payouts exceeding profits.
10. The company has been managing its cash and short-term investments effectively to support its liquidity needs.
Cash Flow 💶
This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:
1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value recorded in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, issuance of long-term debt, and payment of dividends.
6. Investing activities include the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company seems to be managing its cash flow effectively, with a focus on operational efficiency and strategic investments.
Earnings estimate
The analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share are as follows:
1. Current Quarter (as of June 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.33
- Low Estimate: $1.27
- High Estimate: $1.36
- Year Ago EPS: $1.26
- Number of Analysts: 26
2. Next Quarter (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.53
- Low Estimate: $1.44
- High Estimate: $1.63
- Year Ago EPS: $1.46
- Number of Analysts: 25
3. Current Year (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $6.59
- Low Estimate: $6.43
- High Estimate: $6.92
- Year Ago EPS: $6.13
- Number of Analysts: 39
4. Next Year (as of September 30, 2025):
- Average Estimate: $7.23
- Low Estimate: $6.40
- High Estimate: $7.90
- Year Ago EPS: $6.59
- Number of Analysts: 39
Based on these estimates, we can see a generally positive trend in the expected earnings per share for both the upcoming quarters and the next fiscal years. The average estimates are showing growth compared to the previous year's EPS, indicating a positive outlook for the company's financial performance.MACD of 3282