Analysis Computer Management Co., Ltd. (4491)
5/30/2024
Analysis of Computer Management Co., Ltd. (4491)
Computer Management Co., Ltd. is showing some interesting trends based on the provided data. Here are some key points from the analysis:1. **Price Movement**: The stock price has been fluctuating over the past few days, ranging from a low of 1570 to a high of 1681. This indicates volatility in the stock.
2. **Technical Indicators**:
- **RSI Indicator**: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) values have been fluctuating around the 50 level, indicating a balanced market sentiment.
- **MACD Indicator**: The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) histogram has been showing mixed signals, with the MACD line crossing above and below the signal line.
3. **Moving Averages**:
- The Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) are all showing a downward trend, indicating a possible bearish sentiment in the market.
4. **Overall Sentiment**:
- The stock seems to be in a consolidation phase with no clear trend direction.
- Traders and investors may need to exercise caution and wait for a clearer signal before making any trading decisions.
It is important to conduct further analysis and consider other factors before making any investment decisions.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The results from January 31, 2025, were released after hours. The results from October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. The results from August 1, 2024, showed an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.In terms of financials, the company has strong cash flow with operating cash flow at $110.56 billion and levered free cash flow at $84.73 billion. The balance sheet shows a total cash of $67.15 billion, total debt of $104.59 billion, and a current ratio of 1.037. The profit margin is 26.31%, with a fiscal year ending on September 30, 2023. The company has an EBITDA of $131.39 billion, revenue of $381.62 billion, and a diluted EPS of 6.43. The operating margin is 30.74%, with a return on assets of 22.07% and return on equity of 147.25%.
In terms of stock statistics, the company has a short ratio of 1.53, with 99.29 million shares shorted out of 15.31 billion float shares. The average 10-day volume is 46.86 million shares, and the average 90-day volume is 57.50 million shares. The company has a market capitalization of $2.92 trillion, with 57.59% held by institutions and 5.22% held by insiders.
Valuation metrics show a PEG ratio of 26.32, forward P/E of 26.32, and trailing P/E of 29.59. The enterprise value is $2.95 trillion, with a price-to-book ratio of 39.34, price-to-sales ratio of 7.65, enterprise-to-EBITDA ratio of 22.76, and enterprise-to-revenue ratio of 7.73.
The stock price summary includes a beta of 1.26, 50-day moving average of $176.26, 200-day moving average of $181.04, 52-week low of $164.08, 52-week high of $199.62, and a 52-week change of 6.85%.
Lastly, dividends and splits information shows a payout ratio of 14.93%, with a dividend date on May 16, 2024. The last split date was on August 31, 2020, with a 4-for-1 split factor. The forward annual dividend rate is $1, with a 5-year average dividend yield of 0.73% and a forward annual dividend yield of 0.53%. The trailing annual dividend rate is $0.97, with a trailing annual dividend yield of 0.51%.
Income statement 💸
These are the revenue figures. Here are the conclusions:1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. The gross profit margin has been fluctuating, with a peak in 2022 at $170.8 billion and a slight decrease in 2023 to $169.1 billion.
3. Operating income has shown an upward trend, reaching $114.3 billion in 2023 from $66.3 billion in 2020.
4. Net income has also been increasing consistently, with a significant rise from $57.4 billion in 2020 to $97 billion in 2023.
5. Earnings per share (EPS) have shown a positive trend, with both basic and diluted EPS increasing over the years.
6. The company has been able to maintain a healthy EBITDA margin, with a slight decrease in 2023 compared to 2022.
7. Despite fluctuations in certain expenses and income components, the overall financial performance of the company seems to be on an upward trajectory.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets include cash, inventory, and receivables, with a significant portion in cash equivalents and short-term investments.
3. Non-current assets consist mainly of investments and advances, along with machinery, furniture, and equipment.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, but at a slower pace compared to assets.
5. Shareholders' equity has shown a positive trend, indicating a healthy financial position.
6. The company has been investing in leases, land, and improvements, reflecting a focus on long-term growth.
7. There is a consistent level of short-term debt and accounts payable, indicating stable financial obligations.
8. The company has been managing its non-current liabilities effectively, with a provision for risks and charges in place.
9. Retained earnings have been fluctuating, suggesting variations in profitability over the years.
10. Overall, the company's financial health seems robust, with a good balance between assets, liabilities, and equity.
Cash Flow 💶
This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, issuance of long-term debt, and payment of dividends.
6. Investing activities include the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company seems to be managing its cash flow effectively, with a focus on operational efficiency and strategic investments.
Earnings estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.33, which is higher than the EPS of $1.26 from the same quarter a year ago. The range of estimates is between $1.27 and $1.36, as provided by 26 analysts.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.53, compared to $1.46 from the previous year. The estimates range from $1.44 to $1.63, based on 25 analysts' forecasts.
3. Looking at the estimates for the current year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS is projected to be $6.59, up from $6.13 in the previous year. The analysts' estimates range from $6.43 to $6.92, with insights provided by 39 analysts.
4. For the next year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimated EPS is $7.23, with a range of estimates between $6.40 and $7.90. This forecast indicates growth from the previous year's EPS of $6.59, as suggested by 39 analysts.
Overall, the analysts are generally optimistic about the company's future earnings per share, with expected growth in both the short term and the long term.
Revenue estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.
These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company, with slightly higher growth expected in the next fiscal year compared to the current one.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.6%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 4.8%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.5%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 11%.
These estimates suggest a positive growth trend for the company, with a slightly lower growth rate expected in the next 5 years compared to the past 5 years. The company is projected to experience steady growth in the upcoming quarters and years, indicating a positive outlook according to analyst consensus.
Price target
Based on the analysts' forecast, the future price of the security is expected to range between $164 (low) and $250 (high), with a median estimate of $200 and an average estimate of $202.26. The current price of the security is $191.57.MACD of 4491
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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