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Analysis Conn's Inc (CONN)

5/31/2024

Analysis Conn's Inc (CONN)

Analysis of Conn's Inc (CONN)

Conn's Inc (CONN) is showing some interesting trends based on the recent data:

1. **Price Movement**: The stock price has been fluctuating between $3.24 and $3.74 over the past few days, with some volatility in between. The price closed at $3.24 on the most recent trading day.

2. **Relative Strength Index (RSI)**: The RSI indicator is around 36.68, indicating that the stock is approaching oversold conditions. This could suggest a potential buying opportunity for traders.

3. **Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD)**: The MACD line is below the signal line, with a negative value of -0.05216. This indicates a bearish signal for the stock in the short term.

4. **Moving Averages (MA)**: The Simple Moving Average (SMA) is at $3.55, Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $3.55, and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) at $3.55. These moving averages can act as support or resistance levels for the stock price.

5. **Overall Trend**: The stock seems to be in a downtrend based on the recent price movements and technical indicators. Traders and investors should closely monitor the stock for any potential reversal or continuation of the current trend.

Please note that this analysis is based on historical data and technical indicators, and it's essential to consider other factors like market conditions, company news, and fundamental analysis before making any trading decisions.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets include cash, inventory, and receivables, with cash and cash equivalents showing fluctuations.
3. Non-current assets consist mainly of investments and advances, with a significant portion allocated to machinery, furniture, and equipment.
4. Total liabilities have also been on the rise, with the highest recorded at $302,083,000,000 in 2022.
5. Current liabilities involve short-term debt, accounts payable, and other current liabilities.
6. Non-current liabilities include long-term debt and other non-current liabilities.
7. Shareholders' equity has shown variations, with the highest recorded at $90,488,000,000 in 2019.
8. Common stock and retained earnings are the major components of shareholders' equity.
9. The company seems to be investing heavily in non-current assets, which could be driving the increase in total assets and liabilities.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company had an EPS estimate of 1.32.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.

In terms of financials, the company has strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow, with a positive current ratio and a high total debt to equity ratio. The profit margin and operating margin are also healthy, indicating efficient operations. The company's fiscal year ends in September 2023, and it has shown a positive return on assets and return on equity.

Looking at stock statistics, the company has a low short ratio and a significant percentage of shares held by institutions. The stock price summary shows volatility with a beta of 1.264 and a fluctuation between the fifty-two-week low and high.

Valuation metrics reveal a high PEG ratio and price-to-book ratio, with the company's market capitalization and enterprise value being substantial. The stock is trading at a relatively high forward PE ratio and price-to-sales ratio.

Lastly, dividends and splits information indicates a consistent dividend payout with a moderate dividend yield. The company has a history of stock splits, with the most recent one occurring in August 2020.

Income statement 💸

These are the revenues. Draw conclusions.

Cash Flow 💶

This is a cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show significant changes each year, with common stock repurchases and debt issuances impacting the cash flow.
6. Investing activities also vary, with acquisitions, investments, and capital expenditures affecting the cash flow.
7. Overall, the company's financial performance seems to be stable, with some fluctuations in key financial indicators.

Earnings estimate

Based on analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.33, with a low estimate of $1.27 and a high estimate of $1.36. This shows growth compared to the EPS of $1.26 from the same quarter a year ago.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.53, with a low estimate of $1.44 and a high estimate of $1.63. This indicates an increase from the EPS of $1.46 from the same quarter last year.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $6.59, with a low estimate of $6.43 and a high estimate of $6.92. This reflects growth compared to the EPS of $6.13 from the previous fiscal year.

4. Looking ahead to the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average EPS estimate is $7.23, with a low estimate of $6.40 and a high estimate of $7.90. This suggests an increase from the EPS of $6.59 reported for the current fiscal year.

Overall, the estimates show a positive trend of increasing earnings per share over the coming quarters and years, indicating potential growth and performance improvement for the company.

Revenue estimate

Based on analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company, with a slightly higher growth rate expected in the next fiscal year compared to the current one.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:

1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.6%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 4.8%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.5%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 11%.

These estimates suggest a positive growth trend for the company, with a slightly lower growth rate expected in the near term compared to the historical performance. However, the company is still projected to experience double-digit growth over the next 5 years according to analyst consensus.

Price target

The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:
- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD

Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a range of opinions on the future price of the security, with the lowest estimate at $164, the highest at $250, and the average at $202.26. The current price is $191.57, which is below the average and median forecasted prices.

MACD of CONN

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

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Email address

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Company information

Honey Payment Group S.A. at Al. Aleje Jerozolimskie 65 / 79, 00-697 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000335507, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204. Honey Payment Group is listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) under the ticker symbol HPG. Link