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Analysis Consolidated Water Co Ltd (CWCO)

6/4/2024

Analysis Consolidated Water Co Ltd (CWCO)

Analysis of Consolidated Water Co Ltd (CWCO)

Consolidated Water Co Ltd (CWCO) has shown some interesting price movements and technical indicators in the recent days:

1. Price Movement:
- The stock price closed at $30.00, slightly lower than the opening price of $30.25.
- The price ranged from a low of $29.87 to a high of $30.50.

2. Technical Indicators:
- Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 63.03, indicating the stock is neither overbought nor oversold.
- Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is positive at 0.25844, but the MACD line is below the signal line, suggesting a potential bearish signal.
- The Moving Average (MA) indicator is at 27.76, which is above the closing price, indicating a potential support level.

3. Moving Averages:
- Simple Moving Average (SMA) is at 27.76, Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is at 27.52, and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) is at 27.82.

Overall, the stock seems to be trading in a relatively neutral zone based on the RSI, but the MACD indicator suggests a bearish signal. The moving averages indicate a potential support level around $27.76. It would be important to monitor how the stock price behaves in the coming days to confirm any potential trend reversal or continuation.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided yet. The previous results from February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The results from January 31, 2025, were released after hours. The results from October 31, 2024, were not provided at a specific time. The results from August 1, 2024, showed an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.

In terms of financials, the company has strong cash flow with operating cash flow at $110.56 billion and levered free cash flow at $84.73 billion. The balance sheet shows a total cash of $67.15 billion, total debt of $104.59 billion, and a current ratio of 1.037. The profit margin is 26.31%, with a return on assets of 22.07% and return on equity of 147.25%. The company's fiscal year ends on September 30, 2023.

Moving on to stock statistics, the company has a short ratio of 1.53, with 99.29 million shares shorted out of 15.31 billion float shares. The stock is held by institutions at 57.59% and insiders at 5.22%, with a short percent of shares outstanding at 0.65%.

Valuation metrics show a PEG ratio of 26.32, forward P/E of 26.32, and trailing P/E of 29.59. The enterprise value is $2.95 trillion, with a market capitalization of $2.92 trillion. The price to book ratio is 39.34, price to sales ratio is 7.65, enterprise to EBITDA ratio is 22.76, and enterprise to revenue ratio is 7.73.

The stock price summary includes a beta of 1.26, 50-day moving average of $176.26, 200-day moving average of $181.04, and a 52-week low of $164.08 and high of $199.62.

Lastly, dividends and splits information shows a payout ratio of 14.93%, with a forward annual dividend rate of $1 and a trailing annual dividend rate of $0.97. The company has a 5-year average dividend yield of 0.73% and a forward annual dividend yield of 0.53%. The last split date was on August 31, 2020, with a 4-for-1 split. The next dividend date is on May 16, 2024, with an ex-dividend date on May 10, 2024.

Income statement 💸

Here are the revenue figures for the company over the past four fiscal years:

1. Fiscal Year 2023: Sales of $383,285,000,000
2. Fiscal Year 2022: Sales of $394,328,000,000
3. Fiscal Year 2021: Sales of $365,817,000,000
4. Fiscal Year 2020: Sales of $274,515,000,000

From these figures, we can observe the following trends:
- The company experienced a significant increase in sales from FY 2020 to FY 2022, followed by a slight decrease in FY 2023.
- Overall, there has been a positive revenue growth trend over the past four years, with fluctuations in between.

These revenue figures provide insights into the company's performance and its ability to generate income from its core operations.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets have fluctuated, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have shown an increasing trend, with the highest value in 2019 at $175,697,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching $255,355,000,000 in 2018.
5. Shareholders' equity has shown an increasing trend, with the highest value in 2018 at $107,147,000,000.
6. The company has been relying more on non-current assets to finance its operations, as seen in the increasing trend of non-current assets compared to current assets.
7. The company has been able to maintain a positive shareholders' equity throughout the years, indicating a healthy financial position.

Cash Flow 💶

This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, issuance of long-term debt, and payment of dividends.
6. Investing activities include the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company seems to be managing its cash flow effectively, with a focus on operational efficiency and strategic investments.

Earnings estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This is also an increase from the EPS of $1.35 in the same quarter last year.

3. Looking at the estimates for the current year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $6.10, ranging from a low estimate of $5.95 to a high estimate of $6.41. This reflects growth compared to the EPS of $5.67 from the previous year.

4. For the next year ending on September 30, 2025, analysts project an average EPS of $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This indicates a potential increase from the EPS of $6.10 in the previous year.

Overall, the analysts' estimates suggest a positive outlook for the company's earnings per share, showing growth potential in both the quarterly and annual performance.

Revenue estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $85,501,800,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $357,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $380,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.

Overall, the analysts are generally optimistic about the company's future sales performance, with moderate growth expected in both the quarterly and annual sales figures.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided:
- The company is expected to experience a growth rate of 7.6% in the current year and 9.7% in the next year.
- For the current quarter and the next quarter, the growth rate is estimated to be around 5.1%.
- Over the next 5 years, the company is projected to have a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 9.7%.
- However, when looking at the past 5 years, the company had a higher growth rate of around 20.1% per annum.

Overall, it appears that the company is expected to maintain a solid growth trajectory, although at a slightly lower rate compared to the past 5 years.

Price target

The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security paper is as follows:
- Low: $164
- High: $275
- Median: $201.43
- Average: $204.58
- Current price: $192.25
- Currency: USD

Based on these forecasts, we can see that the current price of $192.25 is below both the median and average predicted prices. The analysts' predictions suggest a potential increase in the price of the security paper, with a high estimate of $275. Investors may consider these forecasts when making decisions about buying or selling the security paper.

MACD of CWCO

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment Group S.A. at Al. Aleje Jerozolimskie 65 / 79, 00-697 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000335507, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204. Honey Payment Group is listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) under the ticker symbol HPG. Link