Analysis Cosmos Initia Co., Ltd. (8844)
6/3/2024
Analysis of Cosmos Initia Co., Ltd. (8844)
Cosmos Initia Co., Ltd. (symbol: 8844) has been showing some fluctuations in its stock price recently. Looking at the technical indicators, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has been hovering around the mid-range, indicating a balanced market sentiment. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) shows negative values, suggesting a bearish trend.In terms of moving averages, the Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) are all showing a downward trend, indicating a potential bearish sentiment in the short term.
Overall, based on the technical indicators, Cosmos Initia Co., Ltd. may be facing some selling pressure in the near future. Traders and investors should closely monitor the stock's performance and key support levels to make informed decisions.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company had an EPS estimate of 1.32.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuations metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.In terms of financials, the company has strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow, with a positive current ratio and a high total debt to equity ratio. The profit margin and operating margin are also healthy, with a good return on assets and return on equity. The company's fiscal year ends in September 2023, and the most recent quarter reported is March 2024.
Looking at stock statistics, the company has a low short ratio and a significant percentage of shares held by institutions. The stock price has a beta of 1.264, with a 50-day moving average and a 200-day moving average. The 52-week range shows a change of 6.853%.
Valuations metrics indicate a high PEG ratio and forward PE ratio, with a relatively high price to book and price to sales ratios. The company's market capitalization and enterprise value are substantial, with moderate ratios for enterprise to EBITDA and enterprise to revenue.
Lastly, dividends and splits information show a low payout ratio, with details on dividend dates, split dates, and dividend yields. The company has a history of dividends and splits, with a forward annual dividend rate and a 5-year average dividend yield provided.
Income statement 💸
Here are the revenue figures for the company over the past four fiscal years:1. Fiscal Year 2023: Sales of $383,285,000,000
2. Fiscal Year 2022: Sales of $394,328,000,000
3. Fiscal Year 2021: Sales of $365,817,000,000
4. Fiscal Year 2020: Sales of $274,515,000,000
From these figures, we can observe the following trends:
- The company experienced a significant increase in sales from 2020 to 2022, followed by a slight decrease in 2023.
- Overall, there has been a positive growth trajectory in revenue over the past four years, indicating a healthy business performance.
- It would be beneficial to further analyze the factors contributing to the fluctuations in revenue to make informed business decisions.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets fluctuate, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2019 at $175,697,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching $255,355,000,000 in 2018.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2019 at $90,488,000,000.
6. The company has been relying more on non-current assets to finance its operations over the years.
Cash Flow 💶
This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value recorded in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. Financing activities show significant fluctuations, especially in common stock repurchases and long-term debt issuuance.
5. Investing activities also vary, with notable amounts spent on the sale and purchase of investments.
6. The end cash position has been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020 and its lowest in 2022.
These conclusions provide insights into the company's financial performance and management of cash flows over the years.
Earnings estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This also indicates growth from the EPS of $1.35 in the same quarter last year.
3. Looking at the estimates for the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $6.10, ranging from a low estimate of $5.95 to a high estimate of $6.41. This reflects an increase from the EPS of $5.67 for the previous fiscal year.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimated EPS is $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This suggests a slight improvement from the EPS of $6.10 in the current fiscal year.
Overall, the analysts' estimates point towards a positive trend of increasing earnings per share for the company in both the short term and the long term.
Revenue estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $85,501,800,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $357,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $380,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.
These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company, with slightly higher growth expected in the next fiscal year compared to the current one.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided:- The current year growth rate is 7.6%
- The next quarter growth rate is 5.1%
- The current quarter growth rate is 5.1%
- The next year growth rate is 9.7%
- The average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 9.7%
- The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%
From these estimates, we can see that the company is expected to experience a significant increase in growth compared to the past 5 years, with a particularly strong growth rate projected for the next year and the next 5 years. It indicates a positive outlook for the company's future performance according to analyst consensus.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $275
- Median: $201.43
- Average: $204.58
- Current price: $192.25
Based on these forecasts, it appears that the analysts are generally optimistic about the future price of the security, with a median and average above the current price. However, there is a wide range between the low and high forecasts, indicating some uncertainty or differing opinions among analysts.
MACD of 8844
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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