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Analysis Costain Group PLC (COST)

5/27/2024

Analysis Costain Group PLC (COST)

Analysis of Costain Group PLC (COST)

Costain Group PLC is showing relatively stable stock prices over the past few days, with minor fluctuations in both the closing and opening prices. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) values are hovering around 50, indicating a balanced market sentiment without any extreme overbought or oversold conditions.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is positive, suggesting a bullish trend, although the histogram values indicate some fluctuations in momentum. The Moving Average (MA) indicator values are consistent with the Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) showing similar trends.

Overall, the stock seems to be trading in a stable range with no significant outliers in the technical indicators. However, investors should continue to monitor the MACD histogram for any potential changes in momentum.

Income statement 💸

These are the revenue figures. Here are the conclusions:

1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. Despite fluctuations in other financial metrics, the gross profit has generally followed the trend of increasing sales revenue.
3. The company has been able to maintain a healthy EBITDA margin, with EBITDA reaching $129.2 billion in 2023.
4. Net income has also shown an increasing trend, reaching $97 billion in 2023 from $57.4 billion in 2020.
5. The company has been able to effectively manage its operating expenses, as seen in the consistent growth in operating income.
6. Earnings per share (EPS) have shown a slight fluctuation but have generally increased over the years.
7. The company has been able to generate positive non-operating interest income, contributing to its overall profitability.
8. Overall, the financial performance of the company, as indicated by its revenue figures, shows a positive growth trajectory over the years.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets fluctuate, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000 and the lowest in 2023 at $135,405,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2023 at $217,350,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching $290,437,000,000 in 2023.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2018 at $107,147,000,000 and the lowest in 2022 at $50,672,000,000.

Cash Flow 💶

This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, issuance of long-term debt, and payment of dividends.
6. Investing activities include the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company seems to be managing its cash flow effectively, with a focus on operational performance and strategic investments.

Earnings estimate

Based on analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.33, with a low estimate of $1.27 and a high estimate of $1.36. This shows growth compared to the EPS of $1.26 from a year ago.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.53, with a low estimate of $1.44 and a high estimate of $1.63. This indicates an increase from the EPS of $1.46 from a year ago.

3. For the current year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $6.59, with a low estimate of $6.43 and a high estimate of $6.92. This reflects growth compared to the EPS of $6.13 from the previous year.

4. Looking ahead to the next year ending on September 30, 2025, the average EPS estimate is $7.23, with a low estimate of $6.40 and a high estimate of $7.90. This suggests an improvement from the EPS of $6.59 from the prior year.

Overall, the analysts' estimates indicate a positive outlook for the company's earnings per share, with expected growth in both the short term and the long term.

Revenue estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company, with slightly higher growth expected in the next fiscal year compared to the current one.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:

1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.6%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 4.8%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.5%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The company has shown an average growth rate of approximately 20.1% per year over the past 5 years.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated growth rate for the next 5 years is 11%.

These estimates suggest a positive growth trend for the company, with a slightly lower growth rate expected in the near term compared to the past performance. However, the company is still projected to maintain a double-digit growth rate over the next 5 years according to analyst consensus.

Price target

Based on the analysts' forecast, the future price of the security is expected to range between $164 (low) and $250 (high), with a median estimate of $200 and an average estimate of $202.26. The current price of the security is $191.57.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.33.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.

Financials:
- Cash flow: Operating cash flow TTM is $110,563,000,320 and levered free cash flow TTM is $84,726,874,112.
- Balance sheet: Total cash MRQ is $67,150,000,128, total debt MRQ is $104,590,000,128, current ratio MRQ is 1.037, book value per share MRQ is $4.837, total cash per share MRQ is $4.379, and total debt to equity MRQ is 140.968.
- Profit margin is 26.306%.
- Fiscal year ends on September 30, 2023.
- Income statement: EBITDA is $131,393,000,000, revenue TTM is $381,623,009,280, diluted EPS TTM is $6.44, gross profit TTM is $169,148,000,000, revenue per share TTM is $24.537, net income to common TTM is $100,389,003,264, quarterly revenue growth is -4.3%, and quarterly earnings growth YoY is -2.2%.
- Operating margin is 30.743%.
- Return on assets TTM is 22.073999% and return on equity TTM is 147.25%.
- Most recent quarter is March 31, 2024.

Stock statistics:
- Short ratio is 1.66.
- Float shares are 15,308,320,742.
- Shares short are 94,308,265.
- Average 10-day volume is 52,903,608.
- Average 90-day volume is 62,823,269.
- Shares outstanding are 15,334,099,968.
- Percent held by insiders is 5.22% and percent held by institutions is 57.555%.
- Short percent of shares outstanding is 0.62%.

Valuation metrics:
- PEG ratio is 26.213001.
- Forward PE is 26.213001 and trailing PE is 29.428572.
- Enterprise value is $2,948,462,018,560.
- Price to book MRQ is 39.181313.
- Price to sales TTM is 7.6151557.
- Enterprise to EBITDA is 22.745.
- Enterprise to revenue is 7.726.
- Market capitalization is $2,906,118,684,672.

Stock price summary:
- Beta is 1.264.
- 50-day moving average is 173.6936.
- 200-day moving average is 180.7906.
- Fifty-two week low is $164.08 and fifty-two week high is $199.62.
- Fifty-two week change is 8.253%.

Dividends and splits:
- Payout ratio is 14.93%.
- Dividend date is May 16, 2024.
- Last split date is August 31, 2020.
- Ex-dividend date is May 10, 2024.
- Last split factor is a 4-for-1 split.
- Forward annual dividend rate is $1.
- 5-year average dividend yield is 0.73%.
- Forward annual dividend yield is 0.5266761603816345%.
- Trailing annual dividend rate is $0.97.
- Trailing annual dividend yield is 0.5108758755701854%.

MACD of COST

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment Group S.A. at Al. Aleje Jerozolimskie 65 / 79, 00-697 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000335507, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204. Honey Payment Group is listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) under the ticker symbol HPG. Link