Analysis Costco Wholesale Corporation (0I47)
6/4/2024
Analysis of Costco Wholesale Corporation (0I47)
Costco Wholesale Corporation (0I47) has shown a recent uptrend in its stock price, with the price closing at 607.52 on the latest available date. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently at 22.34, indicating an oversold condition. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is at 2.07, with the MACD line below the signal line, suggesting a bearish signal.Looking at historical data, on 2024-06-03, the stock price closed at 815.52, with an RSI of 66.46 and a MACD of 18.89. The MACD histogram was positive, indicating a bullish signal. The Moving Average (MA) indicator is at 777.94, showing an overall positive trend.
Overall, Costco Wholesale Corporation seems to be in a bullish phase, with the stock price showing an upward trend. However, investors should keep an eye on the RSI and MACD indicators for potential reversals in the short term.
Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.In terms of financials, the company has strong cash flow with operating cash flow at $110.56 billion and levered free cash flow at $84.73 billion. The balance sheet shows a total cash of $67.15 billion, total debt of $104.59 billion, and a current ratio of 1.037. The profit margin is 26.31%, with a return on assets of 22.07% and return on equity of 147.25%. The company's fiscal year ends on September 30, 2023.
Regarding stock statistics, the company has a short ratio of 1.53, with 99.29 million shares shorted out of 15.31 billion float shares. The stock is held by institutions at 57.59% and insiders at 5.22%, with a short percent of shares outstanding at 0.65%.
Valuation metrics show a PEG ratio of 26.32, forward P/E of 26.32, and trailing P/E of 29.59. The enterprise value is $2.95 trillion, with a market capitalization of $2.92 trillion. The price to book ratio is 39.34, price to sales ratio is 7.65, enterprise to EBITDA ratio is 22.76, and enterprise to revenue ratio is 7.73.
In the stock price summary, the beta is 1.26, with a 50-day moving average of $176.26 and a 200-day moving average of $181.04. The stock's 52-week low is $164.08, high is $199.62, and the change over the 52 weeks is 6.85%.
Lastly, in dividends and splits, the company has a payout ratio of 14.93% and a forward annual dividend rate of $1, with a yield of 0.53%. The last split date was on August 31, 2020, with a 4-for-1 split. The dividend date is on May 16, 2024, and the ex-dividend date is on May 10, 2024. The 5-year average dividend yield is 0.73%.
Income statement 💸
These are the revenues. Here are the conclusions:1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. Despite the increase in sales, the cost of goods sold has also been increasing, indicating that the company is facing higher production costs.
3. The gross profit margin has remained relatively stable over the years, indicating that the company has been able to maintain its profitability despite the increase in costs.
4. The operating income has also shown a positive trend, reaching $114.3 billion in 2023 from $66.3 billion in 2020.
5. The net income has been increasing over the years, reaching $97 billion in 2023 from $57.4 billion in 2020.
6. The company has been able to manage its operating expenses effectively, as seen in the stable operating income margin.
7. Overall, the financial performance of the company in terms of revenues shows a positive growth trend over the years.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The results from January 31, 2025, were released after hours. The results from October 31, 2024, were not provided at this time. The results from August 1, 2024, showed an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets fluctuate, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2019 at $175,697,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching $255,355,000,000 in 2018.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2019 at $90,488,000,000.
6. The company seems to be investing more in non-current assets over the years.
Cash Flow 💶
This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, issuance of long-term debt, and payment of dividends.
6. Investing activities include the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company seems to be managing its cash flow effectively, with some fluctuations in different areas that may require further analysis.
Earnings estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This also indicates growth from the EPS of $1.35 in the same quarter last year.
3. Looking at the estimates for the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $6.10, ranging from a low estimate of $5.95 to a high estimate of $6.41. This reflects an increase from the EPS of $5.67 for the previous fiscal year.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average EPS estimate is $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This suggests a potential growth compared to the EPS of $6.10 in the current fiscal year.
Overall, the analysts' estimates point towards a positive outlook for the company's earnings per share, showing a trend of expected growth in both the short term and the long term.
Revenue estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $85,501,800,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $357,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $380,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.
Overall, the analysts are generally optimistic about the company's future sales performance, with moderate growth expected in both the quarterly and annual sales figures. The increase in the number of analysts providing estimates for the future periods may indicate growing interest and confidence in the company's prospects.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided, we can draw the following conclusions:1. The current year growth rate is estimated to be 7.6%.
2. The next quarter growth rate is estimated to be 5.1%.
3. The current quarter growth rate is estimated to be 5.1%.
4. The next year growth rate is estimated to be 9.7%.
5. The next 5 years compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is estimated to be 9.7%.
6. The past 5 years compound annual growth rate (CAGR) was 20.1%.
These estimates suggest that the company is expected to experience steady growth in the coming years, with a slight increase in the growth rate compared to the current year. However, the growth rate is expected to be lower than the average growth rate observed in the past 5 years.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $275
- Median: $201.43
- Average: $204.58
- Current price: $192.25
Based on these forecasts, it appears that the analysts are generally optimistic about the future price of the security, with a median and average price above the current price. However, there is a wide range between the low and high forecasts, indicating some uncertainty or differing opinions among analysts.
MACD of 0I47
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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