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Analysis Country Garden Holdings Co., Ltd. (CTRYF)

5/24/2024

Analysis Country Garden Holdings Co., Ltd. (CTRYF)

Analysis of Country Garden Holdings Co., Ltd. (CTRYF)

Country Garden Holdings Co., Ltd. is a real estate development company based in China. Looking at the recent data, we can see that the stock price (symbol: CTRYF) has been relatively stable around 0.15 in the past few days. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is around 60, indicating a neutral sentiment in the market.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator shows a positive trend with the MACD line above the signal line, suggesting a potential bullish signal. The Moving Average (MA) indicator is also showing an upward trend, indicating a positive momentum in the stock price.

Overall, based on the technical indicators, Country Garden Holdings Co., Ltd. seems to be in a stable position with a potential for a bullish trend in the near future. However, it is always recommended to conduct further research and analysis before making any investment decisions.

Cash Flow 💶

This is a cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show significant changes each year, with large amounts being spent on common stock repurchase and debt issuance.
6. Investing activities also vary, with notable amounts spent on the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company's financial activities seem to be dynamic, with a focus on managing cash flow, investing in growth, and returning value to shareholders.

Earnings estimate

Based on analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.33, with a low estimate of $1.27 and a high estimate of $1.36. This shows growth compared to the EPS of $1.26 from the same quarter a year ago.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.53, with a low estimate of $1.44 and a high estimate of $1.63. This indicates an increase from the EPS of $1.46 from the same quarter last year.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $6.59, with a low estimate of $6.43 and a high estimate of $6.92. This reflects growth compared to the EPS of $6.13 from the previous fiscal year.

4. Looking ahead to the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average EPS estimate is $7.23, with a low estimate of $6.40 and a high estimate of $7.90. This forecast suggests an increase from the EPS of $6.59 reported for the current fiscal year.

Overall, the analysts' estimates point towards a positive outlook for the company's earnings per share, with expected growth in both the quarterly and annual results over the specified periods.

Revenue estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, the following conclusions can be drawn:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

These estimates indicate a generally positive outlook for the company, with expected growth in both quarterly and annual sales over the coming periods.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:

1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.6%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 4.8%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.5%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 11%.

These estimates suggest a positive growth trend for the company, with a slightly lower growth rate expected in the next 5 years compared to the past 5 years. The company is projected to experience steady growth in the short term, with a significant increase in growth rate expected for the next year.

Price target

The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:
- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD

Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a range of opinions on the future price of the security, with the low end at $164, the high end at $250, and the average at $202.26. The current price is below both the average and median forecast, indicating that there is potential upside according to the analysts' predictions.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous results were reported on February 27, 2025, through the Transfer Agent. Before that, on January 31, 2025, the results were released after hours. The results for October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. On August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.33.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.

In terms of financials, the company has strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow, with a positive profit margin and healthy return on assets and equity. The balance sheet shows a current ratio slightly above 1, indicating good liquidity, but a high total debt to equity ratio. The income statement reflects solid revenue and net income figures, with a positive operating margin.

Moving on to stock statistics, the company has a relatively low short ratio and short percent of shares outstanding. The float shares and shares outstanding are significant, with a majority held by institutions. The stock price summary shows a beta above 1, with the stock trading within a range of fifty-two-week low and high prices.

Valuation metrics indicate a high PEG ratio and price to book ratio, with the stock trading at a forward and trailing PE ratio. The enterprise value, market capitalization, and other ratios provide insights into the company's valuation.

Lastly, the dividends and splits information reveals details about dividend payments, yield rates, and historical split events. The company has a consistent dividend payout ratio and offers a forward annual dividend yield.

Income statement 💸

These are the revenue figures. Here are the conclusions:

1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. Despite the increase in sales, the cost of goods sold has also been rising, indicating a potential need for cost management strategies.
3. The gross profit margin has remained relatively stable over the years, suggesting efficient cost control measures.
4. Operating income has shown a positive trend, reaching $114.3 billion in 2023 from $66.3 billion in 2020.
5. Net income has also been increasing consistently, from $57.4 billion in 2020 to $97 billion in 2023.
6. Earnings per share (EPS) have shown a slight fluctuation but have generally been on an upward trajectory.
7. The company has been able to maintain a healthy EBITDA margin, indicating strong operational performance.
8. Overall, the financial performance of the company in terms of revenue generation has been positive and shows a growth trend.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions based on the provided data:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets include cash, inventory, and accounts receivable, with cash and cash equivalents forming a significant portion.
3. Non-current assets consist of investments, machinery, furniture, equipment, and other long-term investments.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, with the highest value recorded in 2018 at $255,355,000,000.
5. Current liabilities mainly comprise short-term debt, accounts payable, and other current liabilities.
6. Non-current liabilities include long-term debt and provisions for risks and charges.
7. Shareholders' equity has shown fluctuations but generally follows an increasing trend, with the highest value in 2018 at $107,147,000,000.

MACD of CTRYF

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment Group S.A. at Al. Aleje Jerozolimskie 65 / 79, 00-697 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000335507, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204. Honey Payment Group is listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) under the ticker symbol HPG. Link