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Analysis Crest Nicholson Holdings plc (CRST)

6/1/2024

Analysis Crest Nicholson Holdings plc (CRST)

Analysis of Crest Nicholson Holdings plc (CRST)

Crest Nicholson Holdings plc is showing some interesting trends based on the provided data. Here are a few key points from the analysis:

1. **Price Movement**: The stock price has been fluctuating over the past few days, with the price closing at 211.60 on the most recent day. There seems to be some volatility in the stock price, as seen from the price range between 211.40 and 228.20.

2. **Technical Indicators**:
- **RSI Indicator**: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently at 46.69, indicating a neutral position. This suggests that the stock is neither overbought nor oversold.
- **MACD Indicator**: The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is positive at 8.46, with the MACD line above the signal line. This could indicate a bullish trend in the stock price.

3. **Moving Averages**:
- The Simple Moving Average (SMA) is at 212.36, the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is at 214.49, and the Weighted Moving Average (WMA) is at 217.78. These moving averages can help identify potential support and resistance levels.

4. **Overall Trend**:
- The stock seems to be in an uptrend based on the moving averages and MACD indicator. However, the RSI suggests a neutral position. It would be important to monitor the stock for further confirmation of the trend.

5. **Trading Volume**:
- Trading volume data is not provided in the information. Monitoring trading volume along with price movements can provide additional insights into the strength of the trend.

In conclusion, Crest Nicholson Holdings plc is currently showing mixed signals with some indicators pointing towards a potential bullish trend. Traders and investors may want to conduct further analysis and consider additional factors before making any trading decisions.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.

In terms of financials, the company has strong cash flow with operating cash flow at $110.56 billion and levered free cash flow at $84.73 billion. The balance sheet shows a total cash of $67.15 billion, total debt of $104.59 billion, and a current ratio of 1.037. The profit margin is 26.31%, with a fiscal year ending on September 30, 2023. The income statement reveals an EBITDA of $131.39 billion, revenue of $381.62 billion, and a diluted EPS of 6.43.

Moving on to stock statistics, the company has a short ratio of 1.53, with 15.31 billion float shares and 99.29 million shares shorted. The stock outstanding is 15.33 billion, with 5.22% held by insiders and 57.59% held by institutions.

Valuation metrics show a PEG ratio of 26.32, forward PE of 26.32, and trailing PE of 29.59. The enterprise value is $2.95 trillion, with a price to book ratio of 39.34 and price to sales ratio of 7.65. The market capitalization stands at $2.92 trillion.

The stock price summary includes a beta of 1.264, 50-day moving average of $176.26, and 200-day moving average of $181.04. The 52-week low and high are $164.08 and $199.62 respectively, with a 52-week change of 6.85%.

Lastly, dividends and splits information indicate a payout ratio of 14.93%, with a dividend date set for May 16, 2024. The last split date was on August 31, 2020, with a 4-for-1 split factor. The forward annual dividend rate is $1, with a 5-year average dividend yield of 0.73% and a forward annual dividend yield of 0.53%. The trailing annual dividend rate is $0.97, with a trailing annual dividend yield of 0.51%.

Income statement 💸

These are the revenue figures. Here are the conclusions:

1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. Despite the increase in sales, the cost of goods sold has also been rising, indicating a potential need for cost management.
3. The gross profit margin has remained relatively stable over the years, indicating efficient cost control measures.
4. Operating income has shown a positive trend, reaching $114.3 billion in 2023 from $66.3 billion in 2020.
5. Net income has also been increasing consistently, from $57.4 billion in 2020 to $97 billion in 2023, showing a healthy growth in profitability.
6. Earnings per share (EPS) have shown a slight fluctuation but have generally increased over the years, indicating improved profitability per share.
7. The company has been able to maintain a stable number of outstanding shares, which is important for shareholders' equity.
8. Overall, the financial performance of the company in terms of revenue and profitability has been positive and shows a growth trajectory.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets fluctuate, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2019 at $175,697,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching $255,355,000,000 in 2018.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2018 at $107,147,000,000.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided yet. The previous results from February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The results from January 31, 2025, were released after hours. The results from October 31, 2024, were not provided at a specific time. The results from August 1, 2024, showed an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.

Cash Flow 💶

This is a cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has been relatively stable over the years, indicating consistent operational performance.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show significant variability, with large amounts being spent on common stock repurchase and debt issuance and payments.
6. Investing activities also vary, with significant amounts being spent on the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company's cash flow statement reflects a mix of stable operational performance, significant financing activities, and varying investing activities over the years.

Earnings estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This also indicates growth from the EPS of $1.35 in the same quarter last year.

3. Looking at the estimates for the current year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS is projected to be $6.10, ranging from a low estimate of $5.95 to a high estimate of $6.41. This reflects an increase from the EPS of $5.67 for the previous year.

4. For the next year ending on September 30, 2025, analysts forecast an average EPS of $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This suggests further growth compared to the EPS of $6.10 in the previous year.

Overall, the analysts' estimates indicate a positive outlook for the company's earnings per share, with expected growth in both the short term and the long term.

Revenue estimate

The analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company indicate a moderate growth trend.

For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.

Looking at the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is higher at $85,501,800,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the previous year. The number of analysts remains at 25.

For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $357,772,000,000, showing a 1% growth compared to the previous year. The number of analysts providing estimates for the annual sales has increased to 38.

In the following fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is projected to reach $380,772,000,000, indicating a significant growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts remains at 38.

Overall, the estimates suggest a steady growth trajectory for the company's sales in both the short term and the long term, with an increasing number of analysts providing forecasts for the future periods.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided by analysts, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:

1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.1%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 5.2%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.6%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 9.7%.

These estimates suggest a positive growth trend for the company, with a slight decrease in growth rate compared to the past 5 years but still showing healthy growth prospects in the near future.

Price target

The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:
- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD

Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a range of opinions on the future price of the security, with the low end at $164, the high end at $250, and the average at $202.26. The current price is below both the average and median forecast, indicating that there is potential for growth according to the analysts' predictions.

MACD of CRST

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment Group S.A. at Al. Aleje Jerozolimskie 65 / 79, 00-697 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000335507, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204. Honey Payment Group is listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) under the ticker symbol HPG. Link