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Analysis CTT - Correios De Portugal, S.A. (0QIM)

5/28/2024

Analysis CTT - Correios De Portugal, S.A. (0QIM)

Analysis of CTT - Correios De Portugal, S.A. (0QIM)

CTT - Correios De Portugal, S.A. is a company that provides postal and financial services in Portugal. Looking at the recent data, we can see that the stock price has been fluctuating in the past few days, with some volatility in the market.

On the technical analysis side, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is showing values around 50, indicating a neutral sentiment in the market. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is close to the signal line, suggesting a possible trend reversal.

In terms of moving averages, the Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) are all showing values around the current stock price, indicating a balanced outlook.

Overall, based on the technical indicators, CTT - Correios De Portugal, S.A. seems to be in a consolidation phase, with potential for a change in trend direction. It would be advisable to keep an eye on further price movements and market developments to make informed investment decisions.

Cash Flow 💶

This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value recorded in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, issuance of long-term debt, and payment of dividends.
6. Investing activities include the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company seems to be managing its cash flow effectively, with a focus on operational efficiency and strategic investments.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets fluctuate, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2019 at $175,697,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching $290,437,000,000 in 2023.
5. Shareholders' equity has shown variations, with the highest value in 2018 at $107,147,000,000.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided yet. The previous results from February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The results from January 31, 2025, were released after hours. The results from October 31, 2024, were not provided at a specific time. The results from August 1, 2024, showed an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits for a particular company.

In terms of financials, the company has strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow, with a positive profit margin and operating margin. The balance sheet shows a healthy current ratio, but a relatively high total debt to equity ratio. The company has a good return on assets and return on equity.

Stock statistics indicate a moderate short ratio and a significant percentage of shares held by institutions. The company has a relatively high market capitalization and enterprise value.

Valuation metrics show a high PEG ratio and forward PE ratio, with a relatively high price to book ratio and price to sales ratio. The company's stock price has shown some volatility over the past year.

Dividends and splits data reveal a moderate payout ratio, with both forward and trailing annual dividend yields. The company has a history of dividends and stock splits.

Income statement 💸

These are the revenue figures. Here are the conclusions:

1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. Despite the increase in sales, the cost of goods sold has also been rising, indicating a potential need for cost management.
3. The gross profit margin has remained relatively stable over the years, indicating efficient cost control measures.
4. The EBITDA and EBIT figures have also shown an increasing trend, reflecting the company's improving operational efficiency.
5. The net income has been growing consistently, reaching $96.99 billion in 2023 from $57.41 billion in 2020.
6. The company has been able to maintain a healthy net income margin, showcasing its profitability and financial stability.
7. The earnings per share (EPS) have shown a slight fluctuation but have generally been on an upward trajectory.
8. Overall, the financial performance of the company in terms of revenue and profitability has been positive and improving over the years.

Earnings estimate

The analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share are as follows:

1. Current Quarter (as of June 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.33
- Low Estimate: $1.27
- High Estimate: $1.36
- Year Ago EPS: $1.26
- Number of Analysts: 26

2. Next Quarter (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.53
- Low Estimate: $1.44
- High Estimate: $1.63
- Year Ago EPS: $1.46
- Number of Analysts: 25

3. Current Year (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $6.59
- Low Estimate: $6.43
- High Estimate: $6.92
- Year Ago EPS: $6.13
- Number of Analysts: 39

4. Next Year (as of September 30, 2025):
- Average Estimate: $7.23
- Low Estimate: $6.40
- High Estimate: $7.90
- Year Ago EPS: $6.59
- Number of Analysts: 39

Based on these estimates, we can see a generally positive trend in the expected earnings per share for both the upcoming quarters and the next two years. The average estimates show an increase compared to the year-ago EPS figures, indicating potential growth in earnings for the company.

Revenue estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company over the specified periods.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided:
- The company is expected to experience a growth rate of 7.5% in the current year and 9.7% in the next year.
- For the current quarter, the growth rate is estimated to be 5.6%, while for the next quarter it is projected to be 4.8%.
- Over the next 5 years, the company is expected to achieve an average annual growth rate of 11%.
- However, when looking at the past 5 years, the company has achieved a higher average annual growth rate of approximately 20.1%.

Overall, it appears that the company is expected to maintain a solid growth trajectory, with a slightly lower growth rate in the near term compared to the historical performance.

Price target

The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:
- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD

Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a wide range of opinions on the future price of the security, with the low end at $164 and the high end at $250. The median forecast is $200, which is close to the current price of $191.57. The average forecast is slightly higher at $202.26. It's important to consider these different perspectives when making investment decisions.

MACD of 0QIM

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Company information

Honey Payment Group S.A. at Al. Aleje Jerozolimskie 65 / 79, 00-697 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000335507, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204. Honey Payment Group is listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) under the ticker symbol HPG. Link