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Analysis CTT Correios Portugal SA (CTTOF)

6/3/2024

Analysis CTT Correios Portugal SA (CTTOF)

Analysis of CTT Correios Portugal SA (CTTOF)

CTT Correios Portugal SA is showing a stable price of 4.71 over the past few days. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is indicating a value of 37.77, suggesting the stock is not currently overbought or oversold. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is slightly negative at -0.00242, with the signal line at 0.01676, indicating a potential bearish signal.

Looking at the Moving Averages (MA), the Simple Moving Average (SMA) is at 4.77520, the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is at 4.73104, and the Weighted Moving Average (WMA) is at 4.76658. The EMA is below the current price, indicating a bearish trend.

Overall, based on the indicators, CTT Correios Portugal SA may be experiencing a short-term bearish trend. Traders and investors may want to monitor the stock closely for any potential changes in the trend.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous results were reported on February 27, 2025, through the Transfer Agent. Before that, on January 31, 2025, the results were released after hours. The results for October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. On August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuations metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.

In terms of financials, the company has a strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow, with a positive current ratio and a high total debt to equity ratio. The profit margin and operating margin are also healthy, indicating efficient operations. The company's fiscal year ends in September 2023, and it has shown a positive return on assets and return on equity.

Looking at stock statistics, the company has a low short ratio and a significant percentage of shares held by institutions. The stock price summary shows volatility with a beta of 1.264 and a fluctuation between the fifty-two-week low and high.

Valuation metrics reveal a high PEG ratio and price-to-book ratio, with the company being relatively expensive based on its trailing and forward P/E ratios. The enterprise value, market capitalization, and other ratios indicate the company's valuation in the market.

Lastly, the dividends and splits information shows the company's dividend history, payout ratio, and upcoming dividend dates. The company has a consistent dividend yield and has undergone a stock split in the past.

Revenue estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $85,501,800,000, showing a sales growth of 3% compared to the previous year's same quarter. The number of analysts providing estimates remains at 25.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $357,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.

4. Looking ahead to the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $380,772,000,000, indicating a significant sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates remains at 38.

These estimates suggest a moderate but steady growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company over the specified periods, with a more notable increase expected in the next fiscal year.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:

1. Current Quarter: The growth rate for the current quarter is estimated to be 5.1%.

2. Next Quarter: The growth rate for the next quarter is expected to slightly increase to 5.2%.

3. Current Year: For the current year, the growth rate is projected to be 7.6%.

4. Next Year: The growth rate for the next year is forecasted to be 9.7%.

5. Past 5 Years (per annum): Over the past 5 years, the company has shown a growth rate of approximately 20.1% per annum.

6. Next 5 Years (per annum): Looking ahead, the company is expected to maintain a growth rate of around 9.7% per annum for the next 5 years.

These estimates suggest a positive outlook for the company, with a gradual increase in growth rate from the current period to the next year. The company has shown strong growth in the past, and analysts expect this growth to continue at a slightly lower but still healthy rate in the coming years.

Price target

The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:
- Low: $164
- High: $275
- Median: $201.43
- Average: $204.58
- Current price: $192.25

Based on these forecasts, it appears that the analysts are generally optimistic about the future price of the security, with a median and average price above the current price. However, there is a wide range between the low and high forecasts, indicating some uncertainty in the predictions. Investors should consider these factors when making decisions about buying or selling the security.

Income statement 💸

These are the revenue figures. Here are the conclusions:

1. The company's sales have been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. Despite the increase in sales, the cost of goods sold has also been rising, indicating a need for cost management.
3. The gross profit margin has remained relatively stable over the years, suggesting efficient cost control measures.
4. Earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) have shown an upward trend, reaching $117.7 billion in 2023.
5. Net income has also been increasing annually, reaching $97 billion in 2023.
6. The company has been able to maintain a consistent diluted EPS over the years, indicating stable profitability.
7. Operating income has shown a positive growth trajectory, reflecting operational efficiency.
8. The company has managed its non-operating interests well, with a balance between income and expenses.
9. The number of basic and diluted shares outstanding has remained relatively stable over the years.
10. Overall, the financial performance of the company seems to be on a positive trajectory, with steady revenue growth and effective cost management.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions based on the provided data:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching the highest value of $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets fluctuate from year to year, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have shown an increasing trend, with the highest value in 2022 at $217,350,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching the highest value of $302,083,000,000 in 2022.
5. Shareholders' equity has shown fluctuations, with the highest value in 2018 at $107,147,000,000.
6. The company has been relying more on non-current assets to support its operations over the years.
7. There is a need to monitor and manage current liabilities effectively to ensure financial stability.
8. Retained earnings have been negative in some years, indicating potential financial challenges.
9. Overall, the company's financial position seems stable, but there are areas that require attention to ensure long-term sustainability.

Cash Flow 💶

This is a cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show significant changes each year, with large amounts being spent on common stock repurchase and debt issuance.
6. Investing activities also vary, with notable amounts spent on the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company's financial performance seems to be stable, with some fluctuations in key financial indicators.

Earnings estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This also indicates growth from the EPS of $1.35 in the same quarter last year.

3. Looking at the estimates for the current year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $6.10, ranging from a low estimate of $5.95 to a high estimate of $6.41. This reflects an increase from the EPS of $5.67 for the previous year.

4. For the next year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimated EPS is $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This forecast suggests a growth trajectory from the EPS of $6.10 in the current year.

Overall, the analysts' estimates point towards a positive outlook for the company's earnings per share, showing a trend of expected growth in both the short term and the long term.

MACD of CTTOF

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment Group S.A. at Al. Aleje Jerozolimskie 65 / 79, 00-697 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000335507, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204. Honey Payment Group is listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) under the ticker symbol HPG. Link