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Analysis Curo Group Holdings Corp (CURO)

6/1/2024

Analysis Curo Group Holdings Corp (CURO)

Analysis of Curo Group Holdings Corp (CURO)

Curo Group Holdings Corp (CURO) has been showing some volatility in its stock price over the past few days. The RSI indicator has been fluctuating around the 40-50 range, indicating a neutral sentiment in the market.

The MACD indicator has been slightly negative, with the MACD line below the signal line, suggesting a potential bearish trend. However, the MACD histogram has been showing some positive values, indicating a possible reversal in the near future.

In terms of moving averages, the stock price has been below the Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) in recent days, which could signal a bearish trend.

Overall, based on the indicators and moving averages, Curo Group Holdings Corp may be experiencing some bearish pressure in the short term. Traders and investors should closely monitor the price action and key support levels for potential entry or exit points.

Revenue estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $85,501,800,000, showing a sales growth of 3% compared to the previous year's same quarter. The number of analysts providing estimates remains at 25.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $357,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $380,772,000,000, indicating a significant sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates remains at 38.

These estimates suggest a moderate and steady growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company over the specified periods, with a more notable increase expected in the next fiscal year.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided by analysts, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:

1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.1%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 5.2%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.6%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 9.7%.

These estimates suggest a positive growth trend for the company, with a slight increase in growth rate expected in the near future compared to the current period. However, the projected growth rates for the next year and the next 5 years are lower than the average growth rate achieved in the past 5 years.

Price target

Based on the analysts' forecast, the future price of the security is expected to range between $164 (low) and $250 (high), with a median estimate of $200 and an average estimate of $202.26. The current price of the security is $191.57.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, reported results after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuations metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.

In terms of financials, the company has strong cash flow with operating cash flow TTM of $110.56 billion and levered free cash flow TTM of $84.73 billion. The balance sheet shows a total cash MRQ of $67.15 billion, total debt MRQ of $104.59 billion, and a current ratio MRQ of 1.037. The company's profit margin is 26.31%, with a fiscal year ending on September 30, 2023. The income statement reveals an EBITDA of $131.39 billion, revenue TTM of $381.62 billion, and a diluted EPS TTM of 6.43.

Moving on to stock statistics, the company has a short ratio of 1.53, float shares of 15.31 billion, and shares short of 99.29 million. The stock has outstanding shares of 15.33 billion, with 5.22% held by insiders and 57.59% held by institutions.

Valuations metrics show a PEG ratio of 26.32, forward PE of 26.32, and trailing PE of 29.59. The enterprise value is $2.95 trillion, with a price to book MRQ of 39.34 and price to sales TTM of 7.65. The company's market capitalization is $2.92 trillion.

The stock price summary includes a beta of 1.264, 50-day moving average of $176.26, and 200-day moving average of $181.04. The stock's 52-week low is $164.08, high is $199.62, and the change over the 52 weeks is 6.85%.

Lastly, dividends and splits information shows a payout ratio of 14.93%, with a dividend date of May 16, 2024. The last split date was on August 31, 2020, with a 4-for-1 split factor. The forward annual dividend rate is $1, with a 5-year average dividend yield of 0.73% and a forward annual dividend yield of 0.53%. The trailing annual dividend rate is $0.97, with a trailing annual dividend yield of 0.51%.

Income statement 💸

These are the revenue figures. Here are the conclusions:

1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. Despite the increase in sales, the cost of goods sold has also been rising, indicating a potential need for cost management strategies.
3. The gross profit margin has remained relatively stable over the years, suggesting efficient cost control measures.
4. The operating income has shown a positive trend, reaching $114.3 billion in 2023 from $66.3 billion in 2020.
5. The net income has also been increasing consistently, from $57.4 billion in 2020 to $97 billion in 2023.
6. The company has been able to maintain a healthy EBITDA margin, indicating strong operational performance.
7. The basic and diluted earnings per share have shown an upward trajectory, reflecting positively on the company's profitability.
8. Overall, the financial performance of the company seems to be improving, with a focus on revenue growth and cost management.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets include cash, inventory, and receivables, with a significant portion in cash equivalents and short-term investments.
3. Non-current assets consist of leases, land, machinery, and investments.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, but at a slower pace compared to assets, indicating a healthy financial position.
5. Shareholders' equity has shown a positive trend, with an increase in retained earnings over the years.
6. The company has been managing its short-term and long-term debts effectively, with a good proportion of equity to liabilities.
7. Overall, the financial health of the company seems stable and improving over the years.

Cash Flow 💶

This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. Financing activities show significant changes, with fluctuations in common stock repurchases, debt issuances, and dividends.
5. Investing activities also vary, with notable amounts spent on acquisitions, investments, and capital expenditures.
6. The end cash position has been fluctuating, but overall, the company has maintained a healthy cash reserve.
7. Stock-based compensation has been a significant factor in the company's financial activities.
8. The company has been actively managing its cash flow through various financing and investing activities.

Earnings estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This also indicates growth from the EPS of $1.35 in the same quarter last year.

3. Looking at the estimates for the current year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $6.10, ranging from a low estimate of $5.95 to a high estimate of $6.41. This reflects an increase from the EPS of $5.67 for the previous year.

4. For the next year ending on September 30, 2025, the average EPS estimate is $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This suggests a slight improvement from the EPS of $6.10 in the previous year.

Overall, the analysts' estimates point towards a positive trend of increasing earnings per share for the company in both the short term and the long term.

MACD of CURO

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment Group S.A. at Al. Aleje Jerozolimskie 65 / 79, 00-697 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000335507, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204. Honey Payment Group is listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) under the ticker symbol HPG. Link