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Analysis Densan Co., Ltd. (3640)

5/28/2024

Analysis Densan Co., Ltd. (3640)

Analysis of Densan Co., Ltd. (3640)

Densan Co., Ltd. is showing some interesting trends based on the provided data. Here are a few key points from the analysis:

1. **Price Movement**: The closing prices have been fluctuating around the range of 1482 to 1494, with some volatility in the past few days. The stock seems to be trading within a relatively narrow range.

2. **Technical Indicators**:
- **RSI Indicator**: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) values are around 40 to 50, indicating a neutral to slightly bearish sentiment in the market.
- **MACD Indicator**: The MACD line has been below the signal line, but the MACD histogram has shown some positive values in recent days, suggesting a possible bullish momentum building up.

3. **Moving Averages**:
- The Moving Average (MA) indicator, Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) are all showing values around the 1490 mark, indicating a consolidation phase in the stock price.

4. **Overall Sentiment**:
- The stock seems to be in a consolidation phase with mixed signals from technical indicators. Traders and investors may need to closely monitor the price movements and key support/resistance levels for potential trading opportunities.

Please note that this analysis is based on the provided data and market conditions can change rapidly, so it's essential to conduct further research and analysis before making any investment decisions.

Revenue estimate

Based on analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company, with slightly higher growth expected in the next fiscal year.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:

1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.6%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 4.8%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.5%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The company has shown an average growth rate of approximately 20.1% per year over the past 5 years.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated growth rate for the next 5 years is 11%.

These estimates suggest that the company has been experiencing strong growth in the past, but analysts expect a slightly lower growth rate in the upcoming periods, both in the short term and long term.

Price target

The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:
- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD

Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a wide range of opinions on the future price of the security, with the low end at $164, the high end at $250, and the average at $202.26. The current price is $191.57, which is below the average and median forecast. Investors should consider these different perspectives when making decisions about buying or selling the security.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided yet. The previous results from February 27, 2025, were related to the Transfer Agent. The results from January 31, 2025, were reported After Hours. The results from October 31, 2024, were not provided at a specific time. The results from August 1, 2024, showed an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.

1. Financials:
- Cash Flow: Operating cash flow TTM is $110,563,000,320 and levered free cash flow TTM is $84,726,874,112.
- Balance Sheet: Total cash MRQ is $67,150,000,128, total debt MRQ is $104,590,000,128, current ratio MRQ is 1.037, book value per share MRQ is $4.837, total cash per share MRQ is $4.379, and total debt to equity MRQ is 140.968.
- Profit Margin: 26.306%
- Fiscal Year Ends: September 30, 2023
- Income Statement: EBITDA is $131,393,000,000, revenue TTM is $381,623,009,280, diluted EPS TTM is $6.44, gross profit TTM is $169,148,000,000, revenue per share TTM is $24.537, net income to common TTM is $100,389,003,264, quarterly revenue growth is -4.3%, and quarterly earnings growth YoY is -2.2%.
- Operating Margin: 30.743%
- Return on Assets TTM: 22.073999%
- Return on Equity TTM: 147.25%

2. Stock Statistics:
- Short Ratio: 1.66
- Float Shares: 15,308,320,742
- Shares Short: 94,308,265
- Avg 10 Volume: 52,903,608
- Avg 90 Volume: 62,823,269
- Shares Outstanding: 15,334,099,968
- Percent Held by Insiders: 5.22%
- Percent Held by Institutions: 57.555%
- Short Percent of Shares Outstanding: 0.62%

3. Valuation Metrics:
- PEG Ratio: 26.213001
- Forward PE: 26.213001
- Trailing PE: 29.428572
- Enterprise Value: $2,948,462,018,560
- Price to Book MRQ: 39.181313
- Price to Sales TTM: 7.6151557
- Enterprise to EBITDA: 22.745
- Enterprise to Revenue: 7.726
- Market Capitalization: $2,906,118,684,672

4. Stock Price Summary:
- Beta: 1.264
- Day 50 MA: 173.6936
- Day 200 MA: 180.7906
- Fifty-Two Week Low: $164.08
- Fifty-Two Week High: $199.62
- Fifty-Two Week Change: 8.253%

5. Dividends and Splits:
- Payout Ratio: 14.93%
- Dividend Date: May 16, 2024
- Last Split Date: August 31, 2020
- Ex-Dividend Date: May 10, 2024
- Last Split Factor: 4-for-1 split
- Forward Annual Dividend Rate: $1
- 5-Year Average Dividend Yield: 0.73%
- Forward Annual Dividend Yield: 0.5266761603816345%
- Trailing Annual Dividend Rate: $0.97
- Trailing Annual Dividend Yield: 0.5108758755701854%

Income statement 💸

Here are the revenue figures for the past four fiscal years:

1. Fiscal Year 2023: Sales of $383,285,000,000
2. Fiscal Year 2022: Sales of $394,328,000,000
3. Fiscal Year 2021: Sales of $365,817,000,000
4. Fiscal Year 2020: Sales of $274,515,000,000

From these figures, we can observe the following trends:
- The company experienced a significant increase in revenue from FY 2020 to FY 2022, followed by a slight decrease in FY 2023.
- There was a notable jump in revenue from FY 2021 to FY 2022, indicating strong growth during that period.
- Despite the decrease in revenue in FY 2023, the company's sales figures remain relatively high compared to FY 2020.

These trends suggest fluctuations in the company's revenue over the past four fiscal years, with a notable growth period in FY 2022.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions based on the provided data:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $352,583,000,000.
2. Current assets fluctuate from year to year, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have shown an increasing trend, with the highest value in 2023 at $209,017,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $290,437,000,000.
5. Shareholders' equity has shown fluctuations over the years, with the highest value in 2019 at $90,488,000,000.

Overall, the company's assets, liabilities, and shareholders' equity have been fluctuating over the years, with an overall increasing trend in total assets and liabilities.

Cash Flow 💶

This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value recorded in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase and issuance, as well as long-term debt issuance and payments.
4. Investing activities reflect significant investments in the sale and purchase of investments, with fluctuations in capital expenditures.
5. The end cash position has varied over the years, reaching its highest value in 2020 and its lowest in 2022.
6. Interest paid and income tax paid figures show variations, impacting the company's cash flow position.
7. The company has been consistent in paying dividends to its shareholders, with fluctuations in the amounts over the years.

Earnings estimate

Based on analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.33, with a low estimate of $1.27 and a high estimate of $1.36. This shows growth compared to the EPS of $1.26 from a year ago.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.53, with a low estimate of $1.44 and a high estimate of $1.63. This indicates an increase from the EPS of $1.46 from a year ago.

3. For the current year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $6.59, with a low estimate of $6.43 and a high estimate of $6.92. This reflects growth compared to the EPS of $6.13 from the previous year.

4. Looking ahead to the next year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimated EPS is $7.23, with a low estimate of $6.40 and a high estimate of $7.90. This suggests an improvement from the EPS of $6.59 from the prior year.

Overall, the analysts' estimates indicate a positive outlook for the company's earnings per share, with expected growth in both the quarterly and annual results over the specified periods.

MACD of 3640

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment Group S.A. at Al. Aleje Jerozolimskie 65 / 79, 00-697 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000335507, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204. Honey Payment Group is listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) under the ticker symbol HPG. Link