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Analysis Diageo plc (DGED)

5/26/2024

Analysis Diageo plc (DGED)

Analysis of Diageo plc (DGED)

Diageo plc (DGED) is currently trading at $144.22, with the opening price at $144.63 and the closing price at $144.22. The stock reached a high of $145.04 and a low of $144.02.

Key technical indicators:
- RSI (Relative Strength Index): 59.03, indicating the stock is neither overbought nor oversold.
- MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): The MACD line is below the signal line, suggesting a bearish signal.
- MA (Moving Average): The stock's Moving Average is at $140.22.

In terms of recent trend analysis:
- The stock has been showing a slight upward trend, with the closing prices slightly increasing over the past few days.
- The RSI indicates that the stock is not in extreme territory, suggesting a balanced market sentiment.
- The MACD histogram shows a positive value, indicating a potential bullish momentum.

Overall, based on the current technical indicators and recent trends, Diageo plc appears to be in a relatively stable position with a slight bullish bias. However, investors should continue to monitor the stock's performance for any significant changes in the trend.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter on April 30, 2025, were not provided at a specific time. The previous results on February 27, 2025, were available through the Transfer Agent. The results from January 31, 2025, were released after hours. The results from October 31, 2024, were not provided at a specific time. The results from August 1, 2024, showed an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.33.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits for a specific company.

In terms of financials, the company has a strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow. The balance sheet shows a healthy current ratio, but a high total debt to equity ratio. The profit margin and operating margin are both positive, indicating profitability. The company's fiscal year ends in September 2023, with notable figures such as EBITDA, revenue, and net income.

Moving on to stock statistics, key metrics include short ratio, float shares, shares outstanding, and percentages held by insiders and institutions. The company's stock price summary highlights beta, moving averages, and the range of the stock price over the past year.

Valuation metrics provide insights into the company's valuation, including PEG ratio, PE ratios, enterprise value, price to book, price to sales, and market capitalization.

Lastly, dividends and splits information includes payout ratio, dividend dates, split dates, dividend yields, and dividend rates.

Income statement 💸

Here are the revenue figures for the company over the past four fiscal years:

- 2020: $274,515,000,000
- 2021: $365,817,000,000
- 2022: $394,328,000,000
- 2023: $383,285,000,000

From these numbers, we can observe the following trends:
1. The company has experienced consistent revenue growth from 2020 to 2022, with a slight decrease in 2023.
2. Despite the decrease in 2023, the revenue figures are still higher compared to the initial year, indicating overall growth over the four-year period.
3. It would be beneficial to analyze the reasons behind the slight decrease in revenue in 2023 to understand the factors influencing this change and to develop strategies for future growth.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets include cash, inventory, and receivables, with cash and cash equivalents showing fluctuations.
3. Non-current assets consist mainly of investments and advances, with a significant portion in machinery, furniture, and equipment.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, with the highest value of $302,083,000,000 in 2022.
5. Current liabilities include short-term debt, accounts payable, and other current liabilities.
6. Non-current liabilities comprise long-term debt and other non-current liabilities.
7. Shareholders' equity has shown variations, with the highest value of $90,488,000,000 in 2019.
8. Common stock and retained earnings are the major components of shareholders' equity.
9. The company seems to be investing heavily in non-current assets, which could be driving the increase in total assets and liabilities.
10. The company's financial health appears stable, but careful monitoring of liabilities is recommended to ensure sustainable growth.

Cash Flow 💶

This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, issuance of long-term debt, and payment of dividends.
6. Investing activities include the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company seems to be managing its cash flow effectively, with a focus on operational efficiency and strategic investments.

Earnings estimate

The analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share are as follows:

1. Current Quarter (as of June 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.33
- Low Estimate: $1.27
- High Estimate: $1.36
- Year Ago EPS: $1.26
- Number of Analysts: 26

2. Next Quarter (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $1.53
- Low Estimate: $1.44
- High Estimate: $1.63
- Year Ago EPS: $1.46
- Number of Analysts: 25

3. Current Year (as of September 30, 2024):
- Average Estimate: $6.59
- Low Estimate: $6.43
- High Estimate: $6.92
- Year Ago EPS: $6.13
- Number of Analysts: 39

4. Next Year (as of September 30, 2025):
- Average Estimate: $7.23
- Low Estimate: $6.40
- High Estimate: $7.90
- Year Ago EPS: $6.59
- Number of Analysts: 39

Based on these estimates, we can see a generally positive trend in the expected earnings per share for both the upcoming quarters and the next two years. The average estimates are showing an increase compared to the year-ago EPS figures, indicating potential growth in earnings for the company.

Revenue estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company, with slightly higher growth expected in the next fiscal year compared to the current one.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:

1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.6%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 4.8%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.5%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The company has shown an average growth rate of approximately 20.1% per year over the past 5 years.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated growth rate for the next 5 years is 11%.

These estimates suggest that the company has been experiencing strong growth in the past, but analysts expect a slightly lower growth rate in the near future, both in the short term and over the next 5 years.

Price target

Based on the analysts' forecast, the future price of the security is expected to range between $164 (low) and $250 (high), with a median estimate of $200 and an average estimate of $202.26. The current price of the security is $191.57.

MACD of DGED

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment Group S.A. at Al. Aleje Jerozolimskie 65 / 79, 00-697 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000335507, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204. Honey Payment Group is listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) under the ticker symbol HPG. Link