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Analysis Distribution Finance Capital Holdings PLC (DFCH)

6/1/2024

Analysis Distribution Finance Capital Holdings PLC (DFCH)

Analysis of Distribution Finance Capital Holdings PLC (DFCH)

Distribution Finance Capital Holdings PLC (DFCH) has shown a strong uptrend in the recent days, with the price closing at 32.80 on the latest trading day. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is indicating overbought conditions at 77.10, suggesting a possible reversal or correction in the near future.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is positive at 2.08675, with the MACD line above the signal line, indicating bullish momentum. The MACD histogram is also positive at 0.51256, further supporting the bullish outlook.

The Simple Moving Average (SMA) is at 27.24800, and the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is at 27.69945, both showing an upward trend. The Weighted Moving Average (WMA) is at 28.22280, indicating a slightly higher price trend.

Overall, DFCH seems to be in a strong bullish trend, but traders should be cautious of the overbought conditions indicated by the RSI and consider potential corrections in the near future.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuations metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.

In terms of financials, the company has strong cash flow with operating cash flow at $110.56 billion and levered free cash flow at $84.73 billion. The balance sheet shows a total cash of $67.15 billion, total debt of $104.59 billion, and a current ratio of 1.037. The profit margin is 26.31% and the company's fiscal year ends on September 30, 2023. The income statement reveals an EBITDA of $131.39 billion, revenue of $381.62 billion, and a diluted EPS of 6.43.

Moving on to stock statistics, the company has a short ratio of 1.53, with 15.31 billion float shares and 99.29 million shares shorted. The stock has 15.33 billion shares outstanding, with 5.22% held by insiders and 57.59% held by institutions.

Valuation metrics show a PEG ratio of 26.32, forward PE of 26.32, and trailing PE of 29.59. The enterprise value is $2.95 trillion, with a price to book ratio of 39.34 and price to sales ratio of 7.65. The market capitalization is $2.92 trillion.

The stock price summary includes a beta of 1.264, 50-day moving average of $176.26, 200-day moving average of $181.04, and a 52-week range of $164.08 to $199.62.

Lastly, dividends and splits information shows a payout ratio of 14.93%, with a dividend date of May 16, 2024. The last split date was on August 31, 2020, with a 4-for-1 split factor. The forward annual dividend rate is $1, with a 5-year average dividend yield of 0.73% and a forward annual dividend yield of 0.53%. The trailing annual dividend rate is $0.97, with a trailing annual dividend yield of 0.51%.

Income statement 💸

Here are the revenue figures for the company over the past four fiscal years:

- 2020: $274,515,000,000
- 2021: $365,817,000,000
- 2022: $394,328,000,000
- 2023: $383,285,000,000

From the data, we can observe the following trends:
1. There was a steady increase in revenue from 2020 to 2022, with a slight decrease in 2023.
2. The company experienced significant growth in revenue between 2020 and 2022, indicating positive performance.
3. Despite the slight decrease in revenue in 2023, the company's overall revenue remains at a high level compared to the base year of 2020.

These trends suggest that the company has been successful in generating revenue and experiencing growth over the past few years, with a minor setback in the most recent fiscal year.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions based on the provided data:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $352,755,000,000.
2. Current assets fluctuate slightly from year to year, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2023 at $217,350,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $302,083,000,000.
5. Shareholders' equity has been increasing over the years, with the highest value in 2023 at $62,146,000,000.
6. The company has been relying more on non-current assets to support its growth, as seen in the increasing trend of non-current assets compared to current assets.
7. The company has been financing its growth through a combination of debt and equity, as indicated by the increasing values of both liabilities and shareholders' equity.
8. The company's retained earnings have fluctuated over the years, sometimes being negative, indicating periods of losses or dividend payments exceeding profits.

Cash Flow 💶

This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. Financing activities show significant changes, such as common stock repurchases, debt issuances, and dividends paid.
5. Investing activities also vary, with notable amounts spent on acquisitions, capital expenditures, and investments.
6. The end cash position has been fluctuating, but generally, the company has maintained a healthy cash balance.
7. Stock-based compensation is a significant non-cash item that impacts the company's financials.
8. The company has been actively managing its cash flows through various activities to support its operations, investments, and financing needs.

Earnings estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share (EPS):

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This also indicates growth from the EPS of $1.35 in the same quarter last year.

3. Looking at the estimates for the current year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $6.10, ranging from a low estimate of $5.95 to a high estimate of $6.41. This reflects an increase from the EPS of $5.67 for the previous year.

4. For the next year ending on September 30, 2025, the average EPS estimate is $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This forecast suggests a slight improvement from the EPS of $6.10 in the current year.

Overall, the analysts' estimates point towards a positive trend of increasing earnings per share for the company in both the short term and the long term.

Revenue estimate

The analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company indicate a moderate growth trend. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimate is $77,545,400,000, representing a 2% increase from the same period last year. The next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, is expected to show a higher growth rate of 3%, with an average estimate of $85,501,800,000 compared to the previous year.

Looking at the annual estimates, the current year ending on September 30, 2024, is projected to have total sales of around $357,772,000,000, showing a 1% growth from the previous year. The following year, ending on September 30, 2025, is expected to see a more significant growth of 6%, with total sales estimated to reach $380,772,000,000.

Overall, the company's sales are forecasted to increase steadily in the upcoming quarters and years, reflecting a positive outlook according to the analysts' estimates.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided by analysts, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:

1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.1%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 5.2%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.6%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 9.7%.

These estimates suggest that the company has been experiencing strong growth in the past, but analysts expect the growth rate to moderate slightly in the coming years, although it is still expected to be healthy.

Price target

The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:
- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD

Based on these forecasts, it appears that the analysts are generally optimistic about the future price of the security, with a median estimate of $200. However, it's important to note that there is a wide range of estimates, from $164 to $250. The current price of $191.57 is below both the average and median forecast, suggesting that there may be potential for growth according to analysts.

MACD of DFCH

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment S.A. at ul. Nowy Swiat 33/13, 00-029 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000895826, share capital in the amount of 201.4 mln PLN, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204