Analysis Dow Inc (DOW)
5/31/2024
Analysis of Dow Inc (DOW)
Dow Inc stock (DOW) has shown some volatility in the past few days. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) values have been fluctuating around the mid-range, indicating indecision in the market. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) histogram has been negative, suggesting a bearish trend.The stock price has been moving around the simple moving average (SMA) and exponential moving average (EMA) values, indicating a lack of clear direction. The Weighted Moving Average (WMA) has also been relatively stable.
Overall, based on the recent data, Dow Inc seems to be experiencing some uncertainty and lack of strong momentum. Traders and investors may need to closely monitor the stock for clearer signals before making any significant trading decisions.
Earnings estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.33, compared to $1.26 a year ago. The range of estimates is between $1.27 and $1.36, based on 26 analysts' forecasts.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.53, lower than the $1.46 reported a year ago. The estimates range from $1.44 to $1.63, with 25 analysts providing forecasts.
3. Looking at the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $6.59, up from $6.13 in the previous year. The low estimate is $6.43, while the high estimate is $6.92, based on projections from 39 analysts.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimated EPS is $7.23, compared to $6.59 in the prior year. The EPS estimates range from $6.40 to $7.90, with 39 analysts contributing to the forecasts.
Overall, it appears that analysts are generally predicting an increase in earnings per share for both the upcoming quarters and the next fiscal years, indicating positive growth expectations for the company.
Revenue estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year.
Overall, the analysts are predicting a moderate growth in sales for both the upcoming quarters and the next fiscal year.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates of analysts, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:1. Current Quarter: Estimated growth rate is 5.6%
2. Next Quarter: Estimated growth rate is 4.8%
3. Current Year: Estimated growth rate is 7.5%
4. Next Year: Estimated growth rate is 9.7%
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): Average growth rate was 20.1%
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): Estimated growth rate is 11.0%
Overall, the company is expected to experience a significant slowdown in growth compared to the past 5 years, but still maintain a healthy growth rate in the upcoming years according to analyst estimates.
Price target
The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:- Low: $164
- High: $250
- Median: $200
- Average: $202.26
- Current price: $191.57
- Currency: USD
Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a wide range of opinions on the future price of the security, with the low end at $164, the high end at $250, and the average at $202.26. The current price is $191.57, which is below the average and median forecasted prices.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter, as of April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous results from February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The results from January 31, 2025, were released after hours. The results from October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. The results from August 1, 2024, showed an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provides a comprehensive overview of the financials, stock statistics, valuations metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits for a particular company.1. **Financials**:
- **Cash Flow**: Operating cash flow for the trailing twelve months (TTM) is $110,563,000,320, and levered free cash flow TTM is $84,726,874,112.
- **Balance Sheet**: Total cash on a quarterly basis (MRQ) is $67,150,000,128, total debt MRQ is $104,590,000,128, current ratio MRQ is 1.037, book value per share MRQ is $4.837, total cash per share MRQ is $4.379, and total debt to equity MRQ is 140.968.
- **Profit Margin**: The profit margin is 26.306%.
- **Income Statement**: EBITDA is $131,393,000,000, revenue TTM is $381,623,009,280, diluted EPS TTM is $6.43, gross profit TTM is $169,148,000,000, revenue per share TTM is $24.537, net income to common TTM is $100,389,003,264, quarterly revenue growth is -4.3%, and quarterly earnings growth year-over-year is -2.2%.
- **Operating Margin**: The operating margin is 30.743%.
- **Return on Assets (TTM)**: 22.073999%
- **Return on Equity (TTM)**: 147.25%
2. **Stock Statistics**:
- **Short Ratio**: 1.53
- **Float Shares**: 15,308,320,742
- **Shares Short**: 99,287,450
- **Average 10-Day Volume**: 46,860,048
- **Average 90-Day Volume**: 57,498,254
- **Shares Outstanding**: 15,334,099,968
- **Percent Held by Insiders**: 5.22%
- **Percent Held by Institutions**: 57.589%
- **Short Percent of Shares Outstanding**: 0.65%
3. **Valuations Metrics**:
- **PEG Ratio**: 26.319502
- **Forward PE**: 26.319502
- **Trailing PE**: 29.59409
- **Enterprise Value**: $2,950,762,332,160
- **Price to Book MRQ**: 39.3405
- **Price to Sales TTM**: 7.646095
- **Enterprise to EBITDA**: 22.763
- **Enterprise to Revenue**: 7.732
- **Market Capitalization**: $2,917,925,650,432
4. **Stock Price Summary**:
- **Beta**: 1.264
- **50-Day Moving Average**: $176.2646
- **200-Day Moving Average**: $181.0429
- **52-Week Low**: $164.08
- **52-Week High**: $199.62
- **52-Week Change**: 6.853%
5. **Dividends and Splits**:
- **Payout Ratio**: 14.93%
- **Dividend Date**: May 16, 2024
- **Last Split Date**: August 31, 2020
- **Ex-Dividend Date**: May 10, 2024
- **Last Split Factor**: 4-for-1 split
- **Forward Annual Dividend Rate**: $1
- **5-Year Average Dividend Yield**: 0.73%
- **Forward Annual Dividend Yield**: 0.5255%
- **Trailing Annual Dividend Rate**: $0.97
- **Trailing Annual Dividend Yield**: 0.5097%
Income statement 💸
These are the revenues. Here are the conclusions:1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. The gross profit margin has been relatively stable, with gross profit ranging from around $105 billion to $169 billion.
3. Operating income has also shown an increasing trend, reaching $114.3 billion in 2023 from $66.3 billion in 2020.
4. Net income has been growing consistently, with the company reporting a net income of $57.4 billion in 2020 and $97 billion in 2023.
5. Earnings per share (EPS) have shown a slight fluctuation but have generally increased over the years, indicating improved profitability.
6. The company has been able to manage its operating expenses effectively, as seen in the stable operating income growth despite increasing sales revenue.
7. The effective tax rate seems to be relatively stable, with the company paying around 15-20% of its pre-tax income as income tax.
8. The company has been able to generate positive non-operating interest income, contributing to its overall profitability.
9. The number of shares outstanding has remained relatively stable, indicating no significant dilution of shares over the years.
10. Overall, the financial performance of the company seems to be strong, with consistent revenue growth and improving profitability metrics.
Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets include cash, inventory, and receivables, with cash and cash equivalents showing fluctuations over the years.
3. Non-current assets consist of leases, land, machinery, and investments, with investments and advances showing an increasing trend.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, with the highest value of $302,083,000,000 in 2022.
5. Current liabilities include short-term debt, accounts payable, and deferred revenue.
6. Non-current liabilities consist of long-term debt and other non-current liabilities.
7. Shareholders' equity has shown variations, with the highest value of $107,147,000,000 in 2018.
8. Common stock and retained earnings are part of shareholders' equity.
9. The company has been investing in machinery, equipment, and advances over the years.
10. The company has been managing its short-term and long-term debts along with equity to maintain financial stability.
Cash Flow 💶
This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value recorded in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. Financing activities show significant cash outflows, mainly due to common stock repurchases and debt payments.
5. Investing activities also show significant cash flows, with the company making investments through acquisitions and the sale/purchase of investments.
6. The end cash position has been fluctuating, but overall, the company has maintained a healthy cash balance.
7. Stock-based compensation has been a significant non-cash item impacting the company's financials.
8. The company has been paying dividends to shareholders, with varying amounts each year.
9. The company has been managing its debt levels through debt issuances and payments.
10. Overall, the company's cash flow statement reflects a mix of operational, investing, and financing activities that impact its financial health and liquidity position.
MACD of DOW
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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