Analysis Dowa Holdings Co., Ltd. (5714)
6/1/2024
Analysis of Dowa Holdings Co., Ltd. (5714)
Dowa Holdings Co., Ltd. (5714) is showing some interesting trends based on the provided data:1. **Price Movement**: The closing prices have been fluctuating around the range of 5788 to 5896 over the past few days, with some volatility in between. The stock closed at 5816 on the latest available date.
2. **Technical Indicators**:
- **RSI Indicator**: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) values have been hovering around 50, indicating a balanced market momentum.
- **MACD Indicator**: The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) histogram has been negative, suggesting a bearish trend in the short term.
3. **Moving Averages**:
- The Simple Moving Average (SMA) and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) are close to each other, indicating a stable trend.
- The Weighted Moving Average (WMA) is slightly higher, suggesting some bullish sentiment.
4. **Overall Sentiment**: The stock seems to be consolidating with no clear trend in the short term. Traders may need to watch for a breakout above the recent highs or a breakdown below the recent lows for a clearer direction.
Please note that this analysis is based on historical data and market conditions can change rapidly. It's always recommended to conduct thorough research or consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Earnings estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This also indicates growth from the EPS of $1.35 in the same quarter last year.
3. Looking at the estimates for the current year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $6.10, with a low estimate of $5.95 and a high estimate of $6.41. This reflects an increase from the EPS of $5.67 for the previous year.
4. For the next year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimated EPS is $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This suggests a further growth trajectory from the EPS of $6.10 in the current year.
Overall, the analysts' estimates point towards a positive outlook for the company's earnings per share, showing a trend of improvement and growth in the upcoming quarters and years.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.In terms of financials, the company has strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow, with a positive profit margin and healthy return on assets and equity. The balance sheet shows a decent current ratio, but a relatively high total debt to equity ratio. The income statement indicates significant revenue and EBITDA, with a good gross profit margin and diluted EPS.
Moving on to stock statistics, the company has a low short ratio and a significant percentage of shares held by institutions. The stock price summary shows volatility in the fifty-two week range and moving averages, with a beta indicating higher volatility compared to the market.
Valuation metrics suggest a relatively high PEG ratio and forward PE, with the company being valued at a significant market capitalization and enterprise value. The price to book and price to sales ratios are also on the higher side, indicating potentially overvalued stock.
Lastly, dividends and splits information reveals a moderate payout ratio, with details on dividend dates, split history, and dividend yields.
Income statement 💸
Here are the revenue figures for the company over the past four fiscal years:1. Fiscal Year 2023: Sales of $383,285,000,000
2. Fiscal Year 2022: Sales of $394,328,000,000
3. Fiscal Year 2021: Sales of $365,817,000,000
4. Fiscal Year 2020: Sales of $274,515,000,000
From these figures, we can observe the following trends:
- The company experienced a decrease in revenue from FY 2022 to FY 2023.
- Prior to FY 2023, there was a general trend of increasing revenue over the years.
- The highest revenue was recorded in FY 2022.
These trends can provide insights into the company's performance and may indicate areas that require further analysis or attention.
Revenue estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $85,501,800,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $357,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.
4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $380,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.
Overall, the analysts are generally optimistic about the company's future sales performance, with moderate to healthy growth expected in both the short term and the long term.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided:- The company is expected to experience a growth rate of 7.6% in the current year and 9.7% in the next year.
- For the current quarter and the next quarter, the growth rate is estimated to be around 5.1%.
- Over the next 5 years, the company is projected to have a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 9.7%.
- However, when looking at the past 5 years, the company had a higher growth rate of about 20.1% per annum.
Overall, it appears that the company is expected to maintain a solid growth trajectory, with a slightly higher growth rate in the next 5 years compared to the current and previous periods.
Price target
Based on the analysts' forecast, the future price of the security is expected to range between $164 (low) and $250 (high), with a median estimate of $200 and an average estimate of $202.26. The current price of the security is $191.57.Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, from $323.9 billion in 2018 to $352.8 billion in 2023.
2. Current assets have fluctuated but generally increased, with the highest value in 2023 at $143.6 billion.
3. Non-current assets have also shown an increasing trend, reaching $209 billion in 2023.
4. Total liabilities have been increasing steadily, from $255.4 billion in 2018 to $290.4 billion in 2023.
5. Shareholders' equity has shown an increasing trend, with the highest value in 2023 at $62.1 billion.
6. The company has been investing more in non-current assets over the years, indicating potential long-term growth strategies.
7. The company has been relying more on long-term debt to finance its operations, as seen in the increasing trend of non-current liabilities.
8. The company has been able to maintain a positive shareholders' equity throughout the years, indicating a healthy financial position.
Cash Flow 💶
This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value recorded in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase, issuance of long-term debt, and payment of dividends.
6. Investing activities include the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company seems to be managing its cash flow effectively, with a focus on operational efficiency and strategic investments.
MACD of 5714
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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