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Analysis Downing FOUR VCT plc (TV2V)

6/4/2024

Analysis Downing FOUR VCT plc (TV2V)

Analysis of Downing FOUR VCT plc (TV2V)

Downing FOUR VCT plc is currently trading at a price of 0.48500. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator is at 11.08, indicating that the stock is oversold. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is -0.00665, with the MACD line below the signal line, suggesting a bearish trend.

The Simple Moving Average (SMA) is at 0.48500, while the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is at 0.50564, indicating a downward trend. The Weighted Moving Average (WMA) is also at 0.48500.

Overall, based on the current indicators, Downing FOUR VCT plc appears to be in a bearish trend with the stock being oversold. Investors may want to exercise caution and closely monitor the stock for any potential reversal signals before making any investment decisions.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.

In terms of financials, the company has strong cash flow with operating cash flow at $110.56 billion and levered free cash flow at $84.73 billion. The balance sheet shows a total cash of $67.15 billion, total debt of $104.59 billion, and a current ratio of 1.037. The profit margin is 26.31%, with a fiscal year ending on September 30, 2023. The income statement reveals an EBITDA of $131.39 billion, revenue of $381.62 billion, and a diluted EPS of 6.43.

Moving on to stock statistics, the company has a short ratio of 1.53, with 15.31 billion float shares and 99.29 million shares shorted. The stock outstanding is 15.33 billion, with 5.22% held by insiders and 57.59% held by institutions.

Valuation metrics show a PEG ratio of 26.32, forward PE of 26.32, and trailing PE of 29.59. The enterprise value is $2.95 trillion, with a price to book ratio of 39.34 and price to sales ratio of 7.65. The market capitalization is $2.92 trillion.

The stock price summary includes a beta of 1.264, 50-day moving average of $176.26, 200-day moving average of $181.04, and a 52-week range from $164.08 to $199.62.

Lastly, dividends and splits information indicates a payout ratio of 14.93%, with a dividend date on May 16, 2024. The last split date was on August 31, 2020, with a 4-for-1 split factor. The forward annual dividend rate is $1, with a 5-year average dividend yield of 0.73% and a trailing annual dividend yield of 0.51%.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided yet. The previous results from February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The results from January 31, 2025, were released after hours. The results from October 31, 2024, were not provided at a specific time. The results from August 1, 2024, showed an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.

Income statement 💸

These are the revenues. Here are the conclusions:

1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. Despite the increase in sales, the cost of goods sold has also been rising, indicating that the company is facing higher production costs or selling prices.
3. The gross profit margin has remained relatively stable, with gross profit ranging from around $105 billion to $169 billion.
4. Operating income has shown an upward trend, reaching $114.3 billion in 2023 from $66.3 billion in 2020.
5. Net income has also been increasing over the years, from $57.4 billion in 2020 to $97 billion in 2023.
6. Earnings per share (EPS) have shown a slight fluctuation but have generally been on the rise.
7. The company has been able to maintain a healthy EBITDA margin, with EBITDA reaching $129.2 billion in 2023.
8. Despite fluctuations in other income and expenses, the company has been able to generate consistent income from its core operations.
9. The company has been managing its tax expenses effectively, with income tax payments increasing in line with higher revenues.
10. The number of outstanding shares has remained relatively stable over the years, indicating no significant dilution of shareholder value.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets include cash, inventory, and receivables, with a significant portion in cash equivalents and short-term investments.
3. Non-current assets consist mainly of investments and advances, along with machinery, furniture, and equipment.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, but at a slower pace compared to assets.
5. Shareholders' equity has shown a positive trend, indicating a healthy financial position.
6. The company has been managing its short-term and long-term debts effectively.
7. Accumulated depreciation has been significant, affecting the value of non-current assets.
8. The company has been investing in leases, land, and improvements over the years.
9. Retained earnings have fluctuated but have generally shown an upward trend.
10. The company has been maintaining a balance between current and non-current assets and liabilities.

Cash Flow 💶

This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. Financing activities show significant fluctuations, with large amounts being spent on common stock repurchase and debt issuance/payment.
4. Investing activities also vary, with notable amounts spent on the sale and purchase of investments.
5. The end cash position has been relatively stable, with some fluctuations due to the company's financial activities.
6. Interest paid and income tax paid figures provide insights into the company's financial obligations.
7. Stock-based compensation is a significant factor in the company's financial activities.
8. The company has been consistently profitable, as indicated by the net income figures.
9. Depreciation and other non-cash items play a role in the company's financial performance.
10. Overall, the company's cash flow statement reflects a mix of operational, investing, and financing activities that impact its financial health and stability.

Earnings estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This also indicates growth from the EPS of $1.35 in the same quarter last year.

3. Looking at the estimates for the current year ending on September 30, 2024, the average EPS estimate is $6.10, ranging from a low estimate of $5.95 to a high estimate of $6.41. This reflects an increase from the EPS of $5.67 for the previous year.

4. For the next year ending on September 30, 2025, the average EPS estimate is $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This suggests a slight improvement from the EPS of $6.10 in the previous year.

Overall, the analysts' estimates point towards a positive trend of increasing earnings per share for the company in both the short term and the long term.

Revenue estimate

The analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company indicate a moderate growth trend.

For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $77,545,400,000, representing a 2% increase from the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.

Looking ahead to the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $85,501,800,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the previous year. The number of analysts remains at 25.

For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $357,772,000,000, showing a 1% growth from the previous year. The number of analysts providing estimates has increased to 38.

In the following fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $380,772,000,000, indicating a more significant growth of 6% from the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts remains at 38.

Overall, the estimates suggest a steady growth trajectory for the company's sales in the upcoming quarters and years, with a slightly more optimistic outlook for the next fiscal year.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided by analysts, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:

1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.1%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 5.2%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.6%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 9.7%.

These estimates suggest a positive growth trend for the company, with a significant decrease in growth rate compared to the past 5 years but still a healthy growth rate expected for the upcoming periods.

Price target

The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security is as follows:
- Low: $164
- High: $275
- Median: $201.43
- Average: $204.58
- Current price: $192.25
- Currency: USD

Based on these forecasts, we can see that the analysts have a range of opinions on the future price of the security, with the majority clustering around the median and average values. The current price is below both the median and average forecast, suggesting that there may be potential upside according to analysts.

MACD of TV2V

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment Group S.A. at Al. Aleje Jerozolimskie 65 / 79, 00-697 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000335507, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204. Honey Payment Group is listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) under the ticker symbol HPG. Link