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Analysis El Puerto de Liverpool S.A. de C.V. (ELPQF)

5/29/2024

Analysis El Puerto de Liverpool S.A. de C.V. (ELPQF)

Analysis of El Puerto de Liverpool S.A. de C.V. (ELPQF)

El Puerto de Liverpool S.A. de C.V. (ELPQF) is showing some interesting trends based on the provided data:

1. **Price Movement**: The stock price has been fluctuating between 4.74 and 8.56 in the recent days, showing some volatility in the market.

2. **Relative Strength Index (RSI)**: The RSI values are fluctuating between 5.96 and 79.76, indicating some level of overbought and oversold conditions in the stock.

3. **Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD)**: The MACD values are mostly negative, indicating a bearish trend in the stock price movement.

4. **Moving Averages (MA)**: The stock price is below the Moving Averages (SMA, EMA, WMA), suggesting a bearish sentiment in the market.

Overall, based on the RSI, MACD, and Moving Averages analysis, the stock of El Puerto de Liverpool S.A. de C.V. seems to be in a bearish phase with some volatility. Traders and investors should carefully monitor the stock for any potential trend reversals or entry/exit points.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided yet. The previous results from February 27, 2025, were related to the transfer agent. The results from January 31, 2025, were released after hours. The results from October 31, 2024, were not provided at a specific time. The results from August 1, 2024, showed an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.

Revenue estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

These estimates suggest a moderate growth trend in both quarterly and annual sales for the company, with slightly higher growth expected in the next fiscal year compared to the current one.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:

1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.6%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 4.8%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.5%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated growth rate for the next 5 years is 11%.

These estimates suggest a positive growth trend for the company, with a slightly lower growth rate expected in the next 5 years compared to the past 5 years. The company is projected to experience steady growth in the short term, with a significant increase in growth rate compared to the past year expected in the next year.

Price target

Based on the analysts' forecast, the future price of the security is expected to range between $164 (low) and $250 (high), with a median estimate of $200 and an average estimate of $202.26. The current price of the security is $191.57.

Main Statystic 🧠

The company's financials show a strong cash flow, with operating cash flow at $110.56 billion and levered free cash flow at $84.73 billion. The balance sheet indicates a total cash of $67.15 billion, total debt of $104.59 billion, and a current ratio of 1.037. The book value per share is $4.837, total cash per share is $4.379, and the total debt to equity ratio is 140.968.

In terms of profitability, the company has a profit margin of 26.31% and an operating margin of 30.74%. The return on assets is 22.07% and the return on equity is 147.25%. The fiscal year ends on September 30, 2023, with the most recent quarter ending on March 31, 2024.

The income statement shows an EBITDA of $131.39 billion, revenue of $381.62 billion, diluted EPS of 6.44, gross profit of $169.15 billion, revenue per share of $24.54, and net income to common of $100.39 billion. The company experienced a quarterly revenue growth of -4.3% and a quarterly earnings growth year-over-year of -2.2%.

In terms of stock statistics, the short ratio is 1.66, with 94.31 million shares shorted out of 1.53 billion float shares. The company has 15.33 billion shares outstanding, with 5.22% held by insiders and 57.56% held by institutions. The short percent of shares outstanding is 0.62%.

Valuation metrics show a PEG ratio of 26.21, forward PE of 26.21, trailing PE of 29.43, enterprise value of $2.95 trillion, price to book ratio of 39.18, price to sales ratio of 7.62, enterprise to EBITDA of 22.75, enterprise to revenue of 7.73, and a market capitalization of $2.91 trillion.

The stock price summary includes a beta of 1.264, 50-day moving average of $173.69, 200-day moving average of $180.79, 52-week low of $164.08, 52-week high of $199.62, and a 52-week change of 8.25%.

Lastly, in terms of dividends and splits, the company has a payout ratio of 14.93%, with a dividend date set for May 16, 2024. The last split date was on August 31, 2020, with a 4-for-1 split factor. The forward annual dividend rate is $1, with a 5-year average dividend yield of 0.73% and a forward annual dividend yield of 0.53%. The trailing annual dividend rate is $0.97, with a trailing annual dividend yield of 0.51%.

Income statement 💸

Here are the revenue figures for the company over the past four fiscal years:

- 2020: $274,515,000,000
- 2021: $365,817,000,000
- 2022: $394,328,000,000
- 2023: $383,285,000,000

From these numbers, we can observe the following trends:
1. The company experienced steady revenue growth from 2020 to 2022, with a significant increase in 2022.
2. However, in 2023, there was a slight decrease in revenue compared to the previous year.
3. Overall, the company has shown a positive revenue trend over the past four years, with a notable spike in 2022.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions based on the provided data:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $352,583,000,000.
2. Current assets fluctuate from year to year, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2023 at $209,017,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching the highest value in 2023 at $290,437,000,000.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2019 at $90,488,000,000.
6. The company seems to be investing more in non-current assets over the years, which might indicate long-term growth strategies.
7. The increase in total liabilities suggests that the company is relying more on external funding sources.
8. The fluctuations in shareholders' equity indicate changes in the company's retained earnings and other equity components over the years.

Cash Flow 💶

This is a cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing over the years, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. Financing activities show significant cash outflows, mainly due to common stock repurchases and debt payments.
5. Investing activities also show significant cash flows, with the company making investments through acquisitions and the purchase of investments.
6. The end cash position has been fluctuating, but overall, the company has maintained a healthy cash balance.
7. Stock-based compensation has been a significant non-cash item impacting the company's financials.
8. The company has been paying dividends consistently, with varying amounts each year.

These conclusions provide insights into the company's financial performance and management of cash flows over the years.

Earnings estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.33, with a range from $1.27 to $1.36. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.26 from the same quarter a year ago.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.53, with a range from $1.44 to $1.63. This is slightly higher than the EPS of $1.46 from the same quarter a year ago.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $6.59, with a range from $6.43 to $6.92. This indicates growth from the EPS of $6.13 in the previous fiscal year.

4. Looking ahead to the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimated EPS is $7.23, with a range from $6.40 to $7.90. This forecast suggests further growth compared to the EPS of $6.59 in the current fiscal year.

Overall, the analysts' estimates point towards a positive outlook for the company's earnings per share in both the short term and the long term.

MACD of ELPQF

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment Group S.A. at Al. Aleje Jerozolimskie 65 / 79, 00-697 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000335507, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204. Honey Payment Group is listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) under the ticker symbol HPG. Link