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Analysis Embassy Bancorp Inc. (EMYB)

6/5/2024

Analysis Embassy Bancorp Inc. (EMYB)

Analysis of Embassy Bancorp Inc. (EMYB)

Embassy Bancorp Inc. (EMYB) has been showing some volatility in its stock price recently. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) values have been fluctuating around 40-50, indicating a neutral to slightly bearish sentiment in the market.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator has been hovering around the zero line, suggesting a lack of strong trend in the stock price. The MACD histogram has been mostly negative, indicating some downward pressure.

The Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA) have been relatively close to each other, showing a lack of divergence in the short-term price trend.

Overall, based on the technical indicators, Embassy Bancorp Inc. seems to be experiencing a period of consolidation with no clear trend direction. Traders and investors may need to wait for more decisive signals before making trading decisions.

Earnings estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This is higher than the EPS of $1.35 from the same quarter last year.

3. Looking at the estimates for the current year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $6.10, with a low estimate of $5.95 and a high estimate of $6.41. This reflects growth compared to the EPS of $5.67 from the previous year.

4. For the next year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimated EPS is $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This indicates a potential increase from the EPS of $6.10 in the current year.

Overall, the analysts' estimates suggest a positive outlook for the company's earnings per share, showing growth potential in both the short term and the long term.

Revenue estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $77,545,400,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $85,501,800,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $357,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $380,772,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 38.

Overall, the analysts are generally optimistic about the company's future sales performance, with moderate to healthy growth expected in both the short term and the long term.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided:
- The company is expected to experience a growth rate of 7.6% in the current year and 9.7% in the next year.
- For the current quarter and the next quarter, the growth rate is estimated to be around 5.1%.
- Over the next 5 years, the company is projected to have a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 9.7%.
- However, when looking at the past 5 years, the company had a higher CAGR of about 20.1%.

Overall, it seems that analysts are optimistic about the company's future growth prospects, with a slightly higher growth rate expected in the next 5 years compared to the current and upcoming shorter periods.

Price target

The analysts' forecast for the future price of the security paper is as follows:
- Low: $164
- High: $275
- Median: $201.43
- Average: $204.58
- Current price: $192.25
- Currency: USD

Based on these forecasts, it appears that the analysts are generally optimistic about the future price of the security paper, with a median forecast above the current price. However, there is a wide range between the low and high forecasts, indicating some uncertainty in the predictions.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter, as of April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous results from February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The results from January 31, 2025, were released after hours. The results from October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. The results from August 1, 2024, showed an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.32.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.

In terms of financials, the company has strong operating cash flow and levered free cash flow, with a positive current ratio and a high total debt to equity ratio. The profit margin and operating margin are also healthy, indicating efficient operations. The company's fiscal year ends in September 2023, and it has shown a positive return on assets and return on equity.

Looking at stock statistics, the company has a low short ratio and a significant percentage of shares held by institutions. The stock price summary shows volatility with a beta of 1.264 and a fluctuation between the fifty-two-week low and high.

Valuation metrics reveal a high PEG ratio and price to book ratio, with the company being relatively expensive based on its forward and trailing P/E ratios. The enterprise value, market capitalization, and other metrics suggest a sizable company in the market.

Lastly, dividends and splits information show a consistent dividend payout with a moderate yield, along with details on dividend dates and historical splits.

Income statement 💸

These are the revenues. Here are the conclusions:

1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. Despite fluctuations in other financial metrics, such as net income and operating income, the trend in sales revenue shows consistent growth.
3. The company's gross profit margin has remained relatively stable over the years, indicating efficient cost management despite the increase in sales.
4. The company has been able to maintain a healthy EBITDA margin, which suggests effective operational performance and cost control measures.
5. Overall, the increasing trend in sales revenue reflects the company's ability to generate higher income through its core business activities.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions based on the provided data:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching the highest value of $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets fluctuate from year to year, with the highest value of $162,819,000,000 in 2019.
3. Non-current assets have shown an increasing trend, with the highest value of $234,386,000,000 in 2018.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching the highest value of $290,437,000,000 in 2023.
5. Shareholders' equity has shown fluctuations over the years, with the highest value of $107,147,000,000 in 2018.
6. The company has been relying more on non-current assets to support its operations, as seen in the increasing trend of non-current assets compared to current assets.
7. The company has been financing its operations through a mix of liabilities and shareholders' equity, with both showing an increasing trend over the years.

Cash Flow 💶

This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:

1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has been relatively stable over the years, indicating consistent operational performance.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. The end cash position has also been fluctuating, reaching its highest value in 2020.
5. Financing activities show a pattern of common stock repurchase and issuance, as well as long-term debt issuance and payments.
6. Investing activities include significant amounts related to the sale and purchase of investments, with fluctuations in capital expenditures.
7. Overall, the company's financial activities show a mix of stability and variability, reflecting the changing financial landscape over the years.

MACD of EMYB

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment Group S.A. at Al. Aleje Jerozolimskie 65 / 79, 00-697 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000335507, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204. Honey Payment Group is listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) under the ticker symbol HPG. Link