Analysis Essent Group Ltd. (0U95)
6/1/2024
Analysis of Essent Group Ltd. (0U95)
Essent Group Ltd. (0U95) has shown some interesting price movements and technical indicators in the past few days:1. Price Movement:
- The closing prices have been fluctuating between 55.16000 and 56.54000.
- The stock closed at 56.25000 on the most recent trading day (2024-05-30).
2. Technical Indicators:
- Relative Strength Index (RSI) has been hovering around the mid-range, indicating some indecision in the market.
- Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) has shown some positive movements, with the MACD line crossing above the signal line on some days.
- Moving Averages (SMA, EMA, WMA) have been relatively close to each other, suggesting a stable trend.
3. Overall, the stock seems to be trading within a range with some volatility. Traders and investors may want to monitor the RSI, MACD, and moving averages for potential signals of a trend reversal or continuation.
Please note that this analysis is based on historical data and does not guarantee future performance. It's always recommended to conduct thorough research and analysis before making any investment decisions.
Earnings estimate
Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.23, with a low estimate of $1.18 and a high estimate of $1.26. This shows an improvement compared to the EPS of $1.17 from the same quarter a year ago.
2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.42, with a low estimate of $1.33 and a high estimate of $1.51. This also indicates growth from the EPS of $1.35 in the same quarter last year.
3. Looking at the estimates for the current year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $6.10, ranging from a low estimate of $5.95 to a high estimate of $6.41. This reflects an increase from the EPS of $5.67 for the previous year.
4. For the next year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimated EPS is $6.69, with a low estimate of $5.92 and a high estimate of $7.31. This suggests a slight improvement from the EPS of $6.10 in the previous year.
Overall, the analysts' estimates show a positive outlook for the company's earnings per share, with expected growth in both the short term and the long term.
Earnings
The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company had an EPS estimate of 1.32.Main Statystic ðŸ§
The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuations metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits information for a specific company.In terms of financials, the company has strong cash flow with operating cash flow at $110.56 billion and levered free cash flow at $84.73 billion. The balance sheet shows total cash at $67.15 billion, total debt at $104.59 billion, and a current ratio of 1.037. The profit margin is 26.31%, with a fiscal year ending on September 30, 2023. The income statement reveals EBITDA of $131.39 billion, revenue at $381.62 billion, and a diluted EPS of 6.43.
Moving on to stock statistics, the company has a short ratio of 1.53, with 15.31 billion float shares and 99.29 million shares shorted. The stock has 15.33 billion shares outstanding, with 5.22% held by insiders and 57.59% held by institutions.
Valuation metrics show a PEG ratio of 26.32, forward PE of 26.32, and trailing PE of 29.59. The enterprise value is $2.95 trillion, with a price to book ratio of 39.34 and price to sales ratio of 7.65.
The stock price summary includes a beta of 1.264, 50-day moving average at $176.26, 200-day moving average at $181.04, and a 52-week range of $164.08 to $199.62.
Lastly, dividends and splits information indicates a payout ratio of 14.93%, with a dividend date set for May 16, 2024. The last split date was on August 31, 2020, with a 4-for-1 split factor. The forward annual dividend rate is $1, with a 5-year average dividend yield of 0.73% and a trailing annual dividend yield of 0.51%.
Income statement 💸
These are the revenue figures. Here are the conclusions:1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the years, from $274.5 billion in 2020 to $383.3 billion in 2023.
2. Despite the increase in sales, the cost of goods sold has also been rising, indicating a potential challenge in managing production or procurement costs.
3. The gross profit margin seems to be relatively stable, with gross profit increasing along with sales revenue.
4. Operating income has also been increasing, showing that the company is effectively managing its operating expenses.
5. Net income has shown a positive trend, increasing from $57.4 billion in 2020 to $97 billion in 2023, indicating overall profitability growth.
6. Earnings per share (EPS) have also been increasing, reflecting positively on the company's financial performance.
7. The company has been able to maintain a consistent number of outstanding shares, which is important for investors in assessing the company's financial health.
8. Overall, the financial performance of the company in terms of revenue and profitability has been on an upward trajectory over the years.
Revenue estimate
The analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company indicate a moderate growth trend.For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimate is $77,545,400,000, representing a 2% increase from the same period last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 25.
Looking at the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimate is $85,501,800,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the previous year. The number of analysts remains at 25.
For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimate is $357,772,000,000, showing a 1% growth from the previous year. The number of analysts providing estimates has increased to 38.
In the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimate is $380,772,000,000, indicating a more significant growth of 6% from the current fiscal year. The number of analysts remains at 38.
Overall, the estimates suggest a steady growth trajectory for the company's total revenues in the upcoming quarters and years, with a slightly more optimistic outlook for the next fiscal year.
Growth estimates
Based on the consensus estimates provided:- The current year growth rate is 7.6%
- The next quarter growth rate is 5.1%
- The current quarter growth rate is 5.1%
- The next year growth rate is 9.7%
- The average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 9.7%
- The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years was 20.1%
It can be observed that the company is expected to experience a significant increase in growth rate compared to the past 5 years, with a particularly strong growth forecast for the next year and the next 5 years. The growth rates for the current and next quarter are consistent, indicating steady short-term growth expectations.
Price target
Based on the analysts' forecast, the future price of the security is expected to range between $164 (low) and $250 (high), with a median estimate of $200 and an average estimate of $202.26. The current price of the security is $191.57.Balance Sheet
These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets include cash, inventory, and receivables, with cash and cash equivalents showing fluctuations.
3. Non-current assets consist of investments, machinery, and other assets, with a significant portion in investments and advances.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, but at a slower pace compared to assets.
5. Shareholders' equity has shown variations, with retained earnings being a significant component.
6. The company has been utilizing short-term debt and accounts payable for its operations.
7. There is a consistent provision for risks and charges in the non-current liabilities.
8. The company has been investing in leases, land, and improvements over the years.
9. Accumulated depreciation has been significant, affecting the value of non-current assets.
10. Overall, the company's financial position seems stable, with a focus on investments and managing liabilities.
Cash Flow 💶
This is the cash flow statement. Here are some conclusions we can draw from the data:1. The company's free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020.
2. Operating cash flow has generally been increasing year over year, indicating improved operational efficiency.
3. The company has been consistently paying interest and income taxes, with varying amounts each year.
4. Financing activities show significant cash outflows, especially in terms of common stock repurchase and long-term debt payments.
5. Investing activities also involve substantial cash flows, including the sale and purchase of investments, as well as capital expenditures.
6. The end cash position has been fluctuating, but generally, the company has maintained a healthy cash balance.
7. Stock-based compensation is a significant non-cash item that impacts the company's financials.
8. The company has been paying dividends to common shareholders and issuing debt to manage its capital structure.
These conclusions provide insights into the company's financial performance and management of cash flows over the years.
MACD of 0U95
This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.
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