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Analysis eXp World Holdings Inc (EXPI)

5/26/2024

Analysis eXp World Holdings Inc (EXPI)

Analysis of eXp World Holdings Inc (EXPI)

eXp World Holdings Inc (EXPI) has shown some interesting price movements and technical indicators in the past few days:

1. Price Movement:
- The closing price has been fluctuating between $11.24 and $12.93.
- There seems to be some volatility in the stock price, with both highs and lows within a short period.

2. Technical Indicators:
- RSI (Relative Strength Index) values have been fluctuating around the 50-70 range, indicating some oscillation in the stock's momentum.
- MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) values have been positive, suggesting a bullish trend.
- Moving Averages (SMA, EMA, WMA) have been relatively close to each other, indicating a stable trend.

3. Overall Analysis:
- The stock seems to be in a bullish phase based on the MACD indicator.
- The RSI values suggest some oscillation in momentum, which could indicate potential short-term price swings.
- Moving averages show a stable trend, with prices hovering around the averages.

Investors may want to keep an eye on the RSI values for potential trend reversals and monitor the MACD indicator for confirmation of the bullish trend.

Earnings estimate

Based on the analysts' estimates for future quarterly and annual earnings per share:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.33, compared to $1.26 a year ago. The range of estimates is between $1.27 and $1.36, with 26 analysts providing forecasts.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $1.53, lower than the $1.46 reported a year ago. The EPS estimates range from $1.44 to $1.63, with 25 analysts contributing to the forecasts.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average estimated EPS is $6.59, up from $6.13 in the previous year. The EPS estimates for the full year range from $6.43 to $6.92, with 39 analysts providing their predictions.

4. Looking ahead to the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average estimated EPS is $7.23, compared to $6.59 in the previous year. The EPS estimates for the upcoming year range from $6.40 to $7.90, with 39 analysts involved in the forecasting process.

Overall, it appears that analysts are generally optimistic about the company's future earnings per share, with expected growth in both the short term and the long term.

Revenue estimate

Based on analysts' estimates for the future quarterly and annual sales of the company, we can draw the following conclusions:

1. For the current quarter ending on June 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $83,776,900,000, with a sales growth of 2% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

2. For the next quarter ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $92,375,300,000, with a sales growth of 3% compared to the same quarter last year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 24.

3. For the current fiscal year ending on September 30, 2024, the average sales estimate is $386,681,000,000, with a sales growth of 1% compared to the previous fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

4. For the next fiscal year ending on September 30, 2025, the average sales estimate is $411,555,000,000, with a sales growth of 6% compared to the current fiscal year. The number of analysts providing estimates is 37.

These estimates indicate a generally positive outlook for the company, with expected growth in both quarterly and annual sales over the coming periods.

Growth estimates

Based on the consensus estimates provided, we can draw the following conclusions regarding the growth rate of the company for different periods:

1. Current Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the current quarter is 5.6%.
2. Next Quarter: The estimated growth rate for the next quarter is 4.8%.
3. Current Year: The estimated growth rate for the current year is 7.5%.
4. Next Year: The estimated growth rate for the next year is 9.7%.
5. Past 5 Years (per annum): The average annual growth rate for the past 5 years is 20.1%.
6. Next 5 Years (per annum): The estimated average annual growth rate for the next 5 years is 11%.

These estimates suggest a positive growth trend for the company, with a slightly lower growth rate expected in the next 5 years compared to the past 5 years. It indicates that analysts are optimistic about the company's growth prospects in the near term, although at a slightly moderated pace compared to the past.

Price target

Based on the analysts' forecast, the future price of the security is expected to range between $164 (low) and $250 (high), with a median estimate of $200 and an average estimate of $202.26. The current price of the security is $191.57.

Earnings

The company's results for the most recent quarter, ending on April 30, 2025, have not been provided at this time. The previous quarter's results, ending on February 27, 2025, were handled by the Transfer Agent. The quarter before that, ending on January 31, 2025, had results released after hours. The results for the quarter ending on October 31, 2024, were not provided at the time. However, for the quarter ending on August 1, 2024, the company reported an earnings per share (EPS) estimate of 1.33.

Main Statystic 🧠

The data provided includes financials, stock statistics, valuation metrics, stock price summary, and dividends and splits for a specific company.

In terms of financials, the company has strong cash flow with operating cash flow at $110.56 billion and levered free cash flow at $84.73 billion. The balance sheet shows a total cash of $67.15 billion, total debt of $104.59 billion, and a current ratio of 1.037. The profit margin is 26.31% and the company's fiscal year ends on September 30, 2023. The income statement reveals an EBITDA of $131.39 billion, revenue of $381.62 billion, and a diluted EPS of 6.44.

Moving on to stock statistics, the company has a short ratio of 1.66, with 94.31 million shares shorted out of 15.31 billion float shares. The average 10-day trading volume is 52.90 million shares, while the average 90-day trading volume is 62.82 million shares. The stock has a market capitalization of $2.91 trillion.

Valuation metrics show a PEG ratio of 26.21, forward P/E of 26.21, and trailing P/E of 29.43. The enterprise value is $2.95 trillion, with a price-to-book ratio of 39.18 and price-to-sales ratio of 7.62. The company's stock price summary includes a beta of 1.26, 50-day moving average of $173.69, and 200-day moving average of $180.79. The 52-week low and high prices are $164.08 and $199.62, respectively.

Lastly, in terms of dividends and splits, the company has a payout ratio of 14.93% and a forward annual dividend rate of $1. The ex-dividend date is May 10, 2024, with a dividend date of May 16, 2024. The last split date was on August 31, 2020, with a 4-for-1 split. The 5-year average dividend yield is 0.73% and the trailing annual dividend yield is 0.51%.

Income statement 💸

These are the revenues. Here are the conclusions:

1. The company's sales revenue has been increasing steadily over the past four fiscal years.
2. The gross profit margin seems to be consistent, indicating efficient cost management.
3. Earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) have also shown a positive trend, reflecting the company's operational efficiency.
4. Net income has been growing, suggesting that the company is effectively managing its expenses and taxes.
5. The basic and diluted earnings per share (EPS) have been relatively stable over the years.
6. The company has been able to maintain a healthy operating income despite fluctuations in other income and expenses.
7. The number of basic and diluted shares outstanding has remained constant, indicating no significant dilution of shares.
8. Overall, the financial performance of the company, as indicated by its revenues, seems to be on a positive trajectory.

Balance Sheet

These are balance sheets. Here are the conclusions:

1. The total assets have been increasing over the years, reaching $365,725,000,000 in 2018.
2. Current assets fluctuate, with the highest value in 2019 at $162,819,000,000.
3. Non-current assets have been increasing steadily, with the highest value in 2019 at $175,697,000,000.
4. Total liabilities have also been increasing, reaching $255,355,000,000 in 2018.
5. Shareholders' equity has been fluctuating, with the highest value in 2018 at $107,147,000,000.

Cash Flow 💶

Looking at the cash flow data provided, we can draw the following conclusions:

1. **Trend in Free Cash Flow**: The free cash flow has been fluctuating over the years, with the highest value in 2022 and the lowest in 2020. This indicates variability in the company's ability to generate cash after accounting for capital expenditures.

2. **Interest Paid**: The amount of interest paid has been increasing over the years, which could indicate a growing debt burden or higher interest rates.

3. **Income Tax Paid**: The income tax paid has also been fluctuating, with a significant decrease in 2020 compared to the other years. This could be due to changes in tax regulations or the company's financial performance.

4. **End Cash Position**: The end cash position shows the amount of cash and cash equivalents the company holds at the end of the fiscal year. It has been varying, with the highest value in 2020 and the lowest in 2022.

5. **Financing Activities**: The company has been involved in various financing activities such as common stock repurchase, issuance of long-term debt, and payment of dividends. The net effect of these activities on cash flow has been negative in most years.

6. **Investing Activities**: The company has engaged in investing activities like acquisitions, capital expenditures, and the sale/purchase of investments. These activities have had a significant impact on the cash flow, with varying levels of cash inflow and outflow.

7. **Operating Activities**: The operating cash flow, which represents the cash generated from the company's core business operations, has been fluctuating. It is essential for sustaining and growing the business.

Overall, the cash flow analysis provides insights into the company's financial health, liquidity, and capital allocation strategies over the years.

MACD of EXPI

This is not investment advice. Remember to verify the information provided here.

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Contacts

Telephone number

+48 32 700 81 66

Email address

[email protected]

Company information

Honey Payment Group S.A. at Al. Aleje Jerozolimskie 65 / 79, 00-697 Warsaw, Poland, Register number KRS 0000335507, NIP 5252859204, REGON 388760204. Honey Payment Group is listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) under the ticker symbol HPG. Link